11PM Discussion #20

[CocoaBill]

http://www.hwn.org/hadt43us.htm

[Deenac813]

This seems better for us here in South Florida.. but not so good for NC etc..

Deena

[stormernie]

At first glance, however, two things

1) European that the NHC mentions is much further south and as the NHC mentions is very good in forecasting large atmospheric conditions (i.e Isabel is a CAT4)

2) There is some indications that the track may bend back to the west after 5 days.

So it is going to be a crazy week ....

[wow]

Still a lot of uncertainty here. She could hit anywhere from Florida to NC, and it's looking more and more likely she's going to make landfall within this stretch.

[CocoaBill]

Although the models may very well do a flip-flop tomorrow night..... Watching these models can be like watching the stock market tick by tick........ :o

[MWatkins]

Looks familiar...I bend to the west toward the end of the period slightly...but for the most part...the tracks look fairly similar.

http://www.tropicalupdate.com/2003-TC13.htm

http://www.hwn.org/hadt43us.htm

I'll have to check my site logs in the morning.

LOL!

MW

[Sean in New Orleans]

Anything outside of 3 days is dangerous to rely on for a forecast with a hurricane. This deadly storm must be monitored by all very closely, of course. I'm afraid, as time passes, that it appears this storm could continue a steady westward trend a lot longer than most of us would like to see. We can only watch.