18:00 UTC Tropical model suite=Isabel to Colombia !!!!!

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cycloneye
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18:00 UTC Tropical model suite=Isabel to Colombia !!!!!

#1 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 11, 2003 1:37 pm

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... s/03091118

This is like an excersise up and down up and down but let's see if they go up at 00Z or stay south tonight.Colombia should be preparing. :)
Last edited by cycloneye on Thu Sep 11, 2003 2:10 pm, edited 4 times in total.
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#2 Postby chris_fit » Thu Sep 11, 2003 1:38 pm

Link dont work :(
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#3 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 11, 2003 1:40 pm

I can open it is good link. :)
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Re: 18:00 UTC Tropical model suite=Are more south with track

#4 Postby rob8303 » Thu Sep 11, 2003 1:40 pm

cycloneye wrote:http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/tropical/atlantic/models/03091118

This is like an excersise up and down up and down but let's see if they go up at 00Z or stay south tonight.


WOW!!!!
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#5 Postby ameriwx2003 » Thu Sep 11, 2003 1:41 pm

Take a look at the BAMD solution lol.. I doubt that:):)
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#6 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 11, 2003 1:43 pm

I too dont see that BAMD solution as a credible one.
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#7 Postby ameriwx2003 » Thu Sep 11, 2003 1:46 pm

Luis.. nor do I.. Are the Tropical models run off the GFS data?. I am curious to know if they are or not:):)
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#8 Postby weathergymnast » Thu Sep 11, 2003 1:48 pm

We have one model Giving up and taking it on a one way trip to the rain forest. ^^" We have another one saying it is going to stop in its track and then reverse. ^^" Oh so much fun.
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#9 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 11, 2003 1:48 pm

Good question you ask ameriwx2003 but let's hope someone comes with an answer. :)
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Re: 18:00 UTC Tropical model suite=Are more south with track

#10 Postby Ground_Zero_92 » Thu Sep 11, 2003 1:50 pm

cycloneye wrote:This is like an excersise up and down up and down but let's see if they go up at 00Z or stay south tonight.


PULL OUT THE PROZAC!!!

I'm Happy :lol: ... I'm Sad :( ... I'm Happy :lol: ... I'm Sad :( ... Good Model Run... :lol: Bad Model Run :(

Geezz, we're all going to get Manic Depression if we keep looking at these models run to run!!
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#11 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 11, 2003 1:51 pm

Someone bring a grafic of this to see those lines all over the place. :lol: :lol:
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Here is the graphic....

#12 Postby Weathermaster » Thu Sep 11, 2003 1:56 pm

http://www.weatherunderground.com/tropi ... model.html
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#13 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 11, 2003 1:58 pm

Oh my Isabel to Colombia wow. :)
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#14 Postby rob8303 » Thu Sep 11, 2003 1:58 pm

HOW THE HECK IS THIS STORM GOING TO WEAKEN 25-30 MPH IN JUST 1 DAY? RE-SHIPS? :x
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Yes They Are

#15 Postby MWatkins » Thu Sep 11, 2003 2:02 pm

ameriwx2003 wrote:Luis.. nor do I.. Are the Tropical models run off the GFS data?. I am curious to know if they are or not:):)


The tropicals were run off the 6Z GFS at 12Z and the 18Z models go against the 12Z background. The 6Z gfs was a mess but it has sort of righted itself at 12Z which is why the models have come back to the left.

The GFS should stand for the Global Flipflop Suite.

MW
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#16 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 11, 2003 2:04 pm

LOL :) MW
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stormernie

#17 Postby stormernie » Thu Sep 11, 2003 2:04 pm

The suite is run using the GFS as the background, thus, don't put much into it. The one we should be relying on is the ECMWF (European).

Ernie
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Re: Yes They Are

#18 Postby rob8303 » Thu Sep 11, 2003 2:04 pm

MWatkins wrote:
ameriwx2003 wrote:Luis.. nor do I.. Are the Tropical models run off the GFS data?. I am curious to know if they are or not:):)


The tropicals were run off the 6Z GFS at 12Z and the 18Z models go against the 12Z background. The 6Z gfs was a mess but it has sort of righted itself at 12Z which is why the models have come back to the left.

The GFS should stand for the Global Flipflop Suite.

MW


:lol: :lol: :lol:
Yes, the GFS has multiple personality disorder. MikeW, do you see this getting past the 75 w line?
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LOL!!

#19 Postby HeatherAKC » Thu Sep 11, 2003 2:06 pm

This is making me mad! Mad, crazy. Going north, going south, Sfla hit, NC hit, trough, high pressure, west, north. ACKKKK!!!!!! (Pulls out hair) It's *almost* funny. But somehow, not quite......
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#20 Postby JCT777 » Thu Sep 11, 2003 2:12 pm

The LBAR looks like the most sane track, IMO.
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