SW LA/SE TX Winter 2013-2014

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southerngale
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#301 Postby southerngale » Sun Jan 26, 2014 7:07 pm

What do they show for Beaumont and Nederland?

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Re:

#302 Postby BigB0882 » Sun Jan 26, 2014 7:14 pm

southerngale wrote:What do they show for Beaumont and Nederland?

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Go to the link I posted for LaBreeze and change the BTR to BPT
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Re:

#303 Postby LaBreeze » Sun Jan 26, 2014 7:51 pm

BigB0882 wrote:Very nice totals for Kaplan!
http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sampl ... ?text=K7R4

Am I reading this correctly? It would be just over an inch? Thanks in advance.
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#304 Postby BigB0882 » Sun Jan 26, 2014 7:53 pm

I see over half an inch, close to .75 of QPF. Not much of it is snow though as the 850 temps are above 0. However, that is really getting nitpicky and there is no way to know the temp within a few degrees which is how close it is. Also, that is just the GFS operational run so the Ensembles may differ. It gives you a decent idea, though.
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Re: Re:

#305 Postby Ntxw » Sun Jan 26, 2014 7:55 pm

LaBreeze wrote:
BigB0882 wrote:Very nice totals for Kaplan!
http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sampl ... ?text=K7R4

Am I reading this correctly? It would be just over an inch? Thanks in advance.


I can help! In addition to what BigB said, it looks like a heavy dose of sleet ending as a little snow up to an inch/inch and half.
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Re: SW LA/SE TX Winter 2013-2014

#306 Postby Jagno » Sun Jan 26, 2014 8:50 pm

This is what our local met posted on Facebook this evening!
KPLC 7 News

As we continue to look at the models for the next 48+ hours, here's a travel note from Zack Fradella KPLC:
Traveling will likely become dangerous by early Tuesday morning. Get to your location Monday night and plan to remain in place through Wednesday. Models do indicate there could be some significant ice and snow amounts which could also lead to power outages.
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#307 Postby BigB0882 » Sun Jan 26, 2014 9:09 pm

I am afraid, if the models are correct, that roads could be bad for 3 days. Tue-Wed-Thur. If we get a significant ice/snow pack then Wednesday's high will not be as high as forecast and any melting that occurs will just refreeze as there is another deep freeze forecast for that night. With our last event they didn't have all the interstates and bridges open until well into the day Saturday, around 3 or so. This would probably be even later unless they could find a way to put more crews out on them and like I said, may have to wait until Thursday afternoon.
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Re: SW LA/SE TX Winter 2013-2014

#308 Postby PTrackerLA » Sun Jan 26, 2014 10:04 pm

00z NAM shows 6-7 inches for me now. :eek: :lol:
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#309 Postby BigB0882 » Sun Jan 26, 2014 10:09 pm

PTracker, it could be mostly sleet. The NAM soundings show a big warm nose at 850 mb. Let's see what the next run of the GFS says.
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Re:

#310 Postby ROCK » Sun Jan 26, 2014 10:18 pm

southerngale wrote:What do they show for Beaumont and Nederland?

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Nederland? Is that a town? :lol:
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Re: SW LA/SE TX Winter 2013-2014

#311 Postby ravyrn » Sun Jan 26, 2014 10:33 pm

I'll post some meteograms for you guys when the 0Z GFS data gets put out. Send me a request in a PM for your area and I'll toss them out later tonight. I'll include the 850mb temps so you have a better idea of ptype.
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Re: SW LA/SE TX Winter 2013-2014

#312 Postby ravyrn » Sun Jan 26, 2014 10:45 pm

Also, I edited my excel file for GFS to be able to make meteograms for the NAM. However, I'm uncertain if I correctly did it. Does this look right for the 0Z NAM @ Houston Hobby?

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Re: SW LA/SE TX Winter 2013-2014

#313 Postby PTrackerLA » Sun Jan 26, 2014 11:08 pm

00z GFS has a streak of 6"+ snow totals going right over me much like the latest NAM. Incredible.
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Re: SW LA/SE TX Winter 2013-2014

#314 Postby stormlover2013 » Sun Jan 26, 2014 11:09 pm

Meteorologist just texted me and said gfs shows about 2 inches of sleet and 2 inches of snow in the golden triangle.
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Re: SW LA/SE TX Winter 2013-2014

#315 Postby Rgv20 » Sun Jan 26, 2014 11:12 pm

PTrackerLA wrote:00z GFS has a streak of 6"+ snow totals going right over me much like the latest NAM. Incredible.


Looking at the Precip Type for the GFS it starts as Sleet and a little bit of Freezing Rain, at the back end is when the GFS shows some Snow. Its going to be a mess for your area! Stay Warm! lol
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Re: SW LA/SE TX Winter 2013-2014

#316 Postby ravyrn » Sun Jan 26, 2014 11:18 pm

Per PM requests. I'm still waiting for the 0Z GFS data to load to the site to plug into the spreadsheets.

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#317 Postby BigB0882 » Sun Jan 26, 2014 11:18 pm

PTracker, is the GFS the same for Baton Rouge? God, I wish this event was starting tomorrow. I am going to be on pins and needles tomorrow worrying about the models backing off at the last minute.
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Re: SW LA/SE TX Winter 2013-2014

#318 Postby southerngale » Sun Jan 26, 2014 11:20 pm

ROCK wrote:
southerngale wrote:What do they show for Beaumont and Nederland?

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Nederland? Is that a town? :lol:




ROCK wrote:
southerngale wrote:What do they show for Beaumont and Nederland?

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Nederland? Is that a town? :lol:




ROCK wrote:
southerngale wrote:What do they show for Beaumont and Nederland?

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Nederland? Is that a town? :lol:

Yes. I work there. lol

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Re: SW LA/SE TX Winter 2013-2014

#319 Postby stormlover2013 » Sun Jan 26, 2014 11:25 pm

Southern gal I'm from lumberton, I get tons of updates from kfdm crew if u wanna follow me on Facebook.
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Re: SW LA/SE TX Winter 2013-2014

#320 Postby ROCK » Sun Jan 26, 2014 11:25 pm

:uarrow: lol....I have a bank there so know the area well....nice to see you out of hibernation,,:)
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