More on this a little later once I get it organized. I did a little bit of climo. lookup just out of curiosity for the past 30 years. In this, I analyzed the paths of storms above and below 20 degrees north at 60 degrees west that threatened the US. A threat here is defined as a storm that either hits the US or runs between the East Coast and three-fourths or so the distance to Bermuda.
I found that of 15 storms that met the criteria of threatening in the past 30 years that have taken similar paths as Isabel, 13 (86.67%) have behaved in a set pattern. One of these exceptions traveled below 20N 60W and went out to sea. The one exception that made landfall after being above 20N at 60W was Andrew.
I'll see if I can find anything else...
Some quick unchecked climo. numbers
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