Tropical Wave in Eastern Caribbean (Pouch 24L)
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave in East Atlantic (Pouch 24L)
This system has been introduced as a Tropical Wave in 12z Surface Analysis.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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ninel conde
Re: Disturbed Weather emerging West Africa (Pouch 24L)
CalmBeforeStorm wrote:Gustywind wrote:
Thanks for that nice pic. Yeah, decent structure there Ouragan but our main focus is always: could it make it this time in spite of the negatives elements that all it predecessors had faced? It's the 10000 $ question
What are the negative elements it faces now?
lots of dry sinking air. the part of the wave that would contain any circulation has evaporated already.
Last edited by ninel conde on Fri Aug 23, 2013 11:15 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Would this be wave that the GFS seems to have just stall out for days?
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alienstorm
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There is a twist associated with the low pressure area south of the cape verde islands. We will see if this makes it in the next 24 hours
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gatorcane
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Well this is the pouch I did target for our next named system (Fernand) several days ago between Aug 25-27. Not looking too bad today. Let's see if it can get it's act together as we are at that time of year we would expect a system like this to make a run at development. Very vigorous as it rolled off Africa and there is less dry air out there than there was a week or two ago as the MDR continues to moisten.
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TheStormExpert
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ouragans
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Re: Tropical Wave in East Atlantic (Pouch 24L)
Finally !!!! 
A TROPICAL WAVE ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE CAME OFF
THE AFRICAN COAST THIS MORNING. ITS AXIS EXTENDS FROM 17N19W TO
A 1011 MB LOW EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR 10N20W TO
07N21W. THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED IN A HIGH MOIST ENVIRONMENT WHICH
ALONG UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE SUPPORTS SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION FROM 07N-14N BETWEEN 18W-31W.
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Personal forecast disclaimer
This post is a personal point of view, not an information. Please refer to official statements for life-threatening decisions.
David '79, Frederic '79, Hugo '89, Iris, Luis & Marilyn '95, Georges '98, Lenny '99, Dean '07, Irma '17, Maria '17, Fiona '22, Philippe '23, Tammy '23
16°13'33.3,"6N -61°36'39.5"W
This post is a personal point of view, not an information. Please refer to official statements for life-threatening decisions.
David '79, Frederic '79, Hugo '89, Iris, Luis & Marilyn '95, Georges '98, Lenny '99, Dean '07, Irma '17, Maria '17, Fiona '22, Philippe '23, Tammy '23
16°13'33.3,"6N -61°36'39.5"W
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HurricaneDREW92
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Re: Tropical Wave in East Atlantic (Pouch 24L)
Looking very good right now. Wouldnt be at all suprised to see this make TD status in 96hrs.
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This post is NOT AN OFFICIAL FORECAST and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-THE ABOVE IS THE OPINION OF DREW ONLY
-THE ABOVE IS THE OPINION OF DREW ONLY
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Gustywind
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TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT FRI AUG 23 2013
TROPICAL WAVE OFF AFRICA EXTENDS FROM 15N21W THROUGH A 1010 MB
LOW NEAR 11N22W TO 7N23W MOVING W NEAR 10 KT. WAVE IS EMBEDDED
WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. NO ASSOCIATED SHOWERS/CONVECTION.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT FRI AUG 23 2013
TROPICAL WAVE OFF AFRICA EXTENDS FROM 15N21W THROUGH A 1010 MB
LOW NEAR 11N22W TO 7N23W MOVING W NEAR 10 KT. WAVE IS EMBEDDED
WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. NO ASSOCIATED SHOWERS/CONVECTION.
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HurricaneDREW92
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Re:
Gustywind wrote:TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT FRI AUG 23 2013
TROPICAL WAVE OFF AFRICA EXTENDS FROM 15N21W THROUGH A 1010 MB
LOW NEAR 11N22W TO 7N23W MOVING W NEAR 10 KT. WAVE IS EMBEDDED
WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. NO ASSOCIATED SHOWERS/CONVECTION.
What? Plenty of associated convection.
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This post is NOT AN OFFICIAL FORECAST and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-THE ABOVE IS THE OPINION OF DREW ONLY
-THE ABOVE IS THE OPINION OF DREW ONLY
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Gustywind
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Re: Re:
HurricaneDREW92 wrote:Gustywind wrote:TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT FRI AUG 23 2013
TROPICAL WAVE OFF AFRICA EXTENDS FROM 15N21W THROUGH A 1010 MB
LOW NEAR 11N22W TO 7N23W MOVING W NEAR 10 KT. WAVE IS EMBEDDED
WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. NO ASSOCIATED SHOWERS/CONVECTION.
What? Plenty of associated convection.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MI ... WDAT.shtml?
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HurricaneDREW92
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Re: Re:
I know the NHC said that, but I disagree.
Gustywind wrote:HurricaneDREW92 wrote:Gustywind wrote:TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT FRI AUG 23 2013
TROPICAL WAVE OFF AFRICA EXTENDS FROM 15N21W THROUGH A 1010 MB
LOW NEAR 11N22W TO 7N23W MOVING W NEAR 10 KT. WAVE IS EMBEDDED
WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. NO ASSOCIATED SHOWERS/CONVECTION.
What? Plenty of associated convection.
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This post is NOT AN OFFICIAL FORECAST and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-THE ABOVE IS THE OPINION OF DREW ONLY
-THE ABOVE IS THE OPINION OF DREW ONLY
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HurricaneDREW92
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Re:
gatorcane wrote:Latest saved SAT image. Looking better and if this keeps up, should get a mention by NHC in the next outlook or two:
http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/9796/6o66.jpg
Looks very good WRF model likes this one.
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This post is NOT AN OFFICIAL FORECAST and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-THE ABOVE IS THE OPINION OF DREW ONLY
-THE ABOVE IS THE OPINION OF DREW ONLY
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TropicalAnalystwx13
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Gustywind
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TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT SAT AUG 24 2013
TROPICAL WAVE OFF AFRICA EXTENDS FROM 19N22W TO A 1010 MB LOW
NEAR 12N24W TO 8N24W MOVING W NEAR 10 KT. WAVE IS EMBEDDED
WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 9N-14N BETWEEN 26W-32W
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT SAT AUG 24 2013
TROPICAL WAVE OFF AFRICA EXTENDS FROM 19N22W TO A 1010 MB LOW
NEAR 12N24W TO 8N24W MOVING W NEAR 10 KT. WAVE IS EMBEDDED
WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 9N-14N BETWEEN 26W-32W
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Gustywind
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TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT SAT AUG 24 2013
TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS EXTENDS FROM 19N23W TO
A 1009 MB LOW NEAR 12N25W TO 8N25W MOVING W NEAR 10 KT. WAVE IS
EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON SSMI
TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS W OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 26W-32W.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT SAT AUG 24 2013
TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS EXTENDS FROM 19N23W TO
A 1009 MB LOW NEAR 12N25W TO 8N25W MOVING W NEAR 10 KT. WAVE IS
EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON SSMI
TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS W OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 26W-32W.
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