ATL: GABRIELLE - Remnants - Discussion

[Blown Away]

Can't find any FL winds over 37-38 kts, myself. MLC of disturbance NE of Gabrielle appears to have dissipated overnight. Could regenerate north of the Caribbean in a day or two.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... imated.gif
Is the LLC the area that could regenerate, assuming survival across Hispaniola?

[HurriGuy]

IMO... I would think even if there is a circulation off the southwest coast of Puerto Rico, it looks it is drifting right towards Hispanola/D.R. Aren't the tallest mountains in the Carribbean located there? They would surely rip whatever is left apart?


The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

[ninel conde]

IMO... I would think even if there is a circulation off the southwest coast of Puerto Rico, it looks it is drifting right towards Hispanola/D.R. Aren't the tallest mountains in the Carribbean located there? They would surely rip whatever is left apart?


The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

the ne blob is getting absorbed quickly into a strong ULL so that has no chance. maybe the ULL can slowly develop. otherwise, maybe some type of disturbed weather could drift around the bahamas.

[HURAKAN]

the season so far!

[CrazyC83]

Almost nothing can break that...

[Dean4Storms]

You can still see on radar out of San Juan that the LLC to the west still has thunderstorms trying to wrap within its influence to the NE of the center. This is not done yet and need to watch that LLC for later regeneration IMO.

[Javlin]

IMO... I would think even if there is a circulation off the southwest coast of Puerto Rico, it looks it is drifting right towards Hispanola/D.R. Aren't the tallest mountains in the Carribbean located there? They would surely rip whatever is left apart?


The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

the ne blob is getting absorbed quickly into a strong ULL so that has no chance. maybe the ULL can slowly develop. otherwise, maybe some type of disturbed weather could drift around the bahamas.

Been my observation thus far this year "to many ULLs" it appears once a trof emerges off the E Coast ULL dives SW from the mid-ATL and so it shall be.Dr.Mccoy looks up from his desk hearing that he may have to make a presentation within the next 10days

[Hurricane Alexis]

Well this has been the story of the season. Storms that don't sustain themselves for more than 3 days, in this case not even one day.

[Aric Dunn]

lets see what happens i still would not pay much attention to the model the are just not handling the it too well at all. the motion earlier of that vort that is call a TD was moving more westerly now its moving more nnw if it can continue that it would clip the tip of DR and probably survive enough to go with some of the models that take the separate areas

['CaneFreak]

Neither are the humans This is one tough bird to forecast.

lets see what happens i still would not pay much attention to the model the are just not handling the it too well at all.

[Airboy]

I see some kind of circulation at 18N 65.5W on visible sat.

[CrazyC83]

I didn't see any Recon flight into the MLC to see if an LLC formed though?

[AdamFirst]

I hate to be that guy but I'm jamming my "season cancel" panic button right now. I thought Gabi was going to break the trend - even if it fished I was expecting minimal hurricane or more.

But nope. Suffered the same fate as all the other storms and waves in the Atlantic/central to eastern Caribbean basin to date.

It's always nice for a big storm not to impact a land area, but I must admit I'm getting frustrated about the lack of activity.

[HurricaneTracker2031]

MY OPINION ON TD GABBY AND AREAS IN ATLANTIC: http://goo.gl/FdmjOE

TAKE A LOOK

[wxman57]

Can't find any FL winds over 37-38 kts, myself. MLC of disturbance NE of Gabrielle appears to have dissipated overnight. Could regenerate north of the Caribbean in a day or two.

http://img513.imageshack.us/img513/330/o6zd.jpg
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... imated.gif
Is the LLC the area that could regenerate, assuming survival across Hispaniola?

That weak swirl would not likely regenerate. No convergence there. If Gabrielle is to make a come-back, a center would have to form near the heavier convection near and/or northeast of Puerto Rico. I think there's a good chance of that happening. Regardless, I see no threat to the East U.S. Coast from this system. Maybe some rain for Bermuda eventually.

[tolakram]

Lots of rain piling up in southern PR.

saved loop

[CalmBeforeStorm]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/flash-wv.html
~~~~~~~~
To me the water vapor shows what looks to me like a very large and expanding anti-cyclone centered in the area of 18.0 and 64.0. This is also the area that I see a rather vigorous mid-level spin. I expect to see convection in this area and then an LLC very soon. The only problem I see with this scenario is that the system is still competing with the energy that keeps blowing up to the NE of the system.

[Aric Dunn]

interesting some convection starting to re-fire with the small vort. can it make a come back..

[NDG]

I really think that the TW/ disturbance from the east that approached Gabrielle last night is what made her decoupled. Like the NHC center mentioned earlier, the shear was not that strong enough to make it do that, something bigger grab the MLC NE towards the TW, as if a new stronger circulation is forming out of the systems.

[ROCK]

well when the NHC mentions dissipation in its 11PM DISCO you know it was a bad sign...in chat last night most all the board saw Gabby as having 6 hours to live....we were all almost right....