ATL: HUMBERTO - Remnants - Discussion

[cycloneye]

TXNT22 KNES 170007
TCSNTL

A. 09L (HUMBERTO)

B. 16/2345Z

C. 26.6N

D. 43.4W

E. THREE/GOES-E

F. TOO WEAK

G. IR/EIR/SWIR

H. REMARKS...EXPOSED LLCC SHOWING SOME SIGNS OF BREAKING DOWN OVER THE
PAST HOUR OR SO. THIS SYSTEM IS TOO WEAK TO CLASSIFY DUE TO CONVECTION
BEING GREATER THAN 1.25 DEGREES FROM THE LLCC. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL
BULLETIN UNLESS A T1.0 IS WARRANTED.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

NIL


...LIDDICK

[hurricanes1234]

Guys, do NOT be alarmed, if this is the end of Humberto. I am not saying it is going to happen, but the LLC is weakening.

Personal Forecast Disclaimer: The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

[galaxy401]

What does the best track say?

[cycloneye]

What does the best track say?

AL, 09, 2013091700, , BEST, 0, 269N, 433W, 40, 1003, TS, 34, NEQ, 150, 0, 0, 90, 1014, 150, 70, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, HUMBERTO, M,

[CrazyC83]

Some discussion that they would have reclassified it Subtropical Storm Humberto, but they felt it wasn't going to last in its current form. This was what the models were indeed thinking...

The 40 kt intensity is probably too low IMO; Dvorak is useless with these kind of systems.

[TheEuropean]

I can't rule out, this system may become something like Epsilon in 2005. showers are wrapping around, looks better now, I think.

[Hurricane_Luis]

Found this from a few Hours ago.

20130917 1745 29.8 42.7 Subtropical 09L HUMBERTO

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/storms/HUMBERTO.html

[supercane4867]

Humberto currently doesn't look like that subtropical-ish IMO

[ozonepete]

I can't rule out, this system may become something like Epsilon in 2005. showers are wrapping around, looks better now, I think.

Nice comparison. You could be right.

Luis, this could be our first annular cane in a while if it makes hurricane again, which a lot of the models still say it will. Starting to look annular already. Since an annular form is very stable, it has a better chance of holding on and getting to hurricane again with this structure. But first it needs to get more symmetrical again. Way too asymmetrical at the moment.

[cycloneye]

Yeah oz. It has been a few years that there has not been an annular cane in North Atlantic basin.

[ozonepete]

:uarrow: Yeah oz. It has been a few years that there has not been an annular cane in North Atlantic basin.

I can't remember the last one. Anyone have an idea? I will try to look later this evening.

[hurricanes1234]

:uarrow: Yeah oz. It has been a few years that there has not been an annular cane in North Atlantic basin.

I can't remember the last one. Anyone have an idea? I will try to look later this evening.

The last bona-fide annular hurricane here may have been Isabel in 2003.

[hurricanes1234]

Humberto's best track has been downgraded to 35 knots. Sorry to say, but it looks really bad right now.

Personal Forecast Disclaimer: The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

[TheEuropean]

Yes, yesterday it looked much better, now it is nothing compared to Epsilon.

[hurricanes1234]

Continues to look very sad right now, unless something drastic happens, I anticipate no further strengthening, beyond possible brief 5 mph fluctuations.

Personal Forecast Disclaimer: The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

[hurricanes1234]

Best Track down to a TD. I must remark that this doesn't even look like a tropical cyclone to me, just an area of small clouds with some rotation.

AL, 09, 2013091900, , BEST, 0, 321N, 435W, 30, 1009, TD,

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[supercane4867]

R.I.P

AL, 09, 2013091918, , BEST, 0, 330N, 425W, 30, 1006, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1010, 200, 150, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, HUMBERTO, S,

[galaxy401]

NHC has been struggling lately in predicting wind shear to become favorable. The shear remained strong for Humberto, Ingrid, and 95L.

[wxman57]

Weak low-level swirl appears to have dissipated. Humberto is being absorbed by the approaching front...

[hurricanes1234]

Just reminds us of how hostile the conditions are out here.

Personal Forecast Disclaimer: The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products