2013 WPAC Season

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dexterlabio
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#261 Postby dexterlabio » Wed Oct 30, 2013 12:34 am

Look at the 00z GFS run. Crazier than ever. There is an addition; a TS forming just east of Samar then affecting Bicol and Northern Visayas. The same system CMC has been showing. Take note this is near-term.
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Re: 2013 WPAC Season

#262 Postby hurricanes1234 » Sat Nov 02, 2013 4:30 pm

Welcome back everyone, we just had Krosa which peaked recently as a 100-knot major typhoon. It has since weakened, but will be heading towards China.
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Re: 2013 WPAC Season

#263 Postby euro6208 » Sat Nov 02, 2013 10:15 pm

WOW! i found some interesting facts and a record!

Typhoon krosa at 100 knots makes her the 6th straight storm to intensity into a major typhoon.

2013 Typhoon Season just accomplished a very rare feat. The only other two tropical cyclone seasons worldwide that had six straight tropical storms reach major hurricane intensity were the 1950 Atlantic Hurricane Season and the 1993 East Pacific Hurricane Season


2013 Typhoon Season- Danas, Nari, Wipha, Francisco, Lekima, Krosa

1950 AHS- Able, Baker, Charlie, Dog, Easy, and Fox

1993 EPS- Dora, Eugene, Keoni, Fernanda, Greg, and Hilary
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Re: 2013 WPAC Season

#264 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Sun Nov 03, 2013 1:07 am

euro6208 wrote:WOW! i found some interesting facts and a record!

Typhoon krosa at 100 knots makes her the 6th straight storm to intensity into a major typhoon.

2013 Typhoon Season just accomplished a very rare feat. The only other two tropical cyclone seasons worldwide that had six straight tropical storms reach major hurricane intensity were the 1950 Atlantic Hurricane Season and the 1993 East Pacific Hurricane Season


2013 Typhoon Season- Danas, Nari, Wipha, Francisco, Lekima, Krosa

1950 AHS- Able, Baker, Charlie, Dog, Easy, and Fox

1993 EPS- Dora, Eugene, Keoni, Fernanda, Greg, and Hilary

Do you mean consecutive?

I am really surprised how this season would turn out. We have a late booming one! A season with 3 CATEGORY 5's, same as 2012-last year.

Our ACE is higher than it was predicted! Standing at 232.59, the number is expected to increase, as 2 more typhoons will develop!

Krosa contributed 11.7825 of our yearly ACE, which is 89% of YTD normal, 77% of our ANNUAL NORMAL!
Last edited by xtyphooncyclonex on Sun Nov 03, 2013 1:12 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: 2013 WPAC Season

#265 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Sun Nov 03, 2013 1:08 am

hurricanes1234 wrote:Welcome back everyone, we just had Krosa which peaked recently as a 100-knot major typhoon. It has since weakened, but will be heading towards China.

Nope. Heading towards VIETNAM. It is moving SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD and will weaken.
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#266 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Sun Nov 03, 2013 1:11 am

OUR ''MAJOR'' TYPHOONS [177 kph and above]: Soulik, Utor, Usagi, Danas, Nari, Wipha, Francisco, Lekima, Krosa [and probably Haiyan/Podul]!!!
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#267 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Sun Nov 03, 2013 1:17 am

TALLY:
29 tropical storms [may become 31]
12 typhoons [may become 14]
9 major typhoons [may become 10]
4 super typhoons [may become 5]

ACE:
232 units ACE [may become 250+]

This is a fast booming season, with 20 tropical storms forming from August 1-October 31!
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Re: 2013 WPAC Season

#268 Postby euro6208 » Sun Nov 03, 2013 9:41 am

xtyphooncyclonex wrote:
euro6208 wrote:WOW! i found some interesting facts and a record!

Typhoon krosa at 100 knots makes her the 6th straight storm to intensity into a major typhoon.

2013 Typhoon Season just accomplished a very rare feat. The only other two tropical cyclone seasons worldwide that had six straight tropical storms reach major hurricane intensity were the 1950 Atlantic Hurricane Season and the 1993 East Pacific Hurricane Season


2013 Typhoon Season- Danas, Nari, Wipha, Francisco, Lekima, Krosa

1950 AHS- Able, Baker, Charlie, Dog, Easy, and Fox

1993 EPS- Dora, Eugene, Keoni, Fernanda, Greg, and Hilary

Do you mean consecutive?

I am really surprised how this season would turn out. We have a late booming one! A season with 3 CATEGORY 5's, same as 2012-last year.

Our ACE is higher than it was predicted! Standing at 232.59, the number is expected to increase, as 2 more typhoons will develop!

Krosa contributed 11.7825 of our yearly ACE, which is 89% of YTD normal, 77% of our ANNUAL NORMAL!


read above, yes 6th straight storm to reach major status of 100 knots...incredible...now if only 30W can intensify at a rapid pace like his brother so we can reach 8 storms reaching major status.
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#269 Postby Hurricane_Luis » Sun Nov 03, 2013 2:51 pm

GFS has 30W making landfall in Vietnam, then crossing into the Indian ocean and regenerating there.

In the South China Sea

Image

Landfall in Vietnam

Image

In the Gulf of Thailand

Image

Over the Andaman Islands

Image

Landfall in India

Image
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#270 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Mon Nov 04, 2013 2:23 am

We now have our 30th tropical storm, Haiyan!

-Haiyan is very dangerous and a track towards Visayas AS A SUPER TYPHOON*
-We should stay safe against winds, rains and storm surge.

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West Pacific Vs Atlantic

#271 Postby beoumont » Mon Nov 04, 2013 3:29 am

Catching a tropical cyclone this year:

W. Pac Basin is to the Atlantic Basin, as
Fish in a barrel is to a needle in a haystack.

English majors: is that a metaphor? an analogy? or some other figure of speech?
OR just a sad comparison.
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List of 79 tropical cyclones intercepted by Richard Horodner:
http://www.canebeard.com/page/page/572246.htm

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Re: West Pacific Vs Atlantic

#272 Postby hurricanes1234 » Mon Nov 04, 2013 5:35 am

beoumont wrote:Catching a tropical cyclone this year:

W. Pac Basin is to the Atlantic Basin, as
Fish in a barrel is to a needle in a haystack.

English majors: is that a metaphor? an analogy? or some other figure of speech?
OR just a sad comparison.



Or maybe this:
WPAC is to the Atlantic as everything is to nothing.


Very simple, yet very true!!! :D
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#273 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Mon Nov 04, 2013 8:05 am

If Haiyan continues to move in its current direction and speed, Haiyan will hit my city directly!!! YIKES! :eek:
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Re: West Pacific Vs Atlantic

#274 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Mon Nov 04, 2013 9:37 am

hurricanes1234 wrote:
beoumont wrote:Catching a tropical cyclone this year:

W. Pac Basin is to the Atlantic Basin, as
Fish in a barrel is to a needle in a haystack.

English majors: is that a metaphor? an analogy? or some other figure of speech?
OR just a sad comparison.



Or maybe this:
WPAC is to the Atlantic as everything is to nothing.


Very simple, yet very true!!! :D

Totally agree!
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#275 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Mon Nov 04, 2013 9:37 am

Is this one of the most active typhoon seasons?
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Re: 2013 WPAC Season

#276 Postby euro6208 » Mon Nov 04, 2013 10:31 am

very active season...

Season tally for November 05...

31 Tropical Depressions...
27 Tropical Storms...
14 Typhoons
8 Major Typhoon (+100 knots)
-One Category 3
-Four Category 4
-Three Category 5
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Re:

#277 Postby euro6208 » Mon Nov 04, 2013 10:44 am

xtyphooncyclonex wrote:Is this one of the most active typhoon seasons?


According to Best Track by the JTWC, this is the first +30 storm season since 2004 if i'm reading it correctly...

tally for that year:

32 Tropical Cyclones
30 Tropical storms
21 Typhoons
12 Major Typhoons...

More active than this year...
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euro6208

Re: 2013 WPAC Season

#278 Postby euro6208 » Mon Nov 04, 2013 12:43 pm

According to Jeff Masters...

We have a new record for the number of typhoons in any October as seven typhoons developed breaking the old record of six typhoons that was set in October 1989...

He thanks typhoon expert Mark Lander for this stat...

Record season that should have more if we had recon of course 8-)




http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMa ... rynum=2569
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Re: Re:

#279 Postby hurricanes1234 » Mon Nov 04, 2013 3:40 pm

euro6208 wrote:
xtyphooncyclonex wrote:Is this one of the most active typhoon seasons?


According to Best Track by the JTWC, this is the first +30 storm season since 2004 if i'm reading it correctly...

tally for that year:

32 Tropical Cyclones
30 Tropical storms
21 Typhoons
12 Major Typhoons...

More active than this year...


Oh well we know we're exceeding 32 for sure! Which season had more than 2004? Have any of them produced 40 named storms or 40 tropical cyclones?
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Re: Re:

#280 Postby Extratropical94 » Mon Nov 04, 2013 4:22 pm

hurricanes1234 wrote:
euro6208 wrote:
xtyphooncyclonex wrote:Is this one of the most active typhoon seasons?


According to Best Track by the JTWC, this is the first +30 storm season since 2004 if i'm reading it correctly...

tally for that year:

32 Tropical Cyclones
30 Tropical storms
21 Typhoons
12 Major Typhoons...

More active than this year...


Oh well we know we're exceeding 32 for sure! Which season had more than 2004? Have any of them produced 40 named storms or 40 tropical cyclones?


In 1964, the JTWC tracked 52 depressions, 39 named storms, 26 typhoons, but "only" 7 super typhoons.
I am not aware of a year with 40 or more named storms, neither by JTWC's nor by JMA's classification standards.
A season with 40 JMA depressions is normal, one with 40 cyclones by JTWC is kind of rare.
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