Northern Gulf
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CYCLONE MIKE
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Re: Northern Gulf (10%/10%)
Been silently watching this all afternoon hoping just maybe the gulf might be able to produce something. But nope the season or lack thereof continues. POOF it goes.
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ozonepete
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Re: Northern Gulf (10%/10%)
Frankly it looks to me like the MLC stalled out this afternoon and is now drifting northward. That's unfortunate because it doesn't look like this system as a whole is moving westward anymore, i.e. the moisture may not make it much further west. But that large disturbance over the Yucatan is moving northwestward and looks like it could provide a lot of moisture for Texas in a couple of days anyway. Regardless, this system doesn't look viable anymore...
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hurricanehunter69
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Re: Northern Gulf (10%/10%)
Man....ya gotta love it! This is what it's all about! Standing on the beach, with a stiff breez, and those ominous, fast moving low clouds. Life is good! I don't need a computer or a TV to know something is going on in the gulf. All I gotta do is go out on the beach and look up in the sky! I love a tropical weather sunset!
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ozonepete
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Re: Northern Gulf (10%/10%)
hurricanehunter69 wrote:Man....ya gotta love it! This is what it's all about! Standing on the beach, with a stiff breez, and those ominous, fast moving low clouds. Life is good! I don't need a computer or a TV to know something is going on in the gulf. All I gotta do is go out on the beach and look up in the sky! I love a tropical weather sunset!
A lot of us here know exactly what you mean and wish we were there. Enjoy it.
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ozonepete
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Re: Northern Gulf (10%/10%)
A little off topic but I see that since I talked about the other system over the Yucatan at the top of this page the NHC has put it up as an area of interest on their outlook page. Let's hope Texas gets some moisture out of this.
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CYCLONE MIKE
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Re: Northern Gulf (10%/10%)
hurricanehunter69 wrote:Man....ya gotta love it! This is what it's all about! Standing on the beach, with a stiff breez, and those ominous, fast moving low clouds. Life is good! I don't need a computer or a TV to know something is going on in the gulf. All I gotta do is go out on the beach and look up in the sky! I love a tropical weather sunset!
Only problem is there is actually nothing going on at all besides some light showers. But you are right about the part being on the beach with a nice breeze.
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Re: Northern Gulf (10%/10%)
Just curious...Are both disturbances headed for Texas? Also, looks like both disturbances are about to merge! Is that Possible? This might be our one and only chance for some beneficial rains here in Texas.
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ozonepete
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Re: Northern Gulf (10%/10%)
djmikey wrote:Just curious...Are both disturbances headed for Texas? Also, looks like both disturbances are about to merge! Is that Possible? This might be our one and only chance for some beneficial rains here in Texas.
Not both. The southern one over the Yucatan could be IMHO. Keep your fingers crossed. And I wouldn't say it's your last chance. There's plenty of time left and the season may start producing a lot of disturbances out there yet.
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Nikki
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Re: Northern Gulf (10%/10%)
ozonepete wrote:djmikey wrote:Just curious...Are both disturbances headed for Texas? Also, looks like both disturbances are about to merge! Is that Possible? This might be our one and only chance for some beneficial rains here in Texas.
Not both. The southern one over the Yucatan could be IMHO. Keep your fingers crossed. And I wouldn't say it's your last chance. There's plenty of time left and the season may start producing a lot of disturbances out there yet.
The one over the Yucatan shouldn't strengthen too much, correct?
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Looks like the Convection is increasing again
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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cycloneye
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Re: Northern Gulf (10%/10%)
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS PRODUCING SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. THERE ARE NO INDICATIONS
OF A SURFACE CIRCULATION...AND SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT APPEARS
UNLIKELY BEFORE THE TROUGH REACHES THE NORTHWESTERN GULF COAST BY
TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...
OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW
CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 5 DAYS.
ACTIVITY OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. THERE ARE NO INDICATIONS
OF A SURFACE CIRCULATION...AND SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT APPEARS
UNLIKELY BEFORE THE TROUGH REACHES THE NORTHWESTERN GULF COAST BY
TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...
OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW
CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 5 DAYS.
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Bailey1777
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wxman57
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Re:
Bailey1777 wrote:any thoughts on this today? nice blow up.... weather channel said there might be a surface circulation -weak- riding the La. coast.
I'm thinking no development but maybe some rain for Texas.
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Re: Northern Gulf (0%/0%)
WSW winds at this station but I doubt it is closed off.
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=kgry
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=kgry
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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wxman57
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Re: Northern Gulf (0%/0%)
tailgater wrote:WSW winds at this station but I doubt it is closed off.
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=kgry
A thunderstorm was passing by. Gusts 35-40 kts. Obs all over the NW Gulf - no evidence at all of any surface circulation. And the mid-level circulation has died out. Zero chance of development. Well, maybe 0.9%.
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Re: Re:
wxman57 wrote:Bailey1777 wrote:any thoughts on this today? nice blow up.... weather channel said there might be a surface circulation -weak- riding the La. coast.
I'm thinking no development but maybe some rain for Texas.
wxman57 just the rain will be greatly appreciated.
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Re: Northern Gulf (0%/0%)
0.9% chance is better than nothing..... 
I was amped up about this yesterday but since then my 3 cans of Red Bull have worn off.
I was amped up about this yesterday but since then my 3 cans of Red Bull have worn off.
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Re: Northern Gulf (0%/0%)
Just finished mowing my lawn and noticed that the breeze has definitely picked up and the clouds are moving rather quickly from NE to SW. It has the "look" and the "feel" of something brewing.
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