2013 WPAC Season

[euro6208]

*Winds in knots (1 minute sustained)


Tropical Storm SONAMU 45

Tropical Depression 02W 25

Tropical Storm YAGI 55

Tropical Storm LEEPI 35

Tropical Storm BEBINCA 35

Typhoon-1 RUMBIA 65 (Category 1)

Typhoon-4 SOULIK 125 (Category 4)

Tropical Storm CIMARON 40

Tropical Storm JEBI 60

Tropical Storm MANGKHUT 40

Super Typhoon-4 UTOR 130 (Category 4)

Tropical Depression 13W 25

Typhoon-1 TRAMI 75 (Category 1)

Typhoon-1 PEWA 65 (Category 1)

Tropical Storm UNALA 35

Tropical Storm KONG_REY 55

Tropical Storm TORAJI 50

Tropical Storm MAN_YI 60

Super Typhoon-5 USAGI 140 (Category 5)

Tropical Depression 18W 25

Typhoon-2 PABUK 90 (Category 2)

Typhoon-2 WUTIP 90 (Category 2)

Tropical Storm SEPAT 35

Typhoon-2 FITOW 90 (Category 2)

Typhoon-4 DANAS 125 (Category 4)

Typhoon-3 NARI 105 (Category 3)

Typhoon-4 WIPHA 115 (Category 4)

Super Typhoon FRANCISCO 140 (Category 5) Active

Tropical Depression 27W 25

Super Typhoon LEKIMA 140 Active


30 Tropical Depression
26 Tropical Storm
14 typhoons
8 Major Typhoon...
-One Category 3
-Four Category 4
-Three Category 5

Color code: Depression - Storm- Typhoon - Major Typhoon

NOT FINAL UNTIL AFTER POSTSEASON CHANGES

[dexterlabio]

I wish JMA upgrades Pabuk into a typhoon in post-season analysis. I have no idea why they kept it at 60kts for 3 warnings when it was clearly displaying a decent eye that time.

[euro6208]

I wish JMA upgrades Pabuk into a typhoon in post-season analysis. I have no idea why they kept it at 60kts for 3 warnings when it was clearly displaying a decent eye that time.

Honestly, I would place JMA (Japan Meteorological Agency) over IMD (India Meteorological Department) by just a little bit but there isn't much difference...except that they are the *official* agency for their basin...

[Iune]

The JMA Best Track upgraded Man-yi to a 65-knot typhoon.

[Hurricane_Luis]

And Invest 94W is up.

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=76&t=115853

[euro6208]

26W Francisco has now contributed 17.5425 and season total is up to 177.127 which is not far from our normal year to date of 230

[euro6208]

28th Storm of this very active season develops thread...

Thread for storm

[dexterlabio]

26W Francisco has now contributed 17.5425 and season total is up to 177.127 which is not far from our normal year to date of 230

Are those numbers from Ryan Maue's site? I just noticed Danas' peak strength was listed at 90kts. I believe it was near 125 knots. I wonder if there's an error in the contributed ACE because of that.

[xtyphooncyclonex]

We are currently 79% of normal. Francisco contributed 27.41 of our ACE and Lekima may as well contribute.

This might be one of the most active seasons ever!

[Meow]

Honestly, I would place JMA (Japan Meteorological Agency) over IMD (India Meteorological Department) by just a little bit but there isn't much difference...except that they are the *official* agency for their basin...

JMA does much better than IMD and even NHC and JTWC. JMA also has the most powerful meteorological supercomputer.

[xtyphooncyclonex]

28/10/3 is our tally. It may become 28/11/3 because JMA forecasts Lekima to be a typhoon.

[xtyphooncyclonex]

ACE is now close to 80% of normal year-to-date activity. Expecting this season to end up having 240+ ACE.

[euro6208]

26W Francisco has now contributed 17.5425 and season total is up to 177.127 which is not far from our normal year to date of 230

Are those numbers from Ryan Maue's site? I just noticed Danas' peak strength was listed at 90kts. I believe it was near 125 knots. I wonder if there's an error in the contributed ACE because of that.

yes

[euro6208]

Current Stats for 2013...Based on 1 min average winds...

30 Tropical Depressions
26 Tropical Storms
14 typhoons
8 Major Typhoons...
-One Category 3
-Four Category 4
-Three Category 5

Pretty impressive...

we have seen 14 TC since september...Six in september and seven this month including 9 typhoons...

[dexterlabio]

After Lekima, models aren't showing anything as significant in the near term. Though CMC spins a tropical cyclone on the 26th, while NAVGEM and Euro also shows something by the end of the month but only a weak surface low. GFS has nothing, not sure though in the long range because there's a system with closed isobars tracking westwards (I'm not good at analyzing these charts lol).


It would be a challenge to spawn something in WPAC right now as the MJO pulse is weak and no longer in the area...but hey, Lekima is going bonkers while the MJO is now in EPAC.

[dexterlabio]

Models back off with development, particularly CMC. All that remains are some GFS ensemble members hinting development but that's just it. A lot of energy has been tapped with the streak of major-equivalent typhoons since September so maybe there'll be a quiet period after Lekima.....

[Iune]

The JMA Best Track for Pabuk came out... they kept it as a 60kt 965 hPa STS at its peak. http://www.webcitation.org/6KZrjGalG

[euro6208]

The JMA Best Track for Pabuk came out... they kept it as a 60kt 965 hPa STS at its peak. http://www.webcitation.org/6KZrjGalG

60 knots? really???

This is stronger than that and JTWC at 90 knots seems accurate...props to them....

[euro6208]

As if it weren't enough for this typhoon stricken area, 06Z GFS showing 3 more tropical cyclones in the Dry phrase of the MJO...

First develops in the Philippine sea that tracks west towards the Philippines and makes landfall as a weak tropical storm but this area has been untouched by many weeks so this can change...

Second and Third system develops southeast of guam and landfall as a typhoon in the philippines and the other right over guam...Both system drenches the mariana islands...

[dexterlabio]

not so sure about the long range model typhoons because this is the first run they were shown. The little system hinted to form east of PI is the one I've been watching since yesterday. More GFS ensemble members are showing possible TC genesis per run.