EPAC: INVEST 97E

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supercane4867
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EPAC: INVEST 97E

#1 Postby supercane4867 » Wed Aug 28, 2013 2:01 pm

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_ep972013.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201308281848
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
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supercane4867
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 97E

#2 Postby supercane4867 » Wed Aug 28, 2013 2:04 pm

Image
AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED ABOUT
1500 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA IS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA. CONDITIONS
ARE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE
NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 5 DAYS.
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Extratropical94
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#3 Postby Extratropical94 » Wed Aug 28, 2013 3:50 pm

12Z GFS develops this into a TS (it also develops the blob east of it into a TD).

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54° 11' 59'' N, 9° 9' 20'' E
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 97E

#4 Postby hurricanes1234 » Wed Aug 28, 2013 6:40 pm

We could be seeing just another weak system out of this. Isn't the MJO supposedly in a favourable state?

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Re: EPAC: INVEST 97E

#5 Postby Yellow Evan » Wed Aug 28, 2013 7:07 pm

hurricanes1234 wrote:We could be seeing just another weak system out of this. Isn't the MJO supposedly in a favourable state?

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.


I doubt this will form IMO.
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