It's mid-November and almost into Northern Hemisphere winter and something pops up in EPAC!
OTHER SYSTEMS WITH FORMATION POTENTIAL BEYOND 48 HOURS...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COULD DEVELOP SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO LATER THIS WEEK. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT WHILE THIS DISTURBANCE MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN NORTHWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
Will we see Tico? Is there any model support for this?
EPAC Disturbance - (Is Invest 98E)
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hurricanes1234
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EPAC Disturbance - (Is Invest 98E)
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Hurricane_Luis
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hurricanes1234
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Re: EPAC Disturbance - 0%/20%
Outlook now says that in a few days, conditions are forecast to get less conducive. If this does form at all, I don't see it reaching very far. Probably just enough to make it Tico, but even that may be too high.
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PLEASE NOTE: With the exception of information from weather agencies that I may copy and paste here, my posts will NEVER be official, since I am NOT a meteorologist. They are solely my amateur opinion, and may or may not be accurate. Therefore, please DO NOT use them as official details, particularly when making important decisions. Thank you.
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cycloneye
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Re: EPAC Disturbance - 0%/20%
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 AM PST THU NOV 14 2013
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS FORMED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES
SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONLY MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND ARE THEN FORECAST TO BECOME LESS FAVORABLE. THIS SYSTEM
HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS WHILE IT MOVES
GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN NORTHWARD.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 AM PST THU NOV 14 2013
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS FORMED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES
SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONLY MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND ARE THEN FORECAST TO BECOME LESS FAVORABLE. THIS SYSTEM
HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS WHILE IT MOVES
GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN NORTHWARD.
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cycloneye
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Re: EPAC Disturbance - 10%/20%
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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