Texas Winter 2013-2014

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TheProfessor
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Re: Re:

#3961 Postby TheProfessor » Mon Jan 20, 2014 10:28 am

Lagreeneyes03 wrote:
TheProfessor wrote:These model runs are terrible for dfw. :(



Downright depressing and unfair actually.



I know, we actually live quite close to each other, I was really hopping for some snow. :crying:

Does it look over for us? Or could something still happen?
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Re: Re:

#3962 Postby gboudx » Mon Jan 20, 2014 10:34 am

Ntxw wrote:
Lagreeneyes03 wrote:
TheProfessor wrote:These model runs are terrible for dfw. :(



Downright depressing and unfair actually.


You guys shouldn't feel so bad, despite what many think we have posters in Texas not in north TX that don't see a threat often. It's been unfair to them for years and years. It's not set in stone there will be vorticity overhead so flurries or light snow or a stronger shortwave is still possible. If not there will be more chances likely even better heading into the coming weeks. I hope the southern half of Texas cashes in this weekend!


Agreed. Btw what's the avatar gif from? Looks like we had a nice snow event.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#3963 Postby ronyan » Mon Jan 20, 2014 10:37 am

DFW should get more chances before winter is over, didn't y'all already have an ice storm through there?

It's very rare that SE TX gets in on any winter weather, wish we could get snow and not ice but I'll take it. (Waits for the 12z GFS in hopes that it doesn't do away with precip all together).
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#3964 Postby Ntxw » Mon Jan 20, 2014 10:38 am

:uarrow: The biggest one ever around these parts, I used it before and wacowx got on my case having to look at it for so long lol
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Re:

#3965 Postby gboudx » Mon Jan 20, 2014 10:44 am

Ntxw wrote::uarrow: The biggest one ever around these parts, I used it before and wacowx got on my case having to look at it for so long lol


LOL! Waco was the epitome of close but no cigar.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#3966 Postby WacoWx » Mon Jan 20, 2014 10:48 am

I'm right here. I hear every word you're saying. :cry:
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#3967 Postby TheProfessor » Mon Jan 20, 2014 10:59 am

ronyan wrote:DFW should get more chances before winter is over, didn't y'all already have an ice storm through there?

It's very rare that SE TX gets in on any winter weather, wish we could get snow and not ice but I'll take it. (Waits for the 12z GFS in hopes that it doesn't do away with precip all together).


Yes, but crippling ice storms aren't any fun :( . And I haven't had a good snow storm since 2011. (unfortunately I missed the Christmas Miracle of 2012).

The absolutely worst part is that the model are saying no precip, We really need precipitation here to fill up are lakes. :cry:
I would be happy if we got just rain.
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#3968 Postby Rgv20 » Mon Jan 20, 2014 11:11 am

12zGFS has a nice snow event for Friday from about San Antonio to Austin with totals ranging from 0.5 to 2''.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#3969 Postby gboudx » Mon Jan 20, 2014 11:13 am

:uarrow: true dat professor. Here's a panoramic I took from the northern end Ray Hubbard yesterday. Where I was standing should've been about a foot of water. This is looking south and then westward to northwest. I'm not hot linking it because it's a 7mb pic.

http://imageshack.us/a/img543/5907/n8oc.jpg
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Re:

#3970 Postby wxman57 » Mon Jan 20, 2014 11:15 am

Rgv20 wrote:12zGFS has a nice snow event for Friday from about San Antonio to Austin with totals ranging from 0.5 to 2''.


Where are you seeing that. I'm looking at projections of precip type from the GFS and seeing freezing rain and sleet, not snow. The snow is well west of San Antonio and Austin.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#3971 Postby weatherguy425 » Mon Jan 20, 2014 11:19 am

Rgv20 wrote:12zGFS has a nice snow event for Friday from about San Antonio to Austin with totals ranging from 0.5 to 2''.


In this situation, I would focus on precipitation type forecast ( not that it will be that accurate this far out), not the 'snow depth' output that many free sites offer.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#3972 Postby stormlover2013 » Mon Jan 20, 2014 11:23 am

Still a couple days out!!
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Re: Re:

#3973 Postby Big O » Mon Jan 20, 2014 11:25 am

wxman57 wrote:
Rgv20 wrote:12zGFS has a nice snow event for Friday from about San Antonio to Austin with totals ranging from 0.5 to 2''.


Where are you seeing that. I'm looking at projections of precip type from the GFS and seeing freezing rain and sleet, not snow. The snow is well west of San Antonio and Austin.


WeatherBell 12z GFS 3-hour snowfall accumulating maps beginning 0z on Friday.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#3974 Postby Portastorm » Mon Jan 20, 2014 11:28 am

That is one nasty mess the 12z GFS is showing for my area of the state. Looks like a mix of sleet and freezing rain to me. I kinda agree with wxman57. Oops, did I just write?!
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Re: Re:

#3975 Postby Rgv20 » Mon Jan 20, 2014 11:31 am

wxman57 wrote:
Rgv20 wrote:12zGFS has a nice snow event for Friday from about San Antonio to Austin with totals ranging from 0.5 to 2''.


Where are you seeing that. I'm looking at projections of precip type from the GFS and seeing freezing rain and sleet, not snow. The snow is well west of San Antonio and Austin.


Weatherbell accumulated snowfall.....Looking at the Precipitation types you are correct on that is showing mostly Freezing Rain and Sleet.
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Re: Re:

#3976 Postby wxman57 » Mon Jan 20, 2014 11:32 am

Big O wrote:
wxman57 wrote:
Rgv20 wrote:12zGFS has a nice snow event for Friday from about San Antonio to Austin with totals ranging from 0.5 to 2''.


Where are you seeing that. I'm looking at projections of precip type from the GFS and seeing freezing rain and sleet, not snow. The snow is well west of San Antonio and Austin.


WeatherBell 12z GFS 3-hour snowfall accumulating maps beginning 0z on Friday.


Same place I'm looking, but I'm looking at the "Precip Type - Accumulation graphics. No snow there for AUS/SAT. So the GFS doesn't appear to agree with itself...
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#3977 Postby GRAYSONCO.WX » Mon Jan 20, 2014 11:36 am

The soundings, to me, look more like a snow event early Friday for Austin. Looking at the 12Z GFS.
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#3978 Postby TheProfessor » Mon Jan 20, 2014 11:43 am

I really hope the models are underestimating the short wave, any amount of precip would be great.
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Re:

#3979 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Mon Jan 20, 2014 11:43 am

Rgv20 wrote:12zGFS has a nice snow event for Friday from about San Antonio to Austin with totals ranging from 0.5 to 2''.


What is it showing for points further east into south/se LA?

Also can somebody post some graphics of the 06 and 12z runs with precip type. Don't have ability to pull them up right now. Thanks.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#3980 Postby Stormnut » Mon Jan 20, 2014 11:46 am

Mike-- 12z GFS has us getting nada
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