WPAC: HAIYAN - Post-Tropical

[stormkite]

Looks to me it wont undergo any change until it climbs up to 11.4N 126E then it will intensify a little.




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[xtyphooncyclonex]

LOL at JTWC:

No Active Tropical Warnings in the Northwest Pacific, North Indian Ocean, Central Pacific, Eastern Pacific, or Southern Hemisphere

There are no active tropical warnings in the Northwest Pacific/North Indian Ocean, Central/Eastern Pacific, or Southern Hemisphere at this time.

[somethingfunny]

It looks stronger every single frame.

[stormkite]

LOL at JTWC:

No Active Tropical Warnings in the Northwest Pacific, North Indian Ocean, Central Pacific, Eastern Pacific, or Southern Hemisphere

There are no active tropical warnings in the Northwest Pacific/North Indian Ocean, Central/Eastern Pacific, or Southern Hemisphere at this time.

Meow would be very disappointed JTWC is his favourite site for weather updates.

[stormkite]

It looks stronger every single frame.

Aculatly it's a point lower been holding at 7.1.

[Meow]

More beautiful from Aqua.

[oaba09]

Very impressive and deadly system. PAGASA's website is overloaded at the moment. They need to invest more in their website capacity because during situations like this, the best defense is preparedness and knowing the correct information.

It's nice to see the 2 major networks giving this typhoon a lot of coverage(ABS-CBN and GMA). The media here has a tendency to be too metro manila centric so it's nice to see them giving haiyan significant coverage despite the visayas track.

[dexterlabio]

^Off-topic though, this supertyphoon was easily eclipsed by a televised Senate hearing on multi-billion corrupted public funds.



btw, I see no warnings from JTWC. Something's wrong with their website...

[euro6208]

LOL at JTWC:

No Active Tropical Warnings in the Northwest Pacific, North Indian Ocean, Central Pacific, Eastern Pacific, or Southern Hemisphere

There are no active tropical warnings in the Northwest Pacific/North Indian Ocean, Central/Eastern Pacific, or Southern Hemisphere at this time.

Meow would be very disappointed JTWC is his favourite site for weather updates.

lol...looks like a bug...hopefully it gets fixed soon...

[euro6208]

RAW T earlier went up to 7.9 but is down to 7.8...super intense!







Look at that dark grey!

[euro6208]

Intensity remains at 150 knots but likely on the low side as haiyan has continued to strengthen...

We are used to watching tropical storms intensify into typhoon and typhoons in strong typhoons but haiyan has intensified from the upper strength of a category 5 to super duper uncharted levels for like 3 times...more like a category 6 if there is one!

[stormkite]

ADT has it at 7.3 that's the highest for quite a few hour's. but i have not looked at anything else



UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 8.1.5
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 07 NOV 2013 Time : 083000 UTC
Lat : 9:53:31 N Lon : 130:12:32 E


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
7.3 / 911.5mb/149.0kt

[stormboy]

PAGASA has already released their 5pm bulletin



TYPHOON “YOLANDA HAS ACCELERATED SLIGHTLY AND HAS MAINTAINED ITS STRENGTH AS IT CONTINUES TO THREATEN EASTERN VISAYAS.
Location of eye/center:
At 4:00 PM today, the eye of Typhoon “YOLANDA” was located based on all available data at 543 km Southeast of Guiuan, Eastern Samar (9.7°N, 130.5°E).
Strength:
Maximum sustained winds of 215 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 250 kph.
Movement:
Forecast to move West Northwest at 33 kph.
Forecast Position:
Typhoon “YOLANDA” is expected to be at 71 km East of Roxas City by tomorrow afternoon. It will be at 605 km West of Calapan, Mindoro by Saturday afternoon and on Sunday early morning, it will be at 1047 km West of Calapan, Mindoro or outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility.

Signal No. 4
( >185 kph winds may be expected in at least 12 hours)
None Eastern Samar
Samar
Leyte
Southern Leyte
Biliran island None

Signal No.3
(Winds of >100 to 185 kph may be expected in at least 18 hours)
None Northern Samar
Masbate
Northern Cebu
Cebu City
Bantayan island Siargao Island
Dinagat Province

Signal No. 2
(winds of >60 to 100 kph may be expected in at least 24 hours)
Romblon
Sorsogon
Albay
Burias island Bohol
Negros Occidental
Negros Oriental
Aklan
Capiz
Antique
Rest of Cebu
Iloilo
Guimaras Camiguin
Surigao Del Norte
Surigao Del Sur
Agusan Del Norte

Signal No. 1
(30-60 kph winds may be expected in at least 36 hours)
Camarines Norte
Camarines Sur
Catanduanes
Mindoro Provinces
Marinduque
Northern Palawan
Calamian Group of Island
Southern Quezon Siquijor Misamis Oriental
Agusan del Sur

[euro6208]

2013NOV07 083000 7.8 870.8 +4.3 164.0 7.8 7.9 7.9 NO LIMIT OFF OFF 18.28 -82.90 EYE 28 IR 91.6 9.86 -130.16 COMBO MTSAT1 16.3

UNOFFICIAL 871MB 165KNOTS!!!

TPPN12 PGTW 070617

A. SUPER TYPHOON 31W (HAIYAN)

B. 07/0530Z

C. 9.1N

D. 131.3E

E. ONE/MTSAT

F. T7.5/7.5/D0.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS

G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI

H. REMARKS: 03A/PBO EYE/ANMTN. WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY CMG YIELDS
AN E# OF 6.5. ADDED 1.0 FOR EYE ADJUSTMENT TO YIELD A DT OF
7.5. MET YIELDS 8.0. PT YIELDS 6.5. DBO DT.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
07/0110Z 8.8N 132.5E MMHS


UEHARA

[Grifforzer]

TXPQ25 KNES 070944
TCSWNP
A. 31W (HAIYAN)
B. 07/0857Z
C. 9.9N
D. 130.0E
E. ONE/MTSAT
F. T8.0/8.0/D1.0/24HRS
G. IR/EIR/SWIR
H. REMARKS...WMG EYE (18 C) SURROUNDED BY CDG AND EMBEDDED IN CDG
MAXES OUT THE CF NUMBER AT 7.5 AFTER A PLUS 1.0 ADJUSTMENT. THERE IS A
CLEAR CUT VERY COLD BANDING FEATURE BUT THE WARM EDGE IS TECHNICALLY TOO
COOL TO ADD FOR BF. THEREFORE DT IS HELD AT 7.5. MET AND PT ARE CLEARLY
8.0. FT IS BASED ON MET.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...RAMIREZ

[euro6208]

TXPQ25 KNES 070944
TCSWNP
A. 31W (HAIYAN)
B. 07/0857Z
C. 9.9N
D. 130.0E
E. ONE/MTSAT
F. T8.0/8.0/D1.0/24HRS
G. IR/EIR/SWIR
H. REMARKS...WMG EYE (18 C) SURROUNDED BY CDG AND EMBEDDED IN CDG
MAXES OUT THE CF NUMBER AT 7.5 AFTER A PLUS 1.0 ADJUSTMENT. THERE IS A
CLEAR CUT VERY COLD BANDING FEATURE BUT THE WARM EDGE IS TECHNICALLY TOO
COOL TO ADD FOR BF. THEREFORE DT IS HELD AT 7.5. MET AND PT ARE CLEARLY
8.0. FT IS BASED ON MET.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...RAMIREZ

PGTW also reporting 8.0

TPPN12 PGTW 70927

A. SUPER TYPHOON 31W (HAIYAN)

B. 07/0832Z

C. 9.8N

D. 130.2E

E. ONE/MTSAT

F. T8.0/8.0/D1.0/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS

G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI

H. REMARKS: 03A/PBO EYE/ANMTN. WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY CMG YIELDS AN E# OF
6.5. ADDED 1.0 FOR EYE ADJUSTMENT AND 0.5 FOR BANDING FEATURES TO YIELD A DT
OF 8.0. MET AGREES. PT YIELDS 6.5. DBO DT.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
07/0447Z 9.2N 131.3E MMHS
07/0658Z 9.5N 130.8E MMHS

UEHARA

[euro6208]

2013NOV07 093000 7.8 870.7 +4.3 164.0 7.8 8.0 8.0 NO LIMIT OFF OFF 17.96 -83.77 EYE 26 IR 95.9 10.02 -129.76 COMBO MTSAT1 16.7

Unbelievable...i am really excited for haiyan!

[hurricanes1234]

My question is how this isn't a steady T#8.0. I mean just look at those perfect grays!!!!
This is, in my opinion, a perfectly organised tropical cyclone that isn't getting fully recognised. I am almost certain that sustained winds in there must be well over 150 knots, based on...

[Meow]

JTWC analyses 8.0... Let’s see if Haiyan becomes 165kt or even 170kt!

[Extratropical94]

JTWC analyses 8.0... Let’s see if Haiyan becomes 165kt or even 170kt!

What did the JTWC analyse Megi's D-# at? 7.5?