Tropical Wave in the central Caribbean

[Gustywind]

Even if 94L has weaken and lost it Invest status, it stays a twave with a low pressure. Let's see how this feature evolves during the next couple of days as it trecks west on the Atlantic Ocean.

2 AM Discussion.


TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 08N29W TO A 1008 MB LOW NEAR 12N29W
TO 19N27W MOVING W AT 10-15 KT. THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A
BROAD 700 MB TROUGH S OF 20N BETWEEN 23W-32W AND IS LOCATED
WITHIN A BROAD LOW-LEVEL MONSOONAL GYRE FROM 08N-20N BETWEEN 21W-
40W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS NOTED WITH THE WAVE AT THIS
TIME.

[Gustywind]

8 AM Discussion.


TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM A 1010 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 12N29W TO
21N30W MOVING W AT 10-15 KT. THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROAD
700 MB TROUGH S OF 20N BETWEEN 23W-32W AND IS LOCATED WITHIN A
BROAD LOW-LEVEL MONSOONAL GYRE FROM 09N-17N BETWEEN 23W-41W. NO
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS NOTED WITH THE WAVE AT THIS TIME.

[Gustywind]

8 PM Discussion. Looks like the twave is trying to mosterize a little bit.

A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 21N26W TO 17N30W TO 10N33W MOVING W
AT 10 KT. A 1010 MB LOW IS EMBEDDED ON THE WAVE AXIS NEAR
12N32W. THE WAVE IS LOCATED ON THE LEADING EDGE OF A AN AREA OF
MAXIMUM DEEP LAYER MOISTURE AS NOTED ON SSMI TOTAL PRECIPITABLE
WATER IMAGERY. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE WAVE
AXIS.

[Gustywind]

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT WED AUG 21 2013


TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM A 1010 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 11N34W TO
15N35W TO 19N33W MOVING W AT 10-15 KT. THE LOW CENTER REMAINS
THE FOCAL POINT FOR A BROAD AND ENLONGATED MONSOONAL GYRE
CIRCULATION INFLUENCING THE TROPICAL ATLC FROM 08N-17N BETWEEN
27W-47W. NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION IS OCCURRING IN THE
VICINITY OF THE WAVE HOWEVER SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 07N-10N BETWEEN 32W-40W IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE MONSOON
TROUGH AXIS.

[Gustywind]

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT THU AUG 22 2013


TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N45W TO 18N42W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
THE WAVE REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH AT THE
SURFACE AND WITHIN A LOWER AMPLITUDE 700 MB TROUGH BETWEEN 40W-
50W. TO THE EAST OF THIS AREA...GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES
ANOTHER HIGHER AMPLITUDE IMPULSE OF 700 MB TROUGHING IS LOCATED
BETWEEN 30W-40W. AT THIS TIME ANY SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION REMAINS
CONFINED SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS.

[Gustywind]

8 PM Discussion.


TROPICAL WAVE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 16N48W TO 7N49W
MOVING W 20 KT. WAVE IS ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF A SURGE OF
DEEP MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER
IMAGERY. NO ASSOCIATED SHOWERS/CONVECTION.

[Gustywind]

By the way, even if this twave do not seems to increase... our Pro Mets of Meteo-France Guadeloupe expected a deterioration of the weather Sunday, with numerous showers sometimes strong and even isolated tstorms . Let's wait and see.
I will keep your informed if anything happens with this feature.

Gustywind

[Gustywind]

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT FRI AUG 23 2013



TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 07N53W TO 16N47W MOVING W AT 10-15
KT. THE WAVE REMAINS LOW-AMPLITUDE AND EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ
AXIS. CONVECTION REMAINS LIMITED WITH ONLY A FEW ISOLATED
SHOWERS OCCURRING WITHIN 210 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE AXIS.

[Steve H.]

I'm sure this has nothing to do with the remnants of 94L, but there is a circulation approaching the Central Atlantic from the NE dropping sw'ward. Appears it's trying to pick up some conveection, weak as it may be!

[Hurricaneman]

I'm sure this has nothing to do with the remnants of 94L, but there is a circulation approaching the Central Atlantic from the NE dropping sw'ward. Appears it's trying to pick up some conveection, weak as it may be!

We're discussing this feature here viewtopic.php?f=31&t=115485

as for this it does look like its trying to organize

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[Gustywind]

2PM TWD.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS WEST OF THE ITCZ AXIS AND ABOUT 450 NM SE OF
THE LESSER ANTILLES. ITS AXIS EXTENDS FROM 16N46W TO 07N59W AND
IS MOVING W-NW NEAR 15 KT. THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED IN A MODERATE
MOIST ENVIRONMENT IN THE LOWER LEVELS AND THERE IS NO CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH IT.

[Gustywind]

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT FRI AUG 23 2013



TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 16N53W TO
8N55W MOVING W 10-15 KT. WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN AN AREA OF
MODERATE MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER
IMAGERY. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 12N-
14N BETWEEN 54W-56W.

[Gustywind]

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT SAT AUG 24 2013

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 17N55W TO
8N56W MOVING W 10-15 KT. WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN AN AREA OF
MODERATE MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER
IMAGERY. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 52W-60W.

[Gustywind]

8 AM TWD.

TROPICAL WAVE JUST E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES EXTENDS FROM 16N58W
TO 8N60W MOVING W 10-15 KT. WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN AN AREA OF
MODERATE MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON SSMI TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER
IMAGERY. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 56W-60W.

[Gustywind]

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT SAT AUG 24 2013


TROPICAL WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE WINDWARD ISLANDS EXTENDS FROM
17N59W TO 8N63W MOVING W 15 KT. 12 UTC RAOB FROM BARBADOS
SUGGESTED WAVE AXIS HAD PASSED TO THEIR WEST BEFORE 12 UTC. WAVE
IS EMBEDDED WITHIN AN AREA OF MODERATE MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON
SSMI TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. SCATTERED SHOWERS
ISOLATED TSTMS ARE FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 58W-64W.

[CrazyC83]

Maybe it could be a sleeper for development as it gets into the western Caribbean? After all, that is the most favorable area right now...it certainly isn't the MDR.

[Gustywind]

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION..COR...
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT SAT AUG 24 2013


AN ATLANTIC OCEAN-TO-CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG
20N60W...PASSING ACROSS GUADELOUPE...TO THE VENEZUELA COAST NEAR
10N62W. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS. SCATTERED STRONG
FROM 14N TO 15N BETWEEN 60W AND 62W...AND FROM 15N TO 16N
BETWEEN 65W AND 67W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE TO THE
SOUTH OF 18N BETWEEN 59W AND 70W. THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN
INCHES AS OF 24/1200 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN
TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLE...MIATPTPAN...IS
0.19 IN ST. THOMAS.

[Gustywind]

8 AM TWD.


TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES EXTENDS FROM 17N64W TO
7N65W MOVING W 10-15 KT. WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN AN AREA OF
MODERATE MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON SSMI TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER
IMAGERY. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER
VENEZUELA FROM 3N-8N BETWEEN 63W-66W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS S OF PUERTO RICO FROM 15N-17N BETWEEN 67W-70W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE REMAINDER OF THE
WAVE AXIS.

[ROCK]

x-94L looks pretty decent for a naked swirl yesterday.....it has some convection now right on top of the weak LLC.....

[boca]

Ity looks like this area is developing as well as it moves WNW.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/avn-l.jpg