Texas Fall 2013
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Re: Texas Fall 2013
Austin is now under a flood warning yet again till 7:30. Torrential rains are slamming already flooded areas and is making this dangerous situation worse. I'm having to prepare for more water coming into two rooms in my house.
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Resident Rain Miser
I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
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weatherdude1108
- Category 5
- Posts: 4228
- Joined: Tue Dec 13, 2011 1:04 pm
- Location: Northwest Austin/Cedar Park, TX
My phone is popping with all kinds of flood warnings/advisories. Rain woke me around 3am. Fell asleep. Now 6am. Occasional thunder. Moderate rain mostly (I think). I haven't had a chance to check gauge. My rain sensor is intermittently working. Be safe JDawg512! Water will start to come into my garage if we get that kind of rain. The French drain gets overwhelmed. A LCRA gauge in Cedar Park north of me reported over 5 inches in the last 6 hours. 
I'll report when I find out later this morning how much we have gotten here at the Weatherdude Center. I just hope the lakes benefit!
I'll report when I find out later this morning how much we have gotten here at the Weatherdude Center. I just hope the lakes benefit!
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Re: Texas Fall 2013
We've had the most amount of water EVER in my house, two rooms completely covered with water that covered my feet. Its a horrible mess. I have yet to go to bed and I am exhausted. 9 inches have fallen here. The police scanner is just going non stop. South Austin was slammed. Barton Creek is last I heard around 13 feet. Flood stage is 8 feet. Is expected to rise even higher to a level not seen since 1981. From what I can hear Manchaca is closed at the Williamson Creek bridge.
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Resident Rain Miser
I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
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weatherdude1108
- Category 5
- Posts: 4228
- Joined: Tue Dec 13, 2011 1:04 pm
- Location: Northwest Austin/Cedar Park, TX
Update:
Still raining moderately. Was able to go out with an umbrella and check gauge. Shows 4.5 inches since last night. My gauge goes to 5 inches. Had to empty it to collect more. No garage flooding. Usual standing Water in puddles in yard. My electronic rain sensor is only intermittently working. Not working now. Would be perfect to use that right now! Anyway, be safe out there! I'll update when I can.
Still raining moderately. Was able to go out with an umbrella and check gauge. Shows 4.5 inches since last night. My gauge goes to 5 inches. Had to empty it to collect more. No garage flooding. Usual standing Water in puddles in yard. My electronic rain sensor is only intermittently working. Not working now. Would be perfect to use that right now! Anyway, be safe out there! I'll update when I can.
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The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Texas Fall 2013
Kvue reports word of evacuations in Sunset Valley/SW Austin area bullseyed with doppler est of 13in of rain. Be safe folks!
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weatherdude1108
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- Posts: 4228
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- Location: Northwest Austin/Cedar Park, TX
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The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Portastorm
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Re: Texas Fall 2013
TexasF6 wrote:Kvue reports word of evacuations in Sunset Valley/SW Austin area bullseyed with doppler est of 13in of rain. Be safe folks!
This is basically where the Portastorm Weather Center is located ... very close to where some of those evacuations took place. We've had about 11 1/4 inches of rain here in the last 12 hours. An absolutely amazing weather event which even surpasses the 8-inch event with TS Hermine back in 2010. Basically convection blossomed and literally didn't move much at all for most of the night.
I took a quick drive around the neighborhood this morning and see retention ponds nearly at full and dry creek beds turned into raging torrents of water.
What a night of weather. Wow!
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TeamPlayersBlue
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- Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 1:44 am
- Location: Denver/Applewood, CO
Holy moly, crazy rain guys. Be careful what you wish for! Drizzling here now, hopefully we get a good rain to wash all the pollen away. Allergies are killing me (sinus'). Hopefully Travis got pounded too so we can work on that this winter
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Portastorm
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- Posts: 9914
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Re: Texas Fall 2013
Very sorry to read about the flooding/leaking roof troubles of my fellow Austinites. Hope things improve today. However, the mid-morning forecast discussion (AFD) out of NWS Austin/San Antonio (EWX) suggests we may see a brief respite before the fire hose turns on again ...
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1107 AM CDT SUN OCT 13 2013
.UPDATE...
ANOTHER AREA OF CONVECTION INITIATED ALONG THE MEXICAN PLATEAU AND
EMBEDDED WITHIN A PLUME OF PACIFIC MOISTURE WAS PRODUCING HEAVY
RAINS OVER SOUTHWEST PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS REGION LATE
THIS MORNING. THIS PATTERN WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY AS CONVECTION ALONG THE MEXICAN PLATEAU REDEVELOPS AND
STEERING CURRENTS GUIDE THE STORMS NORTHEAST. CURRENT THINKING IS
THE COLD FRONT CURRENTLY OVER OUR REGION WILL DISSIPATE THIS
EVENING AS SOUTHEAST FLOW RETURNS. ADDITIONAL CONVECTION
DEVELOPING ALONG THE MEXICAN PLATEAU WILL PUSH INTO WESTERN
PORTIONS LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS. GIVEN THE
TROPICAL ENVIRONMENT...SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS AND SOME RIVERS
AND STREAMS STILL IN FLOOD...WILL LIKELY EXPAND THE WATCH IN TIME
UNTIL 7 AM MONDAY AND ADD MAVERICK ZAVALA AND DIMMIT COUNTIES TO
THE WATCH ON THE AFTERNOON FORECAST PACKAGE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1107 AM CDT SUN OCT 13 2013
.UPDATE...
ANOTHER AREA OF CONVECTION INITIATED ALONG THE MEXICAN PLATEAU AND
EMBEDDED WITHIN A PLUME OF PACIFIC MOISTURE WAS PRODUCING HEAVY
RAINS OVER SOUTHWEST PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS REGION LATE
THIS MORNING. THIS PATTERN WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY AS CONVECTION ALONG THE MEXICAN PLATEAU REDEVELOPS AND
STEERING CURRENTS GUIDE THE STORMS NORTHEAST. CURRENT THINKING IS
THE COLD FRONT CURRENTLY OVER OUR REGION WILL DISSIPATE THIS
EVENING AS SOUTHEAST FLOW RETURNS. ADDITIONAL CONVECTION
DEVELOPING ALONG THE MEXICAN PLATEAU WILL PUSH INTO WESTERN
PORTIONS LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS. GIVEN THE
TROPICAL ENVIRONMENT...SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS AND SOME RIVERS
AND STREAMS STILL IN FLOOD...WILL LIKELY EXPAND THE WATCH IN TIME
UNTIL 7 AM MONDAY AND ADD MAVERICK ZAVALA AND DIMMIT COUNTIES TO
THE WATCH ON THE AFTERNOON FORECAST PACKAGE
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Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.
Re: Texas Fall 2013
I checked my rain gauge this morning and we had more than the 5" it holds ... maybe 5.25 tp 5.5" I emptied it and it's still raining. Austin nr P'ville.
Lots of lightning and thunder last night. Dog is still freaked out.
Walked across the yard to the rain gauge and as I was walking the ground was sinking under my feet. Weird. Everything is saturated. We are not in a flood zone but there is a dry creek downhill from us.
Stay safe y'all!
Lots of lightning and thunder last night. Dog is still freaked out.
Walked across the yard to the rain gauge and as I was walking the ground was sinking under my feet. Weird. Everything is saturated. We are not in a flood zone but there is a dry creek downhill from us.
Stay safe y'all!
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Rgv20
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 2466
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- Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2011 5:42 pm
- Location: Edinburg/McAllen Tx
I hope you guys in Austin stay safe out there! I'm currently in Denton, looks like the rain should come later tonight into tomorrow.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Texas Fall 2013
Howdy all, been a while since I've posted. What do Yall think about the path of TS Octave in the pacific? Will it enhance the rain situation here in Texas?
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Re: Texas Fall 2013
Shoshana wrote:I checked my rain gauge this morning and we had more than the 5" it holds ... maybe 5.25 tp 5.5" I emptied it and it's still raining. Austin nr P'ville.
Lots of lightning and thunder last night. Dog is still freaked out.
Walked across the yard to the rain gauge and as I was walking the ground was sinking under my feet. Weird. Everything is saturated. We are not in a flood zone but there is a dry creek downhill from us.
Stay safe y'all!
Our dog was freaked out really bad too. Between him and the water leaks we didn't get much sleep last night.
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Any opinions stated are those of an amateur, please take with several grains of salt and for official forecast refer to the National Weather Service.
Some amazing totals down there Portastorm, very impressive. No doubt it's the dirty work of the EPO. It's gone negative finally!!! Octave in the EPAC is going to send up more, it has nowhere to go but TX due to strong ridging to the north (courtesy of once again -EPO). North and west Texas will be getting wet tonight into tomorrow, same for central Texas.
Late euro looks interesting, first frost and freezes may be lurking.
Late euro looks interesting, first frost and freezes may be lurking.
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weatherdude1108
- Category 5
- Posts: 4228
- Joined: Tue Dec 13, 2011 1:04 pm
- Location: Northwest Austin/Cedar Park, TX
Lake Travis has risen over a foot since yesterday at 3pm. Risen exactly a foot since 4:45 this morning (as of 2:45 pm).
http://hydromet.lcra.org/chronLL.aspx?s ... sfield+Dam
http://hydromet.lcra.org/chronLL.aspx?s ... sfield+Dam
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The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Texas Fall 2013
ndale wrote:Shoshana wrote:I checked my rain gauge this morning and we had more than the 5" it holds ... maybe 5.25 tp 5.5" I emptied it and it's still raining. Austin nr P'ville.
Lots of lightning and thunder last night. Dog is still freaked out.
Walked across the yard to the rain gauge and as I was walking the ground was sinking under my feet. Weird. Everything is saturated. We are not in a flood zone but there is a dry creek downhill from us.
Stay safe y'all!
Our dog was freaked out really bad too. Between him and the water leaks we didn't get much sleep last night.
Yow I hope you are able to get those leaks sorted out! We have a Thundershirt for our dog and it really helps. She is still nervous and clingy but not shaking.
It's still drizzling, but we were able to go for a walk. We saw snails without their shells all over the place. That was strange.
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weatherdude1108
- Category 5
- Posts: 4228
- Joined: Tue Dec 13, 2011 1:04 pm
- Location: Northwest Austin/Cedar Park, TX
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
320 PM CDT SUN OCT 13 2013
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
.A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN FOCUS FOR HEAVY RAINS
TONIGHT AS PLUMES OF MOISTURE AND DISTURBANCES FROM THE PACIFIC
AND GULF OF MEXICO HAVE DEVELOPED A NEARLY TROPICAL AIR-MASS OVER
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. OF PARTICULAR FOCUS TONIGHT WILL BE OVER THE
MID RIO GRANDE PLAINS TO THE EDWARDS PLATEAU WHERE A SOUTHEAST LOW
LEVEL FLOW WILL BEGIN TO OVERRUN A WEAKENING CONVECTIVE COMPLEX
CURRENTLY OVER SOUTHWEST PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED WITH
ISOLATED TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY OVER THE
MID RIO GRANDE PLAINS AND EDWARDS PLATEAU. THE WATCH IS GENERALLY
ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 90 AND INCLUDES THE AUSTIN AND SAN
ANTONIO AREAS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE NEW WATCH ENVELOPING
MAVERICK...DIMMIT AND ZAVALA COUNTIES.
TXC019-021-029-031-053-055-091-137-149-171-177-187-209-259-265-
271-287-299-325-385-453-463-465-491-140430-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-131014T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BANDERA-BASTROP-BEXAR-BLANCO-BURNET-CALDWELL-COMAL-EDWARDS-
FAYETTE-GILLESPIE-GONZALES-GUADALUPE-HAYS-KENDALL-KERR-KINNEY-LEE-
LLANO-MEDINA-REAL-TRAVIS-UVALDE-VAL VERDE-WILLIAMSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANDERA...BASTROP...SAN ANTONIO...
BLANCO...BURNET...LOCKHART...NEW BRAUNFELS...ROCKSPRINGS...
LA GRANGE...FREDERICKSBURG...GONZALES...SEGUIN...SAN MARCOS...
BOERNE...KERRVILLE...BRACKETTVILLE...GIDDINGS...LLANO...HONDO...
LEAKEY...AUSTIN...UVALDE...DEL RIO...GEORGETOWN
320 PM CDT SUN OCT 13 2013
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR
* THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...BANDERA...
BASTROP...BEXAR...BLANCO...BURNET...CALDWELL...COMAL...
EDWARDS...FAYETTE...GILLESPIE...GONZALES...GUADALUPE...HAYS...
KENDALL...KERR...KINNEY...LEE...LLANO...MEDINA...REAL...
TRAVIS...UVALDE...VAL VERDE AND WILLIAMSON.
* THROUGH MONDAY MORNING
* RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED
TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE.
* FLASH FLOODING OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND OTHER LOW-LYING AND
NORMALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS IS LIKELY DUE TO HEAVY RAIN.
STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO SEE RAPID RISES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR
THE WATCH AREA. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...PLAN NOW FOR WHAT
YOU WILL DO IF FLASH FLOODING DEVELOPS. STAY INFORMED AND BE
READY TO ACT IF YOU SEE FLOODING OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS
ISSUED.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
320 PM CDT SUN OCT 13 2013
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
.A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN FOCUS FOR HEAVY RAINS
TONIGHT AS PLUMES OF MOISTURE AND DISTURBANCES FROM THE PACIFIC
AND GULF OF MEXICO HAVE DEVELOPED A NEARLY TROPICAL AIR-MASS OVER
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. OF PARTICULAR FOCUS TONIGHT WILL BE OVER THE
MID RIO GRANDE PLAINS TO THE EDWARDS PLATEAU WHERE A SOUTHEAST LOW
LEVEL FLOW WILL BEGIN TO OVERRUN A WEAKENING CONVECTIVE COMPLEX
CURRENTLY OVER SOUTHWEST PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED WITH
ISOLATED TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY OVER THE
MID RIO GRANDE PLAINS AND EDWARDS PLATEAU. THE WATCH IS GENERALLY
ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 90 AND INCLUDES THE AUSTIN AND SAN
ANTONIO AREAS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE NEW WATCH ENVELOPING
MAVERICK...DIMMIT AND ZAVALA COUNTIES.
TXC019-021-029-031-053-055-091-137-149-171-177-187-209-259-265-
271-287-299-325-385-453-463-465-491-140430-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-131014T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BANDERA-BASTROP-BEXAR-BLANCO-BURNET-CALDWELL-COMAL-EDWARDS-
FAYETTE-GILLESPIE-GONZALES-GUADALUPE-HAYS-KENDALL-KERR-KINNEY-LEE-
LLANO-MEDINA-REAL-TRAVIS-UVALDE-VAL VERDE-WILLIAMSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANDERA...BASTROP...SAN ANTONIO...
BLANCO...BURNET...LOCKHART...NEW BRAUNFELS...ROCKSPRINGS...
LA GRANGE...FREDERICKSBURG...GONZALES...SEGUIN...SAN MARCOS...
BOERNE...KERRVILLE...BRACKETTVILLE...GIDDINGS...LLANO...HONDO...
LEAKEY...AUSTIN...UVALDE...DEL RIO...GEORGETOWN
320 PM CDT SUN OCT 13 2013
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR
* THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...BANDERA...
BASTROP...BEXAR...BLANCO...BURNET...CALDWELL...COMAL...
EDWARDS...FAYETTE...GILLESPIE...GONZALES...GUADALUPE...HAYS...
KENDALL...KERR...KINNEY...LEE...LLANO...MEDINA...REAL...
TRAVIS...UVALDE...VAL VERDE AND WILLIAMSON.
* THROUGH MONDAY MORNING
* RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED
TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE.
* FLASH FLOODING OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND OTHER LOW-LYING AND
NORMALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS IS LIKELY DUE TO HEAVY RAIN.
STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO SEE RAPID RISES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR
THE WATCH AREA. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...PLAN NOW FOR WHAT
YOU WILL DO IF FLASH FLOODING DEVELOPS. STAY INFORMED AND BE
READY TO ACT IF YOU SEE FLOODING OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS
ISSUED.
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The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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