Deep South Winterwx Discussion 2015-2016

[timmeister]

00Z NAM Simulated Radar Image Levi posted on Twitter about 30 minutes ago shows the snow line shifted to the south a bit.

[Jag95]

The NAM puts down 6-9 inches from New Orleans to east of Pensacola, with Pensacola being the winner. I've seen the NAM do that before though. I'll wait until tomorrow night before I start believing we get anything much less that, especially with lukewarm support from the other models. The 00Z GFS does look a tad bit wetter though.

[MississippiWx]

00z GFS is our friend. Trending north more in line with its ensembles.

[BigB0882]

The trend is our friend. I hope the NAM doesn't go any more south and the GFS trends north and then right before the event they both end being too far south just like the last event.

[bella_may]

00z GFS is our friend. Trending north more in line with its ensembles.

Hooray! Hopefully we get some real snow this time. Not that ice pellet crap!

[Brent]

I'm saving this map regardless I get 0" while Dothan gets 8", I'm sooo heading SOUTH if this happens.

[MississippiWx]

0z Canadian comes back in line with its previous solutions. 2-4 inches of snow possible from Texas through Louisiana to Mississippi. Might be more farther east. Difference is the new models are bringing the upper low south of California to the east again instead of stalling it there. Look at how much quicker the 0z run is than the 12z run from Saturday.

0z Sunday CMC run:



12z Saturday run:

[timmeister]

Hattiesburg would get 1-2 inches if this model holds true.

[MississippiWx]

Hattiesburg would get 1-2 inches if the model holds true.

New CMC is closer to 4 inches. GFS about 1-2 like the NAM. GFS ensembles are very wet.

[BigB0882]

That nam is so glorious! 2-3 inches for Baton Rouge? I'll take that!

Edit: I read that wrong! Lol.

[timmeister]

New CMC is closer to 4 inches. GFS about 1-2 like the NAM. GFS ensembles are very wet.

Are you talking about the 12Z CMC? The link I have for the 12Z CMC has the snow line moving more south than the 00Z CMC.

http://meteocentre.com/models/get_anim. ... na&lang=en

[MississippiWx]

New CMC is closer to 4 inches. GFS about 1-2 like the NAM. GFS ensembles are very wet.

Are you talking about the 12Z CMC? The link I have for the 12Z CMC has the snow line moving more south than the 00Z CMC.

http://meteocentre.com/models/get_anim. ... na&lang=en

No, the 00z CMC went back to its previous snowier solutions.

[Brent]

[CYCLONE MIKE]

Well hopefully the models have shifted as far south as they are going to and now they will all begin creeping back north with tomorrows runs, so everybody from tx to Carolinas gets in in the action this time. Can't believe after spending about 36 straight hours below freezing and getting 17-18 hrs of continuous winter precip we are in line to possibly get more less than a week later. Pretty crazy to think about down here.

[BigB0882]

Can you post that map showing Louisiana?

[timmeister]

No, the 00z CMC went back to its previous snowier solutions.

Gotcha. Didn't realize that the Sunday CMC 00Z Model was out. Looks like lots of snow for the 'Burg.

[CYCLONE MIKE]

What you think about this B? Getting pumped or after the mess we just had would rather sunny and warm? I enjoyed it because I never left the house. People that had to work said it was miserable taking upwards of two hrs to get across town.

[CYCLONE MIKE]

Not thinking the cmc will verify but man if it did that would be one hell of a couple of days for the deep south.

[BigB0882]

Cyclone, I am a teacher so work is not an issue. We will be off in the event of another winter storm. I hope we get another because it could be another 5 to 10 years until we see snow. Ill take it any time we can get it . I hope this happens but I'm not going to feel confident until 24 hours before and even then I will be cautiously optimistic.

[CYCLONE MIKE]

Well bigb i took a look at the 0z gfs run and it show winter precip back in LA . Looks to be about 12hrs or so of it. Starting to think the models are latching on and we are going to see our second winter storm in less than a week.