92L or 93L?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K

92L or 93L reach TD first?

Poll ended at Thu Aug 15, 2013 1:52 pm

92L
21
49%
93L
21
49%
None will develop
1
2%
 
Total votes: 43

Message
Author
User avatar
galaxy401
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2419
Age: 30
Joined: Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:04 pm
Location: Casa Grande, Arizona

92L or 93L?

#1 Postby galaxy401 » Wed Aug 14, 2013 1:49 pm

Both disturbances are getting close to developing. Which invest will develop first? I think it will be 92L due to it being a closer land threat.
0 likes   
Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.

Ellsey
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 104
Joined: Sat Jan 08, 2011 11:04 am
Location: McKinney, TX

Re: 92L or 93L?

#2 Postby Ellsey » Wed Aug 14, 2013 1:57 pm

I'm kind of with you. They can take more time with 93L unless it just really pulls it together. I think 92L is gunning for the name Erin though.
0 likes   

User avatar
Evil Jeremy
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5463
Age: 32
Joined: Mon Apr 10, 2006 2:10 pm
Location: Los Angeles, CA

Re: 92L or 93L?

#3 Postby Evil Jeremy » Wed Aug 14, 2013 1:59 pm

92L, but I think there is a decent chance that both systems will be upgraded to TD at the same advisory time.
0 likes   
Frances 04 / Jeanne 04 / Katrina 05 / Wilma 05 / Fay 08 / Debby 12 / Andrea 13 / Colin 16 / Hermine 16 / Matthew 16 / Irma 17

hurricanekid416
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 179
Joined: Wed Oct 24, 2012 2:43 pm

#4 Postby hurricanekid416 » Wed Aug 14, 2013 2:03 pm

What happens if they both get upgraded at the same advisory to a ts
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Hurricane Alexis
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 683
Age: 29
Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2012 7:59 pm
Location: Miami,Florida

#5 Postby Hurricane Alexis » Wed Aug 14, 2013 2:21 pm

I'm thinking 93L will form first as 92L's future is uncertain and just for that I think the NHC will wait.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
abajan
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4230
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 5:10 am
Location: Barbados

Re:

#6 Postby abajan » Wed Aug 14, 2013 3:02 pm

hurricanekid416 wrote:What happens if they both get upgraded at the same advisory to a ts
That's an interesting question. I'd like to know the answer too.
0 likes   

TheStormExpert

#7 Postby TheStormExpert » Wed Aug 14, 2013 3:16 pm

I mentioned in 93L's thread that I thought it would more likely become Erin so I will just stick to my first guess and see what happens.
0 likes   

User avatar
Hurricane_Luis
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 723
Age: 27
Joined: Sat Jun 23, 2012 3:14 pm
Location: Tiptree, Essex, United Kingdom
Contact:

Re: 92L or 93L?

#8 Postby Hurricane_Luis » Wed Aug 14, 2013 4:21 pm

abajan wrote:
hurricanekid416 wrote:What happens if they both get upgraded at the same advisory to a ts
That's an interesting question. I'd like to know the answer too.


I reckon 92L will get Erin and 93L will get Fernand because 92L got tagged an Invest first. (Anyone else please correct me if I am wrong)
btw I picked 92L.
0 likes   

User avatar
lilybeth
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 131
Joined: Tue Sep 06, 2011 12:31 am
Location: AZ by way of OH

#9 Postby lilybeth » Wed Aug 14, 2013 6:08 pm

I voted for 93L
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

hurricanehunter69
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 343
Joined: Sun May 16, 2010 5:21 pm
Location: New Orleans

#10 Postby hurricanehunter69 » Wed Aug 14, 2013 6:54 pm

I voted for 93L to get TD first, but I think 92L gets Erin.
0 likes   

User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8900
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

#11 Postby northjaxpro » Wed Aug 14, 2013 6:56 pm

I think 93L will be upgraded later tonight to TD staus, but I actually think it may be a TS already.
0 likes   
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019

User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

#12 Postby Gustywind » Wed Aug 14, 2013 7:02 pm

Hey, anyway they will both reach a status :) :lol: :lol:
0 likes   

User avatar
Hammy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5849
Age: 41
Joined: Fri May 25, 2012 5:25 pm
Contact:

#13 Postby Hammy » Wed Aug 14, 2013 8:12 pm

I'm going with 93L given the organization trend, as well as my thinking that they will wait for recon before upgrading 92L unless something drastic changes between now and then.
0 likes   
The above post is not official and should not be used as such. It is the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Hybridstorm_November2001
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2811
Joined: Sat Aug 21, 2004 2:50 pm
Location: SW New Brunswick, Canada
Contact:

#14 Postby Hybridstorm_November2001 » Wed Aug 14, 2013 8:19 pm

93L, imo
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145308
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 92L or 93L?

#15 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 14, 2013 8:23 pm

93L by a mile.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

CYCLONE MIKE
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2183
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 6:04 pm
Location: Gonzales, LA

Re: 92L or 93L?

#16 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Wed Aug 14, 2013 9:10 pm

Can I change my vote :lol: I thought 92 had a chance earlier today but really starting to have my doubts it develops much at all.
0 likes   

User avatar
South Texas Storms
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4226
Joined: Thu Jun 24, 2010 12:28 am
Location: Houston, TX

Re: 92L or 93L?

#17 Postby South Texas Storms » Wed Aug 14, 2013 9:13 pm

93L won.
0 likes   

User avatar
galaxy401
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2419
Age: 30
Joined: Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:04 pm
Location: Casa Grande, Arizona

Re: 92L or 93L?

#18 Postby galaxy401 » Wed Aug 14, 2013 9:18 pm

CYCLONE MIKE wrote:Can I change my vote :lol: I thought 92 had a chance earlier today but really starting to have my doubts it develops much at all.


This. Probably should of studied the storms closer before making a prediction. Oh well.
0 likes   
Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.

TheStormExpert

#19 Postby TheStormExpert » Wed Aug 14, 2013 9:28 pm

I figured since 92L was originally expected to slowly organize, and 93L seemed to be doing so at a faster pace (even though it is far away from threatening land) I chose 93L.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Cpv17, Google Adsense [Bot], Stratton23, Ulf and 49 guests