Very early to say one way or another

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cycloneye
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Very early to say one way or another

#1 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 11, 2003 8:59 am

Folks it is irresponsible for someone to say Isabel will be a fish and go out to sea not bothering anyone and that is what we want to happen but with Isabel being far away from the east coast of the US and the patterns right now in the atlantic we have to wait.

Also to pinpoint an area that Isabel will strike is not good at all to say because of the same reasons.The best thing to do right now is to keep tracking the monster cane and look at the patterns of ridges and troughs in comming days and after next saturday which will be a big day to know more as the survellance flight friday night will go so let's take it easy and wait until saturday morning to see what they report in the upper pattern enviroment and that will go into the models information data that morning and from there we will be in position to know more about a future track abnd if Isabel will be a fish cane or not.
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Anonymous

#2 Postby Anonymous » Thu Sep 11, 2003 9:04 am

Couldn't have said it any better Cyc. Isabel is a week or more away from impacting the US if it does at all. A TON of things can and do change in a week...so its pretty much a guess (NOT a prediction) to say exactly where Isabel will hit or if it will be a fish. It could pretty much go either way at this point, which is why the NHC hasn't given any hints whatsoever as to where its headed beyond the 5 day range.
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wrkh99

#3 Postby wrkh99 » Thu Sep 11, 2003 9:06 am

I agree 1000%
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#4 Postby mf_dolphin » Thu Sep 11, 2003 9:07 am

Well said to both of you....it's a watch, wait and prepare time now...
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#5 Postby GalvestonDuck » Thu Sep 11, 2003 9:09 am

Agree, Ceye.

Just look at any hurricane map archive. These things don't take nice leisurely curves around in one direction like an eagle on a breeze . They can go one way, then another. They can loop. They can stall and shift. Even if she does move less westward (nicest way I can think to put it), that doesn't mean she'll continue on her new course. She's still too far out for us to know what she's going to do.
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#6 Postby ameriwx2003 » Thu Sep 11, 2003 9:14 am

Agreed.. 2 or 3 days ago Isabel was heading North and the talk was Fish. some models had been North then came back west . There are going to be more changes and 2 days from now who knows what they will show lol.. Once the GIV flight collects the data maybe we will have some consistent runs.. Well the EURO has been consistent so it will be interesting to see what it shows in today run:):).. Several days yet before the ending to this story can be told IMHO:):)
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#7 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 11, 2003 9:57 am

The ridge will be the decisive thing to watch to see how strong it will be to let Isabel be a fish or a threat to someone.
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#8 Postby JCT777 » Thu Sep 11, 2003 12:57 pm

Excellent post, Luis. And I agree as well.
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PREPARATION

#9 Postby WXBUFFJIM » Thu Sep 11, 2003 1:06 pm

Preparation wise, it's always good to do hurricane preparations well before hand. It's just better to be safe than not be prepared whether there's a strong hurricane or not. All it takes is one!!

Jim
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#10 Postby Lindaloo » Thu Sep 11, 2003 1:36 pm

I agree Ceye... all depends on how strong or weak that ridge becomes.

Great posts Ceye and SuperCane.
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