blp wrote:caneman wrote:
Agreed Blown Away on October pattern possibly more likely. Not real sure about the map provided but I remember Gabrielle well coming off the tip of the Yucatan and hitting us around the same time as 9/11 from 2001. The last Major to hit the Tampa area was from that very same area. Not saying it will be a major but anything coming from South and West of us always gets my attention.
The 1921 major hurricane that hit Tampa orginated in the W. Carribean and was from 20-30 OCT. Gabrielle in 2001 formed in the Eastern Gulf just off the West coast of Florida. Yes if you include October then the probabilities increase. I not saying it could not happen since we have seen stranger things before, it's just that it would be a historic first with regards to the climatological record.
Not really. Although Gabrielle wasn't classified until the Eastern Gulf it did come off the North or NW tip Yucatan. Tropical Storm Gordon (2000) is another that came of the Yucatan to affect us and points North. I'm sure there have been others. Having lived hear for so long, I would know. I've never bought much into the climatological thing much anyway (other than in a general sense), Mother Nature doesn't have a memory of where storms are supposed to form and which way they should go.