Texas Winter 2013-2014

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Annie Oakley
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Re:

#4821 Postby Annie Oakley » Thu Jan 23, 2014 8:06 pm

SaskatchewanScreamer wrote:um fellows don't you think you should log off and head outside and actually admire the real thing??? Take some pics and build a 3 inch :lol: snowman!?!

We don't care about the size of the snowman lol-cause in a state the size of Texas-everything appears smaller.
Last edited by Annie Oakley on Thu Jan 23, 2014 8:09 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#4822 Postby cheezyWXguy » Thu Jan 23, 2014 8:07 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:I'm kinda concerned that I haven't seen any sleet here in College Station. I keep going outside to check but still just a cold rain.
Radar shows a mix here, but I'm not seeing it. When do yall think I will start to see some frozen precip here?

i think its going to change soon. We're at 34.9 at the moment, but just to the west and up near Bryan, the temp is 32. The freezing line is closing in.
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Re:

#4823 Postby Shoshana » Thu Jan 23, 2014 8:08 pm

SaskatchewanScreamer wrote:um fellows don't you think you should log off and head outside and actually admire the real thing??? Take some pics and build a 3 inch :lol: snowman!?!


Nothing happening here at the moment but the cars are iced over.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#4824 Postby ravyrn » Thu Jan 23, 2014 8:09 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:
South Texas Storms wrote:I'm kinda concerned that I haven't seen any sleet here in College Station. I keep going outside to check but still just a cold rain.
Radar shows a mix here, but I'm not seeing it. When do yall think I will start to see some frozen precip here?

i think its going to change soon. We're at 34.9 at the moment, but just to the west and up near Bryan, the temp is 32. The freezing line is closing in.


I don't think surface temps matter as much as the column of air over yalls head. We were getting snow here in Jacksonville while it was still 36.
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#4825 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Thu Jan 23, 2014 8:10 pm

Look at the SPC chart. There is a small circle in west texas, its not a low pressure but 'lower pressure. This a good thing? More moisture?
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#4826 Postby ravyrn » Thu Jan 23, 2014 8:12 pm

Any reports of that band south of Sherman/Gatesville/Paris making it to the ground?
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#4827 Postby Longhornmaniac8 » Thu Jan 23, 2014 8:12 pm

I'm worried about the lack of moisture out west...I hope I'm wrong and it's there just not showing up yet. But those dew points are mighty low farther north.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#4828 Postby cheezyWXguy » Thu Jan 23, 2014 8:13 pm

ravyrn wrote:
cheezyWXguy wrote:
South Texas Storms wrote:I'm kinda concerned that I haven't seen any sleet here in College Station. I keep going outside to check but still just a cold rain.
Radar shows a mix here, but I'm not seeing it. When do yall think I will start to see some frozen precip here?

i think its going to change soon. We're at 34.9 at the moment, but just to the west and up near Bryan, the temp is 32. The freezing line is closing in.


I don't think surface temps matter as much as the column of air over yalls head. We were getting snow here in Jacksonville while it was still 36.

freezing rain/sleet is also forecast. however all we're getting is liquid rain. In this case surface temp would matter.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#4829 Postby Ntxw » Thu Jan 23, 2014 8:19 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:
South Texas Storms wrote:I'm kinda concerned that I haven't seen any sleet here in College Station. I keep going outside to check but still just a cold rain.
Radar shows a mix here, but I'm not seeing it. When do yall think I will start to see some frozen precip here?

i think its going to change soon. We're at 34.9 at the moment, but just to the west and up near Bryan, the temp is 32. The freezing line is closing in.


I think you guys are fine, you will likely get a good dose of it. there will be much backbuilding later tonight for you and heaviest qpf is still yet to come for your region. I mentioned earlier models did show slowing of 850mb 0c line in SE TX thus it has but areas north of I-10 should switch over to snow by then IMO. Your main show is still to come overnight.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#4830 Postby South Texas Storms » Thu Jan 23, 2014 8:22 pm

Ntxw wrote:
cheezyWXguy wrote:
South Texas Storms wrote:I'm kinda concerned that I haven't seen any sleet here in College Station. I keep going outside to check but still just a cold rain.
Radar shows a mix here, but I'm not seeing it. When do yall think I will start to see some frozen precip here?

i think its going to change soon. We're at 34.9 at the moment, but just to the west and up near Bryan, the temp is 32. The freezing line is closing in.


I think you guys are fine, you will likely get a good dose of it. there will be much backbuilding later tonight for you and heaviest qpf is still yet to come for your region. I mentioned earlier models did show slowing of 850mb 0c line in SE TX thus it has but areas north of I-10 should switch over to snow by then IMO. Your main show is still to come overnight.


What time do you think the changeover may occur? You think we could see a few good hours of moderate snow/sleet around midnight?
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#4831 Postby ravyrn » Thu Jan 23, 2014 8:23 pm

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#4832 Postby cheezyWXguy » Thu Jan 23, 2014 8:26 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:
Ntxw wrote:I think you guys are fine, you will likely get a good dose of it. there will be much backbuilding later tonight for you and heaviest qpf is still yet to come for your region. I mentioned earlier models did show slowing of 850mb 0c line in SE TX thus it has but areas north of I-10 should switch over to snow by then IMO. Your main show is still to come overnight.


What time do you think the changeover may occur? You think we could see a few good hours of moderate snow/sleet around midnight?

I think it actually just happened, I can hear that kind of "ssssss" noise you hear when its sleeting
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#4833 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Thu Jan 23, 2014 8:26 pm

Yeah we need the 850 to move south more, this should provide a bit more lift too. Still a ways from SE Tx
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#4834 Postby Ntxw » Thu Jan 23, 2014 8:27 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:What time do you think the changeover may occur? You think we could see a few good hours of moderate snow/sleet around midnight?


Probably within the next 3 hours to snow, well before the convective stuff hits. I think you guys in CLL will end up with 1-3", while some areas just to your east may end up 2-4.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#4835 Postby ravyrn » Thu Jan 23, 2014 8:28 pm

Here in Jacksonville, we had a mist around 2pm. I heard ice pellets hitting the window around 3pm. When I stepped outside at 5pm, it was snowing pretty good given our neck of the woods. Once we had the ice pellets, I imagine an hour or so later it had turned over to snow.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#4836 Postby South Texas Storms » Thu Jan 23, 2014 8:30 pm

Ntxw wrote:
South Texas Storms wrote:What time do you think the changeover may occur? You think we could see a few good hours of moderate snow/sleet around midnight?


Probably within the next 3 hours to snow, well before the convective stuff hits. I think you guys in CLL will end up with 1-3", while some areas just to your east may end up 2-4.


Wow I hope you're right! So you think the convective bands will hit after midnight and give us a few inches then?
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Re: Re:

#4837 Postby SaskatchewanScreamer » Thu Jan 23, 2014 8:32 pm

Annie Oakley wrote:
SaskatchewanScreamer wrote:um fellows don't you think you should log off and head outside and actually admire the real thing??? Take some pics and build a 3 inch :lol: snowman!?!

We don't care about the size of the snowman lol-cause in a state the size of Texas-everything appears smaller.


:lol:

And for those that can't build 3" snowmen :cry: here's something else to do (I'm sure some of you will be in the cold :cold: zone:
o matter how young or old you are, making bubbles with soapy water is always fun. But what happens if you make these bubbles in the winter? Note that this experiment requires an outdoor temperature below -15oC.
Why?

Why not simply mix water and soap? Because the solution isn’t thick enough to produce good surface tension. It is surface tension that allows the solution to form a bubble.
Materials

soapy water in a bottle
To make soapy water that will produce nice, solid bubbles, combine:
125 ml liquid dish soap
125 ml corn syrup :larrow: important ingredient for winter bubbles
750 ml hot water
Mix and let cool.
bubble wand

Method

Dress warmly. :lol:
Head outside :eek: with your bubble mixture and wand.
To produce bubbles, dip the bubble wand in the soapy water, to cover it with a thin film of liquid, then wave the wand slowly.
Try to catch bubbles with the bubble wand.

http://www.sciencetech.technomuses.ca/e ... ubbles.cfm

Then take pics of either the frozen bubble (or a snowman outline :wink: on your car's hood)
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#4838 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Thu Jan 23, 2014 8:32 pm

Ive got .21 of precip in Sugar Land so far today. 36.9F here. Wind is a whippin.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#4839 Postby ravyrn » Thu Jan 23, 2014 8:33 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:
Ntxw wrote:
South Texas Storms wrote:What time do you think the changeover may occur? You think we could see a few good hours of moderate snow/sleet around midnight?


Probably within the next 3 hours to snow, well before the convective stuff hits. I think you guys in CLL will end up with 1-3", while some areas just to your east may end up 2-4.


Wow I hope you're right! So you think the convective bands will hit after midnight and give us a few inches then?


Yall should be very close to the turnover. Keep us updated!
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#4840 Postby Portastorm » Thu Jan 23, 2014 8:33 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:
Ntxw wrote:
South Texas Storms wrote:What time do you think the changeover may occur? You think we could see a few good hours of moderate snow/sleet around midnight?


Probably within the next 3 hours to snow, well before the convective stuff hits. I think you guys in CLL will end up with 1-3", while some areas just to your east may end up 2-4.


Wow I hope you're right! So you think the convective bands will hit after midnight and give us a few inches then?


Latest HRRR (RUC) -- 22z -- still looks good for you, buddy. Still showing 1-2 inches. Keep the faith!
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