Convection off SW FL
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- ScottNAtlanta
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Convection off SW FL
Been noticing a blow up of convection off SW FL. There looked like there was some spin prior to the blow up. Pressures are high in the area but there was a sharp wind change (NE to SE) when the center passed. Any thoughts?
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Re: Convection off SW FL
I've been watching this for a bit also....
It appears to be truckin' though.
It appears to be truckin' though.
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- ScottNAtlanta
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Re: Convection off SW FL
Not sure if the spin I saw earlier moved with the convection or just died out, but there is very little shear in that area of the gulf.
Key West long rage radar still has some of it
http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... X&loop=yes
Key West long rage radar still has some of it
http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... X&loop=yes
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- tropicwatch
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Not really seeing anything that would indicate a surface low yet. Although it is an impressive area of showers.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/avn-l.jpg
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/avn-l.jpg
Last edited by tropicwatch on Mon Aug 19, 2013 2:44 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Tropicwatch
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- wxman57
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Re: Convection off SW FL
It's the time of year when such blobs need monitoring. None of the models develops it, and they're probably correct. But we don't know how it was initialized by the models. Nothing else to watch out there...
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Re: Convection off SW FL
Could spin up, could poof from the same hostile conditions that crushed 92L.
Does appear to be a flare-up on a weak wave and moving too quickly to develop - but the season is ripe so who knows...
Does appear to be a flare-up on a weak wave and moving too quickly to develop - but the season is ripe so who knows...
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Re: Convection off SW FL
Novice question/observation confirmation - On the edges of the convection, I see, what appears to me to be, outflow. Is my observation correct? If so, what positive effective does outflow have on system formation?
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-rgb.html
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-rgb.html
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Re: Convection off SW FL
which direction is it truckin'?TexWx wrote:I've been watching this for a bit also....
It appears to be truckin' though.
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- ScottNAtlanta
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Re: Convection off SW FL
Looks like convergence and divergence are increasing. There is also 850 vorticity showing up on the CIMSS analysis that wasnt there when I originally posted
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Re: Re:
JGrin87 wrote:gatorcane wrote:Here is the 850MB (low-level) vorticity map showing some vorticity with this area:
what does vorticity suggest? I'm sorry, I'm new to this.
It essentially means the amount of potential 'spin'. In this case, 850mb would be the low level vorticity.
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Re: Convection off SW FL
What will we see at the 8pm TWO? Perhaps 0%? 

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