Hint of a shift a bit north better news for Florida

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
Rainband

Hint of a shift a bit north better news for Florida

#1 Postby Rainband » Fri Sep 12, 2003 7:33 am

The forecast track seems to be shifting a bit north with each run!!! Temporary?? Or GOOD NEWS :D at least for FLORIDA..time will tell :roll: Lets hope!!! It's a trend!!
0 likes   

User avatar
ameriwx2003
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 980
Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2003 10:45 am

#2 Postby ameriwx2003 » Fri Sep 12, 2003 7:37 am

Yes.. Good news for Florida but bad news for points further North. The UKMET sure is a tease for Florida though:)
0 likes   

User avatar
Toni - 574
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 493
Joined: Wed May 28, 2003 9:20 pm
Location: W. Central Florida

#3 Postby Toni - 574 » Fri Sep 12, 2003 8:15 am

I would say that with caution guys, especially at this point. We could be going back and forth for a while. I just really want to see what recon finds when they get in there. Right now Isabel is doing what she wants to do and I have a feeling that will be the trend at least in the short term.

Toni
0 likes   

wrkh99

#4 Postby wrkh99 » Fri Sep 12, 2003 8:19 am

forcast track shifts north but notice how most models don't bring it on shore. You can't just draw a line from where the forcasted model track ends .
0 likes   

Josephine96

#5 Postby Josephine96 » Fri Sep 12, 2003 8:28 am

I saw the local met at 7 am this morning here and he talked about the storm would be getting "Dangerously close to central or south florida" and the look in his eyes when he said "Dangerously close" makes people wonder if he really thinks we'll get a direct hit.. other than a scare..
0 likes   

Stormcenter
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6684
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:27 am
Location: Houston, TX

Don't look now but....

#6 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Sep 12, 2003 8:41 am

Don't look now but she is currently headed WSW . I REALLY have my doubts as to what the models are putting out there right now. I look for the models to shift to left based on her current movement. Can you say SE Florida as a "1st" landfall? BUT I still believe she can be a fish storm based on her distance from land and her slow rate of forward speed. Let's cross our fingers that may be the case.
0 likes   

Josephine96

#7 Postby Josephine96 » Fri Sep 12, 2003 8:43 am

Yes, I can see a "1st" landfall in SE Florida.. I also have this feeling eventually Isabel is going to pick up speed.. even if it's only to move at 11-12 mph instead of 9-10
0 likes   

User avatar
Toni - 574
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 493
Joined: Wed May 28, 2003 9:20 pm
Location: W. Central Florida

#8 Postby Toni - 574 » Fri Sep 12, 2003 8:51 am

I think at this point it would be prudent for us to keep all options open! Isabel is a very dangerous storm right now. I do feel that she will not be as stong where ever she makes landfall (Thank Goodness) and now having said that I guess I am pretty much convienced that she is not going to be a fish spinner and someone will feel her wrath. Look out Bahamas she is on her way. May not be as kind to them as she will be to the East Coast.
0 likes   

Steve H.
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2147
Joined: Sat Oct 19, 2002 9:06 am
Location: Palm Bay, Florida

#9 Postby Steve H. » Fri Sep 12, 2003 8:54 am

I WOULDN' T user the term Good News for Florida yet, or for anybody. She's not west of 60 yet so we have no idea. She's not north of 25 yet. She's heading about 265 right now. We'll have a better idea when she's west of 70W!! :grr:
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: chaser1, Ethaninfinity, Google Adsense [Bot], Sps123, Stratton23, Tak5, Ulf and 43 guests