ATL: KAREN - Remnants - Discussion

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SeGaBob

Re:

#1241 Postby SeGaBob » Fri Oct 04, 2013 3:24 pm

lester wrote:SURFACE CENTER REFORMING IN CONVECTION SSE OF CTR


I can't see where such a center would be reforming to the SE... but then again I'm no expert.
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Re:

#1242 Postby wxman57 » Fri Oct 04, 2013 3:26 pm

lester wrote:SURFACE CENTER REFORMING IN CONVECTION SSE OF CTR


I can see that, but should have added the word "LIMITED" in front of "CONVECTION". Not significant.
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#1243 Postby SunnyThoughts » Fri Oct 04, 2013 3:27 pm

So if the center is indeed forming farther SSE of center...what do you guys think that will do to the projected path? Actually guess Im wondering if we need to pick up objects outside and lawn furniture from outside this afternoon and tomorrow morning...or if we can plan on a picnic at the park tomorrow here in Pensacola lol
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Re: Re:

#1244 Postby robbielyn » Fri Oct 04, 2013 3:28 pm

SeGaBob wrote:
lester wrote:SURFACE CENTER REFORMING IN CONVECTION SSE OF CTR


I can't see where such a center would be reforming to the SE... but then again I'm no expert.


its SSE not SE and u cant see it because its reforming IN the convection
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Re: Re:

#1245 Postby SeGaBob » Fri Oct 04, 2013 3:30 pm

robbielyn wrote:
SeGaBob wrote:
lester wrote:SURFACE CENTER REFORMING IN CONVECTION SSE OF CTR


I can't see where such a center would be reforming to the SE... but then again I'm no expert.


its SSE not SE and u cant see it because its reforming IN the convection


I know but I figured it was close enough... and sometimes I type before i think... :)
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#1246 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Oct 04, 2013 3:31 pm

lol I noticed the recon data but figured it was bad...
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#1247 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Oct 04, 2013 3:33 pm

and an anti poleward reformation... not often that happens
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Re: ATL: KAREN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1248 Postby emeraldislenc » Fri Oct 04, 2013 3:33 pm

What does that imply
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#1249 Postby SeGaBob » Fri Oct 04, 2013 3:34 pm

So will they use the reforming center for the 5pm advisory?
Last edited by SeGaBob on Fri Oct 04, 2013 3:39 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re:

#1250 Postby robbielyn » Fri Oct 04, 2013 3:35 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:lol I noticed the recon data but figured it was bad...

you can see the center is definitely reforming sse under the convection look at visible zoomed in this may end up big bend
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Re: Re:

#1251 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Oct 04, 2013 3:36 pm

robbielyn wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:lol I noticed the recon data but figured it was bad...

you can see the center is definitely reforming sse under the convection look at visible zoomed in this may end up big bend


if it reforms that far south it may end up north of tampa..
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Re: Re:

#1252 Postby robbielyn » Fri Oct 04, 2013 3:37 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:
robbielyn wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:lol I noticed the recon data but figured it was bad...

you can see the center is definitely reforming sse under the convection look at visible zoomed in this may end up big bend


if it reforms that far south it may end up north of tampa..


right where i live too :eek:
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#1253 Postby robbielyn » Fri Oct 04, 2013 3:39 pm

now the sw winds can be her friend instead of her enemy
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#1254 Postby SeGaBob » Fri Oct 04, 2013 3:40 pm

5pm advisory starting to be rolled out...
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Re: ATL: KAREN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1255 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Oct 04, 2013 3:41 pm

here is the data... you can see it in the data satellite much harder to pin point... a lot of cloud lines from main center obscuring it..

also explains the motion of the main circ .. the are likely rotating around each other..

Image
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#1256 Postby summersquall » Fri Oct 04, 2013 3:45 pm

No more Hurricane Watch as of 5pm advisory - Tropical Storm Watches and Warnings only.
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#1257 Postby robbielyn » Fri Oct 04, 2013 3:46 pm

cloudtops are warming was a big blob of purple now mostly orange with rocks of purple. still being sheared its not her friend yet
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#1258 Postby Steve » Fri Oct 04, 2013 3:46 pm

>>Just typical afternoon showers. Nothing to be concerned about today or tomorrow.


Not concerned, but the last round was obviously a feeder/wrap band which is not typical afternoon, or typical for most afternoons anyway.

Steve
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Re:

#1259 Postby stephen23 » Fri Oct 04, 2013 3:48 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:lol I noticed the recon data but figured it was bad...

Are we looking at about 24N 88W? If so wouldn't that put landfall back about 12 hours or so?
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Re:

#1260 Postby robbielyn » Fri Oct 04, 2013 3:51 pm

Steve wrote:>>Just typical afternoon showers. Nothing to be concerned about today or tomorrow.


Not concerned, but the last round was obviously a feeder/wrap band which is not typical afternoon, or typical for most afternoons anyway.

Steve

you are right steve you can see it on water vapor that a squall passed through there
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