18:00 UTC tropical model suite=westbound except one

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145453
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

18:00 UTC tropical model suite=westbound except one

#1 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 10, 2003 1:54 pm

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... s/03091018

The A98E is going very south with it but I discount it but the others are tighted clustered west pointing towards the Bahamas and Florida.They iniciate with 120 kts this run.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
WeatherEmperor
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4806
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 2:54 pm
Location: South Florida

#2 Postby WeatherEmperor » Wed Sep 10, 2003 1:57 pm

You are correct. Take a look at this for a graphical perspective:

http://www.wrel.com/modelmap.htm

This is really beginning to frighten me here in South Florida.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Aquawind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6714
Age: 62
Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 10:41 pm
Location: Salisbury, NC
Contact:
Contact Aquawind

#3 Postby Aquawind » Wed Sep 10, 2003 1:58 pm

Looking like a Landfall really will ocurr somewhere.. :( The Bahamas count to.. :8:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
JCT777
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6251
Joined: Mon Oct 14, 2002 9:21 am
Location: Spring Mount, PA
Contact:
Contact JCT777

#4 Postby JCT777 » Wed Sep 10, 2003 2:14 pm

Yes Luis, it does appear that there is a consensus in those tropical models (except for the A98E which seems totally off-base). I do find it humorous that the SHIPS wind speed goes down to 73 kts by 120 hrs and the wind speed for sick-looking TD 14 is up to 50 kts. IMO, the SHIPS numbers should be ignored.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145453
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#5 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 10, 2003 2:18 pm

Yes agree 777 about ships as I saw Derek at another thread saying about ships doing that due to technnical things that it does but that is not real.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google [Bot] and 41 guests