ATL: LORENZO - Post-Tropical

[supercane4867]

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[Macrocane]

You beat me to it

I don't think it's gonna do much though.

[TropicalAnalystwx13]

40%.

1. SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THAT THE SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA
HAS INCREASED AND HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST FEW
HOURS. SATELLITE DATA ALSO SHOW THAT A SURFACE CIRCULATION IS
DEVELOPING. THIS LOW HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A SHORT-LIVED
TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY OR TUESDAY BEFORE THE UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS BECOME UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM
CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS WHILE IT MOVES SLOWLY
NORTHWARD...AND THEN TURNS EAST-NORTHEASTWARD.

[hurricanes1234]

This might be a tropical cyclone already.

[xtyphooncyclonex]

So excited to say hi to Lorenzo!

[cycloneye]

60%/60%


SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 650 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION.
THIS LOW HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A SHORT-LIVED TROPICAL CYCLONE
LATER TODAY OR TUESDAY BEFORE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS BECOME UNFAVORABLE
FOR DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A HIGH
CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 5 DAYS WHILE IT MOVES NORTH-NORTHEAST...AND THEN TURNS EAST-
NORTHEASTWARD.

[wxman57]

OSCAT & ASCAT indicate LLC with winds up to 35 kts un-flagged. The OSCAT image was about 3 hrs after the ASCAT pass. Don't know why this isn't classified as of now. What else is required?

[gatorcane]

Yeah I agree WxMan, not sure why this hasn't been upgraded.

This system kindaof came out of nowhere considering the NHC was not expecting any development just a couple of days ago reading their outlooks.

[cycloneye]

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[cycloneye]

Hello TD 13!

AL, 13, 2013102112, , BEST, 0, 277N, 554W, 30, 1010, TD, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1016, 180, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, THIRTEEN, M

[wxman57]

OSCAT winds were at TS strength last evening. Should be a TS not a TD.

[Macrocane]

Ok, I take my words back, it looks very nice, I agree that should be a TS.

[hurricanes1234]

Ok, I take my words back, it looks very nice, I agree that should be a TS.

But it is a TD according to 11 AM advisory!

[wxman57]

The discussion mentioned Dvorak estimate of 2.0, but not satellite winds to TS strength last evening. I'd trust satellite wind estimates over a Dvorak rating.

[tolakram]

Live visible loop: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20HURRICANE&lat=29&lon=-55&info=vis&zoom=1&width=1024&height=768&type=Animation&quality=92&palette=ir1.pal&numframes=5

[RainbowAppleJackDash]

Please don't be named.....

[hurricanes1234]

Latest image. Not too bad.

Please don't be named.....

[Hurricane Alexis]

Surprise system. Was 10% yesterday afternoon.

Sent from my ZTE-X500 using Tapatalk 2

[CrazyC83]

Rare that the Atlantic with an active system is taking a back seat...the EPAC with Raymond and WPAC with Francisco have the headlines.

[RainbowAppleJackDash]

Latest image. Not too bad.

Please don't be named.....

NOT TOO BAD?! O_O But for me, the next name on the Atlantic hurricane naming list is SUPER COOL! Just WHY?!?! O_O!!!