An East Coast Trough Should Protect Florida.
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Coriolis2003
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An East Coast Trough Should Protect Florida.
My local forecaster says an East Coast trough will probably arrive just in time to turn Isabel away from the Florida area (as usual), so us Floridians are safe and college football will not be affected (LOL!).[quote][/quote]
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wrkh99
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GalvestonDuck
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Re: An East Coast Trough Should Protect Florida.
Coriolis2003 wrote:My local forecaster says an East Coast trough will probably arrive just in time to turn Isabel away from the Florida area (as usual), so us Floridians are safe and college football will not be affected (LOL!).
probably...not definitely
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DROliver
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bfez1
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wrkh99 wrote:Florida is not out of the woods and you shouldn't be posting false info on the web .
The local met said it, not Coriolis. That's not posting false info on the web!
Coriolis2003 wrote:My local forecaster says an East Coast trough will probably arrive just in time to turn Isabel away from the Florida area (as usual), so us Floridians are safe and college football will not be affected (LOL!).
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I have another good one - West Palm Beach meteorologist Farrell (first name Chris?) at 1:00 p.m. said that Isabel is now moving WNW - FALSE! - and in a tone almost implying that we should all breathe a sigh of relief. Giving us a false sense of security is irresponsible, and I will send him an email to tell him so.
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I heard him say the same thing! And he did seem to have a "we should be fine" attitude. Also this morning on the same station, the woman that is on in the mornings, Felicia something, said that a trough should be coming and that will be good for us in S. FL. To me, the key word there is SHOULD. I have noticed that here in West Palm, they don't seem too worried or concerned. I'm still keeping a very watchful eye.
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Nancy wrote:I have another good one - West Palm Beach meteorologist Farrell (first name Chris?) at 1:00 p.m. said that Isabel is now moving WNW - FALSE! - and in a tone almost implying that we should all breathe a sigh of relief. Giving us a false sense of security is irresponsible, and I will send him an email to tell him so.
post his reply if you get one, please.
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Channel 12, the station that employs Chris Farrell, got in deep doo doo a few years back when Erin threatened the WPB area. They broadcasted totally false information regarding the storm and really over dramatized. These guys are clueless. If I want information, the TV news is the last place I go. (and that goes beyond weather).
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Coriolis2003
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chris_fit wrote:Which forecaster? Where are you from?
I'm in the Florida Big Bend area and Tom Siler, one of our local meterologists, has said on more than one occasion that's it's looking more likely that Isabel will take a more northerly turn and miss our area. Of course, nothing is guaranteed but you have to remember that it is very difficult for a storm to approach FL from the east due to frequent East Coast troughs. And yes, you do have an occasional storm that does such as Andrew but it really had to endure a lot in order to strike the FL east coast. Florida's biggest threat originates from the development of storms in the Caribbean and GOM in June and October. The decrease in Isabel's forward motion only increases the likelihood that it will be affected eventually by an approaching trough from the west. INFACT, I'm beginning to wonder if it will affect the U.S. at all.
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ColdFront77
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Has anyone ever thought about the fact that a category 5 hurricane can plow through any force of nature that it wants? They've been known to plow through cold fronts, high pressures, etc. and eaten there moisture while continuing on the same path. There's no guaranteeing that a trough will or could pick up a category 5 storm. The angle would have to be perfect for it to influence it's directional movement. It is very difficult for a storm as powerful as a category 5 to turn--it's not impossible, but it needs to be stronger than a "trough," IMO. Also, local meteorologists in New Orleans on tonight's 6:00 news informed our area that the front isn't even going to make it as far east as our area and we can no longer expect cooler air.
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ColdFront77
The National Weather Service in Melbourne (and maybe Ruskin-Tampa Bay Area; they mentioned something about the southeasterly flow earlier today) are incorrect when saying that the front will stall and washout across northern Florida? 
Hurricanes of various intensities "don't move through troughs/fronts," they change cold fronts to stationary fronts and then warm fronts; thus they aren't really moving through them.
Hurricanes of various intensities "don't move through troughs/fronts," they change cold fronts to stationary fronts and then warm fronts; thus they aren't really moving through them.
Last edited by ColdFront77 on Thu Sep 11, 2003 10:33 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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