Texas Winter 2013-2014
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- SnowintheFalls
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Re: Re:
katheria wrote:Ntxw wrote:Good evening guys, getting home definitely was not fun.
Anyway I'm sure all of you are aware right now everything that's not concrete has a glaze of ice on it. It's going to get much worse, we are still in light bands right now and especially when temps fall into the 20s. More intense bands will come through and that will likely be the catalyst for the roads and everything else to become a skating rink heading towards midnight and morning. Stay safe!
Glad to see you made it homenot sure what we would have done without you
Thanks =). The highways are a parking lot, I would avoid them just for that alone, I was trying to go on 35 and ehh said that wasn't going to happen.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014
katheria wrote:and portastorm....???
fwisd hasnt closed?
thats just really weird dallas has and garland i think also
Fort Worth just announced they're closed tomorrow.
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Re:
dhweather wrote:It just seems like the worst of this will be northwest of the metroplex. Maybe from Comanche to Denton and northwest of there. Almost like we're getting dry slotted southeast of that line.
This is in no way an official forecast, just speculation on my part.
The worst will be eastplexers and northeast. The band will slowly migrate and intensify, possibly with thunderstorms.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- wxman57
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014
It's not even winter yet and I already hate the winter of 2013-2014. Will be quite interesting if this pattern holds into winter when the cold airmasses get deeper. Typing this on my iPad but will head over to my main PC shortly to check the weather more thoroughly. I guess I won't need to turn the AC on tonight...
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Re:
dhweather wrote:It just seems like the worst of this will be northwest of the metroplex. Maybe from Comanche to Denton and northwest of there. Almost like we're getting dry slotted southeast of that line.
This is in no way an official forecast, just speculation on my part.
The heaviest precip is not expected until after midnight. It will all fill in, those out west might actually get lesser amounts than those east.
Last edited by iorange55 on Thu Dec 05, 2013 8:17 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re:
dhweather wrote:It just seems like the worst of this will be northwest of the metroplex. Maybe from Comanche to Denton and northwest of there. Almost like we're getting dry slotted southeast of that line.
This is in no way an official forecast, just speculation on my part.
I would think the banding is going to slowly drift east bringing it right over the Metroplex.
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The above post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: Re:
Ntxw wrote:dhweather wrote:It just seems like the worst of this will be northwest of the metroplex. Maybe from Comanche to Denton and northwest of there. Almost like we're getting dry slotted southeast of that line.
This is in no way an official forecast, just speculation on my part.
The worst will be eastplexers and northeast. The band will slowly migrate and intensify, possibly with thunderstorms.
guess im not going to work tomorrow ( not that i wanted to anyways lol we get paid if they shut down)
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just a guess.......take everything i say with a grain of salt.......check your local NWS for forecast information
Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014
Friday: Rain before 1pm, then rain or freezing rain. High near 33. North wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Little or no ice accumulation expected.
Friday Night: Rain or freezing rain before 7pm. Low around 23. Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Little or no ice accumulation expected.
I hope we get a few degrees cooler!
Friday Night: Rain or freezing rain before 7pm. Low around 23. Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Little or no ice accumulation expected.
I hope we get a few degrees cooler!
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014
wxman57 wrote:It's not even winter yet and I already hate the winter of 2013-2014. Will be quite interesting if this pattern holds into winter when the cold airmasses get deeper. Typing this on my iPad but will head over to my main PC shortly to check the weather more thoroughly. I guess I won't need to turn the AC on tonight...
Can we dub it the true winter of your discontent then?

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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014
I can confirm that in Killeen, where temps recently dropped to 30-32 degrees, there are very light flurries falling. It is not even showing up on radar, but I did see a swath of very light returns on radar just before they switched off of that ultra-sensitive mode. So at least in CTX, I suspect there is an area of higher moisture moving up from the Gulf. I didn't conclude this based only by using GRK radar but also EWX. EWX is still in ultra-sensitive mode & there are light returns showing up on the east side of San Antonio, granted their temps are around 40. Dewpoints in Killeen are currently in the mid-20s & it remains to be seen how this fine moisture moving in will impact temps/dewpoints. Though I can see these flurries, and though they are leaving tiny water specs on the windows of my car, it is having no other impact at this time & most people wouldn't even notice them.
Last edited by downsouthman1 on Thu Dec 05, 2013 8:29 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Not a professional MET! My posts are merely speculation.
- Texas Snowman
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@AccuRayno: Big sleet storm DFW into SE OK. cold air is in deep. worst of Freezing rain, LIT toward JBR as temps fall below freezing
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014
Turtle wrote:Friday: Rain before 1pm, then rain or freezing rain. High near 33. North wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Little or no ice accumulation expected.
Friday Night: Rain or freezing rain before 7pm. Low around 23. Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Little or no ice accumulation expected.
I hope we get a few degrees cooler!
Becaue you want ice?
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Not a professional MET! My posts are merely speculation.
From FTW
.AVIATION...
FOR THE 00Z TAFS...THE IMPACTS OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION AT AREA
AIRPORTS CONTINUES TO BE THE FOCUS OF THE FORECAST.
LIGHT FREEZING RAIN MIXED WITH SLEET WAS REPORTED ALL ACROSS THE
METROPLEX BY THE TIME OF THIS DISCUSSION. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WERE
ALREADY OCCURRING ON ALL ELEVATED SURFACES...HOWEVER GROUND
TEMPERATURES REMAINED SUFFICIENTLY WARM TO PREVENT ICE
ACCUMULATIONS ON MOST SURFACES IN CONTACT WITH THE
GROUND...INCLUDING AREA RUNWAYS. LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THROUGH MIDNIGHT ACROSS ALL METROPLEX AREA TAF SITES.
ICE ACCUMULATION ON SURFACES IN CONTACT WITH THE GROUND WILL
BECOME LIKELY AFTER 03Z...AND WILL OCCUR FASTER IF PRECIPITATION
RATES INTENSIFY AT ALL.
FROM 06 TO 12Z...MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THIS WINDOW AS HAVING
THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION OVER THE
DFW METROPLEX. THIS IS WHEN THE BULK OF ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE
QUARTER TO ONE HALF INCH ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR. THERE MAY ALSO BE
A NARROW BAND OF PRECIPITATION THAT IS ENHANCED FURTHER. THIS
NARROW BAND OF PRECIPITATION WILL INCLUDE EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS
AND PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WITHIN THIS BAND MAY BE UP TO DOUBLE OF
WHAT FALLS OUTSIDE OF THIS BAND. AT THIS TIME CONFIDENCE REMAINS
TOO LOW THAT THIS BAND WILL ACTUALLY SET UP OVER THE DFW METROPLEX
AND DIRECTLY IMPACT AREA AIRPORTS. SOME MODEL GUIDANCE DOES SHOW
THIS HAPPENING...HOWEVER ABOUT HALF OF THE AVAILABLE GUIDANCE
INDICATES THAT THIS WILL REMAIN JUST SOUTHEAST OF THE METROPLEX.
PRECIPITATION RATES ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH ACROSS THE METROPLEX
AFTER 12Z...AND LINGERING PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY TRANSITION
OVER TO MOSTLY SLEET AS DEEPER COLD AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION.
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST OR SOUTHEAST OF THE
METROPLEX AFTER 15Z...BUT THIS TIME MAY BE ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY IN
LATER FORECASTS.
.AVIATION...
FOR THE 00Z TAFS...THE IMPACTS OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION AT AREA
AIRPORTS CONTINUES TO BE THE FOCUS OF THE FORECAST.
LIGHT FREEZING RAIN MIXED WITH SLEET WAS REPORTED ALL ACROSS THE
METROPLEX BY THE TIME OF THIS DISCUSSION. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WERE
ALREADY OCCURRING ON ALL ELEVATED SURFACES...HOWEVER GROUND
TEMPERATURES REMAINED SUFFICIENTLY WARM TO PREVENT ICE
ACCUMULATIONS ON MOST SURFACES IN CONTACT WITH THE
GROUND...INCLUDING AREA RUNWAYS. LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THROUGH MIDNIGHT ACROSS ALL METROPLEX AREA TAF SITES.
ICE ACCUMULATION ON SURFACES IN CONTACT WITH THE GROUND WILL
BECOME LIKELY AFTER 03Z...AND WILL OCCUR FASTER IF PRECIPITATION
RATES INTENSIFY AT ALL.
FROM 06 TO 12Z...MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THIS WINDOW AS HAVING
THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION OVER THE
DFW METROPLEX. THIS IS WHEN THE BULK OF ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE
QUARTER TO ONE HALF INCH ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR. THERE MAY ALSO BE
A NARROW BAND OF PRECIPITATION THAT IS ENHANCED FURTHER. THIS
NARROW BAND OF PRECIPITATION WILL INCLUDE EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS
AND PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WITHIN THIS BAND MAY BE UP TO DOUBLE OF
WHAT FALLS OUTSIDE OF THIS BAND. AT THIS TIME CONFIDENCE REMAINS
TOO LOW THAT THIS BAND WILL ACTUALLY SET UP OVER THE DFW METROPLEX
AND DIRECTLY IMPACT AREA AIRPORTS. SOME MODEL GUIDANCE DOES SHOW
THIS HAPPENING...HOWEVER ABOUT HALF OF THE AVAILABLE GUIDANCE
INDICATES THAT THIS WILL REMAIN JUST SOUTHEAST OF THE METROPLEX.
PRECIPITATION RATES ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH ACROSS THE METROPLEX
AFTER 12Z...AND LINGERING PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY TRANSITION
OVER TO MOSTLY SLEET AS DEEPER COLD AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION.
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST OR SOUTHEAST OF THE
METROPLEX AFTER 15Z...BUT THIS TIME MAY BE ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY IN
LATER FORECASTS.
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Texas Winter 2013-2014
Just leaving the grocery store at Coit and Campbell, very light snow falling!
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- South Texas Storms
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014
I'm really surprised College Station does not currently have at least a winter weather advisory. The temperature here is already down to 37 degrees and we will have several hours to drop 5 degrees before the precip arrives in the early morning hours. The NWS is forecasting a low of 33 degrees here tonight. I feel like we should at least be under a Winter Weather Advisory as I think we could be below freezing when the precipitation starts.
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Re:
Texas Snowman wrote:@AccuRayno: Big sleet storm DFW into SE OK. cold air is in deep. worst of Freezing rain, LIT toward JBR as temps fall below freezing
I think the fact that a lot of us are seeing sleet mixed in when it gets heavy is a good sign. Hopefully that holds true through the night.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014
wxman57 wrote:It's not even winter yet and I already hate the winter of 2013-2014. Will be quite interesting if this pattern holds into winter when the cold airmasses get deeper. Typing this on my iPad but will head over to my main PC shortly to check the weather more thoroughly. I guess I won't need to turn the AC on tonight...
I don't like winter in general either and I think this will be a bad one, really bad for most of central and eastern North America. Today us in southern Ontario were warmer than most parts of Texas, how often can I say that in December?

Annie Oakley wrote:SaskatchewanScreamer wrote:Just so you folks know what's happening far to your North.....
Moose Jaw's overnight temps
Low minus 31. Extreme wind chill minus 41
Looks like it plans on heading elsewhere afterwards.....
Just so you know SasQuatch..........we don't care.
I forgot the 'lol' part ha ha..............
Ouch, someone take Screamer to the burn (or should I say frostbite?) ward!
Last edited by Cyclenall on Thu Dec 05, 2013 8:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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- TheProfessor
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