ATL: INVEST 92L - Models

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HouTXmetro
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models

#61 Postby HouTXmetro » Tue Aug 13, 2013 10:48 pm

Thanks canetracker, that link worked.

What an ugly unorganized mess.
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#62 Postby Rgv20 » Tue Aug 13, 2013 10:52 pm

0zGFS thru 72 hrs does not develop much of a low pressure center tho at the 850mb level has good vorticity right until it gets stretch out in the Central GOM.

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#63 Postby bamajammer4eva » Tue Aug 13, 2013 10:56 pm

Seems awfully hesitant just after leaving the Yucatan like its not sure where it wants to go but ends up in FL Panhandle again. At least one center does. Appears to be multiple low pressure areas.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models

#64 Postby ROCK » Tue Aug 13, 2013 11:04 pm

GFS alot quicker with it also...now taken it across a good chunk of the Yucatan....

0Z NAVGEM is running....
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models

#65 Postby ROCK » Tue Aug 13, 2013 11:22 pm

0Z NAVGEM out 24hrs....heads for Belize....that is different

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical


48hrs sitting in the Yucatan

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical

72hrs.......

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical

sitting in the BOC
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models

#66 Postby ROCK » Tue Aug 13, 2013 11:42 pm

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical

from NGOM to BOC at 84hrs......the NAVGEM has come around to the EURO, UKMET and the hated NAM


96hrs still in BOC getting stronger
Last edited by ROCK on Tue Aug 13, 2013 11:44 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models

#67 Postby PTrackerLA » Tue Aug 13, 2013 11:42 pm

CMC already has 994mb at 108 hours in central gulf heading north...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models

#68 Postby ROCK » Tue Aug 13, 2013 11:46 pm

PTrackerLA wrote:CMC already has 994mb at 108 hours in central gulf heading north...


yeah I saw....not good :eek:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models

#69 Postby PTrackerLA » Tue Aug 13, 2013 11:47 pm

CMC 132 Hr Image

984mb turning WNW towards southern Texas?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models

#70 Postby ROCK » Tue Aug 13, 2013 11:49 pm

989..heading towards mid Texas coast on the 0Z CMC
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models

#71 Postby PTrackerLA » Tue Aug 13, 2013 11:50 pm

138 Hr Yikes

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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models

#72 Postby PTrackerLA » Tue Aug 13, 2013 11:55 pm

150 Hrs

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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models

#73 Postby ROCK » Tue Aug 13, 2013 11:56 pm

big model swings tonight....the CMC is blowing this up about to hit mid Tx coast with a 976MB cane
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models

#74 Postby PTrackerLA » Tue Aug 13, 2013 11:57 pm

162 Hrs landfall north of Browsville. I can't read the MB but I hope that isn't a 95X :eek: .
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#75 Postby Kingarabian » Tue Aug 13, 2013 11:58 pm

Thank the good lord that this is the Canadian...

:flag:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models

#76 Postby ROCK » Wed Aug 14, 2013 12:00 am

that look 950ish.....oh man
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models

#77 Postby ROCK » Wed Aug 14, 2013 12:02 am

120hr NAVGEM still in the BOC....just hanging out...lol

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models

#78 Postby floridasun78 » Wed Aug 14, 2013 12:03 am

PTrackerLA wrote:150 Hrs

Image

that bit too slow still got in gulf by next tue
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#79 Postby JonathanBelles » Wed Aug 14, 2013 12:05 am

Maybe a question for the more experienced members: How do numerous models take 92L right past the building trough in the central Gulf. I am leaning toward the more realistic GFS solution. I would understand the Texas solution if the trough was weaker or if the ridge was stronger and building in the models.
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#80 Postby Rgv20 » Wed Aug 14, 2013 12:10 am

0zNAVGEM very similar to the 12zUKEMT by 144hrs.

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