ATL: INGRID - Remnants - Discussion

[stormkite]

I was looking at microwave 85h and you can see how the inner-core that it was trying to form is now totally open to the southwest.
Also i found interesting models scenario's after these storms.

http://www.eldoradocountyweather.com/current/models/North-America/12-ECMWF/ecmwf-12-eastus-atlantic-850mb-vorticity-pmsl.html
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/navgem/2013091418/navgem_mslpa_sd_watl.html
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2013091418/gfs_mslpa_sd_watl.html
What do you people think ?

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[Airboy]

From the recon data it looks like it's weaker, and not moving much either. Also from the Sat pictures, a blow up of convection and cold cloud tops SE of the center. Looks like a bag that drags it bag that are holding Ingrid back from moving.

[WeatherGuesser]

AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE INGRID WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.4 WEST. INGRID IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H...AND A TURN TOWARD
THE WEST IS EXPECTED BY EARLY MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...
INGRID SHOULD REACH THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA EARLY MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90
MILES...150 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.

[Gustywind]

Latest SSD numbers for Hurricane Ingrid.

15/1145 UTC 22.5N 95.7W T4.0/4.0 INGRID
15/0545 UTC 22.4N 95.1W T4.0/4.0 INGRID
14/2345 UTC 21.7N 94.6W T3.5/4.0 INGRID

[mrbagyo]

Ingrid doesn't look like a hurricane


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[Airboy]

The recon data only support a TS right now.

[cycloneye]

12z Best Track down to 65kts.

AL, 10, 2013091512, , BEST, 0, 224N, 956W, 65, 989, HU

[Airboy]

Ingrid doesn't look like a hurricane


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Can a new center be forming SE of the current center? Cold cloud tops SE of the current center and looking at the micro wave it like two different red/yellow sections.

[TJRE]

the best updated visible


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http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/

loop

http://climate.cod.edu/flanis/satellite/2km/index.php?type=Yucatan-vis-6

goes 13



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http://goes.gsfc.nasa.gov/

[TJRE]

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http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/windmain.php?&basin=atlantic&sat=wg8&prod=shr&zoom=&time=

Morphed Integrated Microwave Imagery
at CIMSS (MIMIC-TC)



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http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/mimic-tc/tc.shtml

[tailgater]

Good stuff. Thanks

[Portastorm]

Yeah, those are nice images ... thanks TJRE. The microwave imagery suggests that Ingrid is methodically moving her way to Tampico, assuming there is no hard left turn. Last night's thoughts that we may see a landfall north of Tampico appear to have less merit now based on Ingrid's movement.

Even a quick glance at the water vapor loop of the WGOM shows me that high pressure is building further south and west and I wouldn't be surprised to see Ingrid make that left turn very soon.

[tailgater]

Hello Is there anybody out there?

[HurricaneDREW92]

Hello Is there anybody out there?

nope

[Tireman4]

No one is here. Move on. LOL

[wxman57]

Finally get a hurricane (well, it's still called a hurricane) in the Gulf and nobody cares.

[supercane4867]

Disappointing storm attracts less attention

[sleepysilverdoor]

I wouldn't call it disappointing. It's pumping a bunch of moisture into south Texas and likely to cause quite a bit of flooding in Mexico. Plus, we get to watch an EPAC storm and a BoC storm practically right next to each other, which doesn't happen too often.

[dexterlabio]

I'm sorry but this has to be one of the ugliest hurricanes I've seen in a while. But of course this kind of system is the one that causes serious damage in terms of the rain and floods...caught many by surprise..

[gatorcane]

Finally get a hurricane (well, it's still called a hurricane) in the Gulf and nobody cares.

Yeah well that because it is no threat to Texas or the CONUS so interest drops off quickly.

I did notice that Ingrid is not looking as good lately. I guess this is some good news for those in Mexico but Mexico is still going to deal with catastrophic flooding and there will be some intense winds still. She still has time to strengthen some but time is running out as it should be ashore Mexico by tomorrow morning.

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