ATL: HUMBERTO - Remnants - Discussion

[Zanthe]

Adv is out. It's a fish zzzzzzz.

It doesn't matter as it will be the first hurricane to track no matter where it goes.

I know. Just wanted to say that it's a fish.

People do live on the Cape and islands... Just because it won't effect the USA or Caribbean islands doesn't mean it's a fish.

[RL3AO]

A poll has been added to the advisories thread as too how much ACE 09L will generate.

viewtopic.php?f=59&t=115635

[Hurricane Alexis]

Just hope it holds off until Thursday.

Doesn't have to be thursday. It can be by 8am on wednesday. The forecast track shows it becoming a hurricane after but it's close.

[WeatherGuesser]

I was thinking 8PM for some reason.


That's what the Poll should be. Will it or won't it?

[Hurricane_Luis]

000
WTNT34 KNHC 082040
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092013
500 PM AST SUN SEP 08 2013

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.1N 20.7W
ABOUT 275 MI...440 KM ESE OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES

[cycloneye]

NHC goes slow on intensity despite what LGEM / SHIP models say.

SOME OF THE MODELS...MAINLY THE
STATISTICAL-DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE...ARE FAIRLY AGGRESSIVE WITH THE
INTENSIFICATION RATE AFTER 24 HOURS. SHIPS AND LGEM HAVE TENDED TO
HAVE A HIGH BIAS THIS HURRICANE SEASON...SO THE OFFICIAL FORECAST
IS KEPT A BIT LOWER.

[ozonepete]

Adv is out. It's a fish zzzzzzz.

Fish don't make me sleepy, lol. Analyzing and forecasting these is always exciting no mater where it goes.

[ozonepete]

Just hope it holds off until Thursday.

Looks like you lost a bet, lol.

[gatorcane]

Deep convection continues to blow-up:

[WeatherGuesser]

Just hope it holds off until Thursday.

Looks like you lost a bet, lol.

Not unless it makes H1 before then.

We're so close, we just GOTTA get the record!!!!

[ozonepete]

Just hope it holds off until Thursday.

Looks like you lost a bet, lol.

Not unless it makes H1 before then.

We're so close, we just GOTTA get the record!!!!

I think mother nature has other plans, lol... Forecast is for H1 by Wednesday. And it looks very reasonable. Will be funny if we miss by a day...

[TheStormExpert]

Been such a long time since I've seen a system forecasted to become a hurricane.

[TJRE]

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/TC.html

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Please.... no jokes about a Rorschach test

[chaser1]

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/TC.html

Latest NRL slideshow

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Please.... no jokes about a Rorschach test

....almost looks as if a "bit of viagra" was peppered into the E. Atlantic
(sorry...., just could'nt help myself)

[ozonepete]

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/TC.html

Latest NRL slideshow


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Please.... no jokes about a Rorschach test

....almost looks as if a "bit of viagra" was peppered into the E. Atlantic
(sorry...., just could'nt help myself)

Ok, you both just failed the Rorschach test, lol. Now back to topic.

[hurricanes1234]

I was just thinking about this...could this become a Category 2 or 3?

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[ozonepete]

I was just thinking about this...could this become a Category 2 or 3?

Not too likely. SSTs will be marginal after it turns NW. But you never know - if it goes just a little west of the forecast track it's more possible.

[cycloneye]

Looking very good. Image at 5:30 PM EDT.

[hurricanes1234]

I am not disagreeing with the NHC, but they were talking about northeasterly shear impinging on the depression. I myself saw the slightly exposed centre earlier today, but by the current look of it, it seems as though the centre is under the convection. Has the shear relaxed?

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[TheStormExpert]

Shear doesn't look too bad at the current moment.