CPAC: THREE-C - Tropical Depression

[supercane4867]

CP, 92, 2013081900, , BEST, 0, 162N, 1716W, 25, 1010, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 90, 45, 0, 0, C, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M,

[vrif]

92C must be the disturbance on the right of this OSCAT pass then.

[jaguarjace]

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a disturbance located about 900 miles west southwest of
Lihue Kauai are moving westward at 10 to 15 mph. Thunderstorms have intensified recently near an
apparent low level circulation center. Upper level winds have become weaker in the area, increasing the
chances of development, at least in the near term. This system has a medium chance, 30 percent, of
becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.

Next name is Wali

[Kingarabian]

Goodness gracious. It's been four years since the CPAC was this active... 2009..which had that strong El-Nino.

[Hurricane_Luis]

CPAC is filling in for the Atlantic. . Anyway.

Invest 92C. 30% chance for development. The next name on the list is Wali.

[CrazyC83]

There's no signs of an El Nino, correct? This seems so bizarre to have a hyperactive CPAC otherwise...

[Hurricane_Luis]

Up to 40%

1. An area of low pressure about 1000 miles west-southwest of Kauai Hawaii is moving west northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Thunderstorms continue to pulse near an apparent low level circulation center, but upper level winds are currently not conducive for development. However, conditions may become more conducive for development on Tuesday, and this system has a medium chance, 40 percent, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.

[Yellow Evan]

There's no signs of an El Nino, correct? This seems so bizarre to have a hyperactive CPAC otherwise...

It's not hyperactive. It's a bit like 2000 PHS though.

[supercane4867]

huhhhhhhhh


BEGIN
CPHC_ATCF
invest_cp032013.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201308190951
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END

[supercane4867]

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP032013
1100 AM HST MON AUG 19 2013

...YET ANOTHER SMALL TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPS NEAR THE DATE LINE...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.3N 175.5W
ABOUT 1075 MI...1730 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 410 MI...660 KM WNW OF JOHNSTON ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES

[Yellow Evan]

EPAC on fire near the dateline!

[hurricanes1234]

Another depression? And we're not in an El Niño? Can't wait until the eastern Pacific gets active like this (providing there are no landfalls, of course).

[galaxy401]

This really seems like an El Nino year. Storms are exploding in the Pacific.

[supercane4867]

This really seems like an El Nino year. Storms are exploding in the Pacific.

None of them were intense though, we got five CAT1 and not a single major

[Yellow Evan]

This really seems like an El Nino year. Storms are exploding in the Pacific.

None of them were intense though, we got five CAT1 and not a single major

Hence my 2000 comparison.

[supercane4867]

Hence my 2000 comparison.

I'd love to see a Carlotta type storm if this year is similar to 2000

[Kingarabian]

Impressive that this has become a TD considering it was at 20% yesterday.

GFS has another low forming in a few more days in the CPAC. Damn.

[CrazyC83]

At this rate, get a system farther east and the CPAC might spin up something huge...although this may not even become a storm.

This is starting to feel like an El Nino year.

[jaguarjace]

Saved loop.

[Yellow Evan]

At this rate, get a system farther east and the CPAC might spin up something huge...although this may not even become a storm.

This is starting to feel like an El Nino year.

All 3 storms were weak though. 3 of our last 4 El Nino's all had a hurricane that formed in the CPHC AOR.