WPAC: HAIYAN - Post-Tropical

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#861 Postby TheEuropean » Thu Nov 07, 2013 6:11 pm

Tacloban City at 22:50 UTC pressure 969 mb, down 5 mb in 10 minutes. station still operating.
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Re: WPAC: HAIYAN - Typhoon

#862 Postby EquusStorm » Thu Nov 07, 2013 6:12 pm

Doesn't get much scarier than this.
Image

Also, I believe Camille's landfall wind to be a bit overestimated (its 190 peak was probably offshore, weakening before landfall according to a rather detailed analysis of wind damage at the coast) but the 1935 Labor Day storm is probably this storm's closest landfall intensity 'cousin'.
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#863 Postby galaxy401 » Thu Nov 07, 2013 6:13 pm

Prayers to the people in the path of this monster storm. 195 mph...unbelievable...
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Re:

#864 Postby Alyono » Thu Nov 07, 2013 6:14 pm

TheEuropean wrote:Tacloban City at 22:50 UTC pressure 969 mb, down 5 mb in 10 minutes. station still operating.


any latest wind? seems as if the eye will remain just to their south
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#865 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Nov 07, 2013 6:14 pm

With the Tacloban data, I wonder if the pressure is higher than we estimate? The ridge to the north definitely suggests that Haiyan is not breaking any pressure records though.
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#866 Postby thoughtsinchaos » Thu Nov 07, 2013 6:15 pm

Full-on landfall now. Tacloban city directly underneath northern eyewall, with winds pushing surge right up San Pedro bay

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Re: WPAC: HAIYAN - Typhoon

#867 Postby MGC » Thu Nov 07, 2013 6:17 pm

Almost looks like a replay of Andrew in 1992. Cat-5+ moving along briskly due to strong high pressure to its north. Damage is going to be off the charts.....MGC
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#868 Postby Alyono » Thu Nov 07, 2013 6:18 pm

that 61 KT sustained from 40 minutes ago was a 10 minute sustained, as was the 96 mph sustaiend from Guiuan. 1 min sustained were likely quite a bit higher
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#869 Postby TheEuropean » Thu Nov 07, 2013 6:19 pm

Tacloban City at 23:00 UTC pressure 967 mb, down 2 mb in 10 minutes. station still operating.
winds 20° (NNE) with 50 kts, gust 81 kts, 67.8mm of rain in 1 hour
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#870 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Nov 07, 2013 6:19 pm

yeah not good at all for those in that city. once that wind switching the surge coming up the bay is not going to be good.. not even counting the ridiculous winds.
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#871 Postby brunota2003 » Thu Nov 07, 2013 6:19 pm

I figured I would poke my head in. Yes, I have been watching this. Absolutely stunning, and catastrophic. I know James (typhoonfury) was saying yesterday, when he was out reconning places to set up, that a lot of the very vulnerable coastal towns/villages did not appear to be evacuating. I'm afraid that this system is going to have a very high death toll.

"Doing recon south of Tacloban, lots of extremely vulnerable coastal communities with no signs of evacuating residents #YolandaPH #Haiyan"

South of Tacloban is where the center of the eye appears to be going, too.
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Re: WPAC: HAIYAN - Typhoon

#872 Postby ManilaTC » Thu Nov 07, 2013 6:20 pm

Im praying for all my blood relatives to survive in Ormoc City. (My Mom and Dad's families are from that area, so does my grandparents, aunts, cousins) They are now on the Western Eyewall as we speak.
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#873 Postby Alyono » Thu Nov 07, 2013 6:22 pm

the winds in Tacloban are nowhere near as intense as were expected and the presure is a LOT higher

that tells me the eyewall may pass just south of that city
Last edited by Alyono on Thu Nov 07, 2013 6:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: WPAC: HAIYAN - Typhoon

#874 Postby Sanibel » Thu Nov 07, 2013 6:22 pm

They said there was a tight gradient towards the core so outside pressures might not reflect the central pressure.
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#875 Postby Alyono » Thu Nov 07, 2013 6:24 pm

another forum is saying 957mb in Tacloban
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Re:

#876 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Nov 07, 2013 6:26 pm

Alyono wrote:that 61 KT sustained from 40 minutes ago was a 10 minute sustained, as was the 96 mph sustaiend from Guiuan. 1 min sustained were likely quite a bit higher


That suggests Guiuan saw Cat 3-level winds - OUTSIDE the eyewall! Considering few (if any) of us have ever been in major hurricane force sustained winds...
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Re:

#877 Postby TheEuropean » Thu Nov 07, 2013 6:27 pm

Alyono wrote:another forum is saying 957mb in Tacloban


at which time?
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Re: Re:

#878 Postby Alyono » Thu Nov 07, 2013 6:29 pm

TheEuropean wrote:
Alyono wrote:another forum is saying 957mb in Tacloban


at which time?


2300. Is the airport on the north side of the city? If so, this suggests a very tight gradient within the city itself and maybe not all of the city will get the worst
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#879 Postby Dave C » Thu Nov 07, 2013 6:30 pm

reminds me of super typhoon Keith in 1997. Very tight eyewall which slipped between Saipan and Rota in the mariana islands. Eyewall was only about 6 miles thick around the eye.
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#880 Postby TheEuropean » Thu Nov 07, 2013 6:30 pm

may be.

sorry, no more reports from 980188 Tacloban City after 23 UTC.
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