Caribbean - Central America Weather

[Gustywind]

Lots of lightning around..no rain yet

http://www.sxmcyclone.com/stormvuengx/StormVueNG.html

Thanks for that report. Here numerous lightnings moderate to strong showers continues after a small break...
Be aware very wet weather conditions should deteriorate in your area.

[msbee]

OK Gusty lets keep each other posted when we can
we had heavy thunder and lightning a short while ago..no rain. all quiet right now.

Hope PR will be OK... looks like TD 7 will roll right over them
Be careful Luis!

[Gustywind]

Latest Weather Forecast for Guadeloupe 6 PM. Yellow alert is maintained!

http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... ivi_gd.pdf

Level of vigilance: yellow.

Danger: Heavy rains and thunderstorms.

Validity: ongoing until Thursday, September 05, 2013 included.

Current situation:The weather situation is influenced by two disturbed systems: one in the Caribbean Sea now Depression tropical n ° 7 and who moves in the direction of Puerto Rico; the other located on the near Atlantic and will concerning this evening and tonight our island.

Forecasts: Rains are reactivated on our island and become again more frequent during the night. They can take locally a stormy character. Rainfall expected should reach values between 50 to 100 millemeters in some areas in 12 hours.
No sustainable improvement is expected before the end of tommorow Thursday.

Observed data:

Collected over the last 24 hours:
-Les Mamelles: 32 mm.

Next newsletter: Thursday September 5, 2013 around 06 AM.

[Gustywind]

OK Gusty lets keep each other posted when we can
we had heavy thunder and lightning a short while ago..no rain. all quiet right now.

Hope PR will be OK... looks like TD 7 will roll right over them
Be careful Luis!

Yeah Barbara, that's the good strategy ! I will try as possible and as usual. Thanks for that report I hop sincerely that nothing too bad happen in PR and that Luis will keep us informed if weather conditions are not too nasty. Cycloneye we're with you my friend Be safe and dry!
Barbara did you experienced poweroutages during this brief episode of tstorms/ thunder?

[Macrocane]

That was faster than expected, Puerto Rico may be dealing with a tropical storm tonight. Stay Safe.

[cycloneye]

Gabrielle at 11 PM advisory.

, 2013090500, , BEST, 0, 167N, 663W, 35, 1008, TS, 34, NEQ, 40, 0, 0, 0, 1010, 120, 30, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, GABRIELLE, M

[Gustywind]

Gabrielle at 11 PM advisory.

, 2013090500, , BEST, 0, 167N, 663W, 35, 1008, TS, 34, NEQ, 40, 0, 0, 0, 1010, 120, 30, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, GABRIELLE, M

Thanks for that info . What the weather like especially in your area Luis?

[cycloneye]

Scattered showers tonight but those will increase as the night progress. The governor said that no work nor schools will operate on thursday.

[Gustywind]

Scattered showers tonight but those will increase as the night progress. The governor said that no work nor schools will operate on thursday.

Ok thanks for these infos my friend .

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 2...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072013
1100 PM AST WED SEP 04 2013

CORRECTED TO CHANGE DEPRESSION TO GABRIELLE IN RAINFALL STATEMENT

...DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE...
...HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.0N 66.6W
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM S OF PONCE PUERTO RICO
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM SE OF PUNTA CANA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO CABO FRANCES VIEJO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM SANTO DOMINGO TO CABO ENGANO

INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

[Gustywind]

TS Gabrielle should bring heavy rain on PR today as there's a real potential for Flash Flooding across all Puerto Rico.

172
FXCA62 TJSJ 050944
AFDSJU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
544 AM AST THU SEP 5 2013

.SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE IS NOW AT 17.5N 66.9W WITH
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ASSOCIATED WITH GABRIELLE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE LOCAL
ISLANDS. FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE READ OUR HURRICANE LOCAL
STATEMENT.


&&

.DISCUSSION...RAINFALL HAVE BEEN INCREASING SINCE MIDNIGHT...AS
TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWEST SOUTH OF THE LOCAL
AREA. VERY HEAVY RAIN WAS AFFECTING SAINT CROIX...WHERE A FLASH
FLOOD WARNING WAS ISSUED. GABRIELLE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE VERY
SLOWLY NEXT 12-24 HOURS WHICH WILL INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR
FLASH FLOODING ACROSS ALL PUERTO RICO. MAIN CONCERNED AT THIS TIME
IS THE RAINFALL ACCUMULATION THAT COULD OCCUR AS THIS SYSTEM
MAINTAINS AREAS OF STRONG CONVECTION OVER THE AREA. AT THIS
TIME...PER LATEST NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER DISCUSSION...GABRIELLE
WILL PASS ACROSS THE MONA PASSAGE TODAY...AND WILL LINGER NORTH
OF THE AREA FRIDAY. WILL SEND UPDATE TO FORECAST AS NEEDED AS
SITUATION EVOLVES DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

&&

.AVIATION... MVFR CIGS LIKELY ACROSS THE LOCAL TERMINALS TODAY AS
TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA.
TIST/TISX...TNCM/TKPK...TJPS AND TJSJ WILL OBSERVE LOW CIGS THIS
MORNING AND SHRA/TSRA IS LIKELY ACROSS ALL THE TERMINALS. TJBQ AND
TJMZ HAS A GOOD CHANCE OF OBSERVING WINDS UP TO 35 KTS THIS MORNING.
EXPECT DETERIORATING WX CONDS AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. TEMPO GROUPS
WILL BE ISSUED AS NEEDED TO ACCOUNT FOR SIGNIFICANT WX THAT WILL
AFFECT THE TERMINALS BUT LAST LESS THAN AN HOUR AT A TIME.

&&

.MARINE...CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN VERY DANGEROUS AS
TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE MOVES ACROSS THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS.
REFER TO LATEST MARINE PRODUCTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 87 77 88 76 / 60 70 70 40
STT 87 79 88 78 / 80 70 70 50

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR CENTRAL INTERIOR-
CULEBRA-EASTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-NORTH
CENTRAL-NORTHEAST-NORTHWEST-PONCE AND VICINITY-SAN JUAN AND
VICINITY-SOUTHEAST-SOUTHWEST-VIEQUES-WESTERN INTERIOR.

TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL INTERIOR-EASTERN INTERIOR-
MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-NORTH CENTRAL-NORTHEAST-NORTHWEST-
PONCE AND VICINITY-SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-SOUTHEAST-
SOUTHWEST-WESTERN INTERIOR.

VI...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR ST CROIX-ST.
THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS.

COASTAL WATERS...


SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM AST THIS MORNING FOR ATLC WATERS
OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N.

&&

$$

09/71

[Gustywind]

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072013
500 AM AST THU SEP 05 2013

...GABRIELLE BRINGING HEAVY RAINS TO PUERTO RICO AND ADJACENT
ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.5N 66.9W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM SSW OF PONCE PUERTO RICO
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM SE OF PUNTA CANA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO CABO FRANCES VIEJO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM SANTO DOMINGO TO CABO ENGANO

INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE
WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.9 WEST.
GABRIELLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER SHOULD PASS NEAR
OR OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN PORTION OF PUERTO RICO THIS MORNING AND
ACROSS THE MONA PASSAGE LATER TODAY. GABRIELLE SHOULD THEN MOVE EAST
OF THE TURKS AND THE CAICOS ISLANDS ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

GABRIELLE IS A SMALL TROPICAL CYCLONE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...GABRIELLE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER PUERTO RICO...THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND
EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF UP TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE
COAST OF PUERTO RICO THIS MORNING...AND REACH THE WARNING AREA IN
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA LATER TODAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

[cycloneye]

Good morning. So far in PR heavy rains have cause flooding in some areas but so far anything about mudslides nor casualties. I will keep all informed about how things go today.

TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
635 AM AST THU SEP 5 2013

...GABRIELLE BRINGING HEAVY RAINS TO PUERTO RICO AND ADJACENT
ISLANDS...

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED LOCATION AND MOTION OF TROPICAL STORM.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
FOR ALL OF MAINLAND PUERTO RICO.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL
WATERS.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL
WATERS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS
THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 6 AM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.5N...LONGITUDE 66.9W. THIS WAS ABOUT 90 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PR...OR ABOUT 40 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF
PONCE PR. STORM MOTION WAS NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
GABRIELLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-
NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER SHOULD PASS NEAR
OR OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN PORTION OF PUERTO RIC0 THIS MORNING AND
ACROSS THE MONA PASSAGE LATER TODAY. INTERMITTENT RAIN AND SQUALLS HAVE
ALREADY BEGUN TO AFFECT THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PORTIONS OF
PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA. EXPECT THESE
CONDITIONS TO BE MORE FREQUENT THIS MORNING. REGARDLESS OF THE
EXACT TRACK OF THE CENTER OF GABRIELLE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF
PUERTO RICO.

[cycloneye]

Good morning. So far in PR heavy rains have cause flooding in some areas but so far anything about mudslides nor casualties. I will keep all informed about how things go today.

TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
635 AM AST THU SEP 5 2013

...GABRIELLE BRINGING HEAVY RAINS TO PUERTO RICO AND ADJACENT
ISLANDS...

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED LOCATION AND MOTION OF TROPICAL STORM.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
FOR ALL OF MAINLAND PUERTO RICO.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL
WATERS.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL
WATERS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS
THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 6 AM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.5N...LONGITUDE 66.9W. THIS WAS ABOUT 90 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PR...OR ABOUT 40 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF
PONCE PR. STORM MOTION WAS NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
GABRIELLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-
NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER SHOULD PASS NEAR
OR OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN PORTION OF PUERTO RIC0 THIS MORNING AND
ACROSS THE MONA PASSAGE LATER TODAY. INTERMITTENT RAIN AND SQUALLS HAVE
ALREADY BEGUN TO AFFECT THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PORTIONS OF
PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA. EXPECT THESE
CONDITIONS TO BE MORE FREQUENT THIS MORNING. REGARDLESS OF THE
EXACT TRACK OF THE CENTER OF GABRIELLE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF
PUERTO RICO.

[redneck51]

Checking in from the Las Piedras, close to the east coast of Puerto Rico.
It has been raining on and off during the night but no wind to speak off. The power is on and that tells the story (when somebody farts too loud around here we lose power. )

Right now it's dry and there's a light breeze.

Here's what I see right now from my front porch:

[Gustywind]

Checking in from the Las Piedras, close to the east coast of Puerto Rico.
It has been raining on and off during the night but no wind to speak off. The power is on and that tells the story (when somebody farts too loud around here we lose power. )

Right now it's dry and there's a light breeze.

Here's what I see right now from my front porch:

Thanks for that report. Glad to see that you have power Continue to keep us informed amigo

[msbee]

Good morning Luis
will be thinking about you today. thanks for the updates
Barbara

[Gustywind]

Good morning Luis
will be thinking about you today. thanks for the updates
Barbara

Thanks Barbara. I will be thinking about you too as you're always in yellow alert as me. By the way, how was your night?
Mine was very wet, our Pro Mets reported 100 millimeters in my area in less than 12h... Weather is very cloudy to slighlty overcast but sun is trying to shine for 15 minutes. No rain in vicinity, light winds.

[msbee]

Good morning Gusty
We are doing fine here.
You had a good amount of rain in a short time. Glad it wasn't any worse.
We had a considerable amount of thunder and lightning last night but NO rain! It was so surprising! Everyone was prepared for heavy rainfall but it didn't happen.
High seas and light winds this morning but still no rain..
the sun is trying to peek through here too.

[Gustywind]

Good morning Gusty
We are doing fine here.
You had a good amount of rain in a short time. Glad it wasn't any worse.
We had a considerable amount of thunder and lightning last night but NO rain! It was so surprising! Everyone was prepared for heavy rainfall but it didn't happen.
High seas and light winds this morning but still no rain..
the sun is trying to peek through here too.

Thanks for that report. Glad to see that nothing bad occurs. Yeah huge amount of water and numerous thunderstorms, lightnings. Looks like it's my only my area in the island who have experienced this strong episode of tstorms, rains. Things try to improve a bit, but we stay on our guard as things could redeteriorate during the next hours...

Anyway, let's continue each other to monitor carefully the situation in case of.