ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

[Ntxw]

95L joins August's 92L as the two biggest duds this season imo. A lot of bark, little bite.

[WeatherWiseGuy]

Good grief! I don't think this season can even get any home brews going.

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[CYCLONE MIKE]

95L joins August's 92L as the two biggest duds this season imo. A lot of bark, little bite.

This x1000000000
So much for the gulf coast is at such a high risk this year. I really, really hope they quit doing landfall predictions. It serves no purpose as this season has obviously shown. Just makes ratings for news and money for stores.

Anyway back on topic, hopefully this does end up sending rain this way. Been kind of dry slotted today with rain north and west but making no progress east yet.

[Sanibel]

A hard lesson in how sensitive cyclones are to imperfect conditions.

[cycloneye]

NHC lowers to 10% at 8 PM TWO. In simple words what NHC says is that it's over.

THE LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...LOCATED
ABOUT 130 MILES SOUTH OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS...IS MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. SINCE THE SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS
MINIMAL AND THE LOW CONTINUES TO BECOME LESS DEFINED...NO
SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. AFTER THAT...THE LOW IS FORECAST TO MERGE WITH A
COLD FRONT IN THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...AND THE SYSTEM HAS
A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

[CYCLONE MIKE]

Wow, and what just two days ago this was sitting at 80% or was it even 90% can't remember lol. Anyway this has got to go down as one of the most lackluster seasons in quite sometime.

[ConvergenceZone]

haha, 2013.... what a pathetic joke of a season. Happy for the USA from an economical standpoint, but one of the most boring seasons I've ever tracked in the tropics....
See you folks next season and let's have a wild crazy and wet winter ......

[cycloneye]

The final epilog.

A LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE EXTREME NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO IS
BECOMING ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT...AND TROPICAL CYCLONE
FORMATION IS NO LONGER EXPECTED. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...
NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

[underthwx]

95L joins August's 92L as the two biggest duds this season imo. A lot of bark, little bite.

Little bite...lots of rain...

[Dean4Storms]

Not completely writing this off just yet.
Can see on high resolution imagery that LL Swirl now about 75 miles or so east of the TX/MX border moving NNE with convection popping North and South of the center!!!!!

http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/GANIMpUkaEF8.jpg

[Dean4Storms]

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?rid=BRO&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

Bronwsville, TX Radar.....

[Airboy]

Could it "creep in" behind the front when the front moves away east?

[Dean4Storms]

Could it "creep in" behind the front when the front moves away east?

I would expect it to eventually turn more ENE out ahead of the front. The GEM develops it a bit and heads it toward the central Gulf Coast. That is feasible IMO if it develops at all.

[tropicwatch]

Jim who brought the defibrillator

[Dean4Storms]

Joe Bastardi ‏@BigJoeBastardi 26m

Frontal interaction helping with 95L. This is a known problem in western gulf and should not be written off, IMO

[cycloneye]

Here is the ultimate dagger.

NHC_ATCF
invest_DEACTIVATE_al952013.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201309211651
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END

[Alyono]

Not completely writing this off just yet.
Can see on high resolution imagery that LL Swirl now about 75 miles or so east of the TX/MX border moving NNE with convection popping North and South of the center!!!!!

http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/GANIMpUkaEF8.jpg

It s a frontal low!

[TheStormExpert]

The End! So ready for this extremely boring and aggravating season to be over.

[WeatherGuesser]

Here is the ultimate dagger.

[b][size=150]NHC_ATCF
invest_DEACTIVATE_al952013.ren

Maybe that's a status that should be added to these thread titles?

[tailgater]

Glad they deactivated it, we got over 5" in my rain gauge which only holds 5 ". We may get another 2 or 3 tonite and tomorrow.
Frontal low or whatever, it's been a good drought breaker for some of us.