Prospect of a Category 5

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
Josephine96

Prospect of a Category 5

#1 Postby Josephine96 » Wed Sep 10, 2003 9:08 pm

The prospect of a Category 5 hurricane certainly excites me in some strange way, but it also shivers me because I am possibly living in part of it's ultimate direct path.

Isabel is going to be a very dangerous storm. She may make Andrew look like a younger brother, or she herself may look like the ex girlfriend you never wanna piss off lol..

But jokes aside.. Isabel is going to be quite dangerous if and when she decides to come this way..

I am up on the 3rd floor of an apartment building here and even though I am inland about 45-50 miles.. I still may go ask the complex manager about if they have any plans in the event of a hurricane.. Cause I may end up being asked to leave..

Opinions welcomed..

<<<awaiting whatever Isabel may bring me>>>
0 likes   

Josephine96

#2 Postby Josephine96 » Wed Sep 10, 2003 9:27 pm

all the views and lack of replies lol j/k
0 likes   

User avatar
opera ghost
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 909
Joined: Mon Sep 08, 2003 4:40 pm
Location: Houston, Texas

#3 Postby opera ghost » Wed Sep 10, 2003 9:29 pm

To be honest- it terrifies me. If a cat5 goes through Florida- there's a very real possibility that it could barrel through and head into MY waters.... the GOM.

No thanks *Laughs a bit nervously* I'm still not sure I trust the models that are saying she'll go north.
0 likes   

User avatar
Lindaloo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 22658
Joined: Sat Mar 29, 2003 10:06 am
Location: Pascagoula, MS

#4 Postby Lindaloo » Wed Sep 10, 2003 9:30 pm

Something about the mere mention of a CAT 5 sends everybody running. lol. Seriously, that is an excellent idea to find out if you are indeed safe in an apartment complex. I hope you are safe if she decides to pay you a visit.
0 likes   

Josephine96

#5 Postby Josephine96 » Wed Sep 10, 2003 9:33 pm

I'll probably go ask the apartment complex manager tomorrow sometime or wait till Friday cause I know I'll be busy tomorrow..
0 likes   

User avatar
mf_dolphin
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 17758
Age: 68
Joined: Tue Oct 08, 2002 2:05 pm
Location: St Petersburg, FL
Contact:

#6 Postby mf_dolphin » Wed Sep 10, 2003 9:36 pm

The very thought of a strong CAT4 or a CAT5 should send shivers down everyone's back! A CAT1 might be fun but a CAT4+ is downright scarey! This is one storm that I would be happy to see go fishing but it doesn't look like that's going to happen...
0 likes   

User avatar
AussieMark
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5858
Joined: Tue Sep 02, 2003 6:36 pm
Location: near Sydney, Australia

#7 Postby AussieMark » Wed Sep 10, 2003 9:37 pm

Yes you are right a category 5 is exceiting and terrifing at the same time but it is unique.

Only 3 hurricanes have been of category 5 intensity when striking the US.

1935 Florida Keys
1969 <B>"Camille"</B> Mississippi Delta
1992 <B>"Andrew"</B> Dade County

So if Isabel was category 5 when landfall is eventally made no-one would forget for a long time

<B>Characteristics of a category 5</B>

Winds greater than 155 mph .

Storm surge generally greater than 18 ft above normal.

Complete roof failure on many residences and industrial buildings. Some complete building failures with small utility buildings blown over or away. All shrubs, trees, and signs blown down. Complete destructon of mobile homes. Severe and extensive window and door damage.

Low-lying escape routes are cut by rising water 3-5 hours before arrival of the center of the hurricane.

Major damage to lower floors of all structures located less than 15 ft above sea level and within 500 yards of the shoreline. Massive evacuation of residential areas on low ground within 5-10 miles (8-16 km) of the shoreline may be required.
0 likes   

Anonymous

#8 Postby Anonymous » Wed Sep 10, 2003 9:58 pm

John I would not stay on the 3rd story of an apartment building during a Cat 4-5 hurricane for anything in the world. Just think of how fast these apartment buildings go up and think of just how thin your walls are.
Just some food for thought.
0 likes   

GalvestonDuck
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 15941
Age: 57
Joined: Fri Oct 11, 2002 8:11 am
Location: Galveston, oh Galveston (And yeah, it's a barrier island. Wanna make something of it?)

#9 Postby GalvestonDuck » Wed Sep 10, 2003 10:11 pm

Do you have renter's insurance to cover your personal stuff? The apartment managers will have to deal with preparing the property (and I'm sure it's insured). But the contents of your apartment aren't unless you have insurance.

If you don't, it might be too late. Not sure though. I know here in TX, most companies won't issue a new policy if a storm is already in the Gulf. Costwise, it's about $20.00 per month per $10,000 of coverage. It's also good to have in case of theft, fire, or even terrorism. It also prevents you from trying to pack EVERYTHING and take it when you evacuate. Leave the winter clothes, furniture, TV, VCR, dishes, basic crap like that. Take only that stuff that abosolutely can NOT be replaced, including you!

And don't forget -- if you do plan on staying (which I hope you don't), other living things will seek higher ground also. So don't be surprised if you have critters swimming and crawling in to your place for safety.
0 likes   

Floridacane
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 26
Joined: Mon Apr 21, 2003 9:46 pm
Location: Palm Bay, Florida
Contact:

#10 Postby Floridacane » Wed Sep 10, 2003 10:30 pm

Help with my scenario.
I live in Palm Bay, just south of Melbourne. I live in a house (5 years old) Who would stay and who would go?
0 likes   

rlar798
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 44
Joined: Fri Sep 05, 2003 2:54 pm
Location: Franklinton La
Contact:

#11 Postby rlar798 » Wed Sep 10, 2003 10:34 pm

John

We're in the same area and I was pretty much wondering the same thing.... I'm wondering where to go myself if Isabel comes to Visit. We're trying to if there are any structures that could withstand a storm of that magnatude and would take pets! We're in a Manufactured Home and know we'll have to hit the road!
0 likes   

Floridacane
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 26
Joined: Mon Apr 21, 2003 9:46 pm
Location: Palm Bay, Florida
Contact:

#12 Postby Floridacane » Wed Sep 10, 2003 10:49 pm

rlar
I would definitely leave a manufactured home. I lived in one when Bertha was coming, and we were under mandatory evacuation. (She never hit btw) But we left and went to a friends house.

I really don't know what I would do! If I go north, could the storm come north, definitely don't want to go south, that's a big no no. Which way do we go???
0 likes   

User avatar
bev1
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 68
Joined: Wed Aug 20, 2003 10:40 pm
Location: New Orleans area

Go or Stay

#13 Postby bev1 » Wed Sep 10, 2003 11:28 pm

I have to stay as I am the director of nurses at a local hospital. Of course I will be at the hospital. The only problem I have is a 8 1/2 month preg daughter so if the barometric pressure drops--guess what! Could be exciting but we are really not ready for a baby quite yet. Oh well, if Isabel heads towards New Orleans I guess we will just have to rush preparations to completion-LOL. Cody might make an unexpected apperance.
Bev
0 likes   

User avatar
Scott_inVA
Storm2k Forecaster
Storm2k Forecaster
Posts: 1238
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2002 5:44 pm
Location: Lexington, Virginia
Contact:

Re: Prospect of a Category 5

#14 Postby Scott_inVA » Wed Sep 10, 2003 11:46 pm

Similar with tornado chasing. When you go, you really want one to chase. Everyone wants to be close...except to an F5. Those tornadoes are so rare and so frightening they are almost sacred (sounds weird, but true).

The people who wishcast a major hurricane or TOR to come their way have never experienced what little ones can do. When we were tracking the LaPlata, MD TOR up here last year, it was like Marti Gras excitement... until everyone realized it exploded into an F5. It's simply amazing how quickly your emotions swing when realizing this is the worst weather you could ever see. LaPlata was later downgraded to high F4 damage but when you hear on the Skywarn repeater: "urgent...urgent...stay away...repeat...stay away...F5 on the ground approaching homes and a school", this s*it suddenly ain't funny anymore.

Right now, this is like driving 90MPH on I-95 to a TOR warning...it is exciting and yes, thrilling to wacky people like us. But if it gets close, cooler heads must prevail b/c there's always loads of people who have no idea what really could be coming. If you're on the coast or risk inland flooding, this weekend should be a busy one :?
0 likes   

User avatar
BayouVenteux
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 775
Age: 63
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 3:26 pm
Location: Ascension Parish, Louisiana (30.3 N 91.0 W)

#15 Postby BayouVenteux » Wed Sep 10, 2003 11:52 pm

tropicalweatherwatcher wrote:Yes you are right a category 5 is exceiting and terrifing at the same time but it is unique.

Only 3 hurricanes have been of category 5 intensity when striking the US.

1935 Florida Keys
1969 <B>"Camille"</B> Mississippi Delta
1992 <B>"Andrew"</B> Dade County

So if Isabel was category 5 when landfall is eventally made no-one would forget for a long time...



That's "only 3" in modern (20th century) times. North American landfalling category 5 storms might a be more common occurence over time than we realize, but without solid long-term historical data to go by, we can only assume based on those 3 that they're on average, a once in 25-30 year event.
0 likes   
Andrew '92, Katrina '05, Gustav '08, Isaac '12, Ida '21...and countless other lesser landfalling storms whose names have been eclipsed by "The Big Ones".

User avatar
Lindaloo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 22658
Joined: Sat Mar 29, 2003 10:06 am
Location: Pascagoula, MS

#16 Postby Lindaloo » Thu Sep 11, 2003 12:11 am

Floridacane wrote:Help with my scenario.
I live in Palm Bay, just south of Melbourne. I live in a house (5 years old) Who would stay and who would go?


You need to contact your local civil defense on any info you may need. Sometimes common sense prevails in this type situation. Are you in a flood zone? How far are you above sea level? Was your home built to code? Those are questions you need to ask.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: TampaWxLurker and 35 guests