Texas Winter 2013-2014

Winter Weather Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
South Texas Storms
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4244
Joined: Thu Jun 24, 2010 12:28 am
Location: Houston, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#5761 Postby South Texas Storms » Tue Jan 28, 2014 12:22 am

Brady, TX is now reporting light snow.
0 likes   

User avatar
HouTXmetro
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3949
Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2004 6:00 pm
Location: District of Columbia, USA

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#5762 Postby HouTXmetro » Tue Jan 28, 2014 12:26 am

JDawg512 wrote:It is 26 degrees and dropping quickly from 34 degrees about 40 minutes ago here near South Central Austin. Rain is still falling and it is beginning to freeze on surfaces. I'm hoping it changes over soon. I checked two of my thermometers to make sure the 26 wasn't a fluke they both are reading 26 degrees.


26?! NO FREKIN WAY that is right. If that's the air filtering in now is EXTREMELY colder than expected.
0 likes   
[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]

User avatar
hriverajr
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 786
Joined: Tue Jul 19, 2005 12:16 am

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#5763 Postby hriverajr » Tue Jan 28, 2014 12:30 am

What kind of thermometers?
0 likes   
Anything I post is my personal opinion and should not used for any type of planning or lifesaving reasons. Please refer to National Weather Service forecasts.

User avatar
TeamPlayersBlue
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3462
Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 1:44 am
Location: Denver/Applewood, CO

#5764 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Tue Jan 28, 2014 12:32 am

47.3F 27.5F, noooowwwww its starting to drop here. Finally. Dewpoint continuing to drop as well
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
South Texas Storms
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4244
Joined: Thu Jun 24, 2010 12:28 am
Location: Houston, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#5765 Postby South Texas Storms » Tue Jan 28, 2014 12:33 am

Latest HRRR model is now showing about 1 inch of snow tonight just north of Brazos county.
0 likes   

User avatar
Longhornmaniac8
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 254
Joined: Thu Nov 18, 2010 2:30 am
Location: Austin, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#5766 Postby Longhornmaniac8 » Tue Jan 28, 2014 12:33 am

Sleeting in Anderson Mill. Nearest Weatherbug station says 32.0.
0 likes   

User avatar
Longhornmaniac8
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 254
Joined: Thu Nov 18, 2010 2:30 am
Location: Austin, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#5767 Postby Longhornmaniac8 » Tue Jan 28, 2014 12:34 am

I'm assuming the precipitation on the radar is just the first wave, based on how early this seems to be?
0 likes   

User avatar
Rgv20
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2466
Age: 39
Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2011 5:42 pm
Location: Edinburg/McAllen Tx

#5768 Postby Rgv20 » Tue Jan 28, 2014 12:35 am

0zGFS Ensemble Mean Total Precipitation thru Midday Wednesday is between 0.25-0.50 for Deep South Texas and with temperatures expected to be near freezing this may end up as a pretty good winter weather for the Mid and Upper RGV! :)

Image
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

jerryh421
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 91
Joined: Wed Feb 02, 2011 1:02 am
Location: Houston, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#5769 Postby jerryh421 » Tue Jan 28, 2014 12:41 am

Longhornmaniac8 wrote:I'm assuming the precipitation on the radar is just the first wave, based on how early this seems to be?


Yeah I am a little confused as well. Is there more to come?
0 likes   

User avatar
Rgv20
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2466
Age: 39
Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2011 5:42 pm
Location: Edinburg/McAllen Tx

#5770 Postby Rgv20 » Tue Jan 28, 2014 12:46 am

Model trends continue to look good! Below is the 0zUKMET precipitation forecast..

Precipitation forecast from 6pm to midnight Tuesday.
Image


Precipitation forecast from Midnight to 6am Wednesday Morning.
Image
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
South Texas Storms
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4244
Joined: Thu Jun 24, 2010 12:28 am
Location: Houston, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#5771 Postby South Texas Storms » Tue Jan 28, 2014 12:47 am

Several reports of freezing rain are coming in from the Austin area. Pesky warm nose...
0 likes   

User avatar
ravyrn
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1001
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2008 5:10 am
Location: Alderbranch, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#5772 Postby ravyrn » Tue Jan 28, 2014 12:48 am

jerryh421 wrote:
Longhornmaniac8 wrote:I'm assuming the precipitation on the radar is just the first wave, based on how early this seems to be?


Yeah I am a little confused as well. Is there more to come?


At this point, it's wait and see. I did meteograms for various areas in SETX/SWLA and GFS is much drier. At this point, it's pretty much useless to check models. Time to pay attention to that moisture and see if it extends. The warm patch around Houston seems to diminishing quickly.
0 likes   

User avatar
Longhornmaniac8
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 254
Joined: Thu Nov 18, 2010 2:30 am
Location: Austin, TX

#5773 Postby Longhornmaniac8 » Tue Jan 28, 2014 12:49 am

Definitely getting ice on elevated surfaces like chairs and lids of grills and such. At the moment it's a very light sleet/freezing rain combo, but the temperature continues to plummet and the dew point is on its way up. Up to 56% relative humidity now; temperature 31.3 and dew point 19.

Cheers,
Cameron
0 likes   

User avatar
South Texas Storms
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4244
Joined: Thu Jun 24, 2010 12:28 am
Location: Houston, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#5774 Postby South Texas Storms » Tue Jan 28, 2014 12:51 am

Updated Winter Weather Advisory from EWX:

"...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS AND THE HILL COUNTRY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH NOON
TUESDAY...

.LIGHT RAIN MIXED WITH SLEET ARRIVED INTO SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
AHEAD OF PREVIOUSLY FORECAST...CAUSING A CHANGE IN THE EXPECTED
IMPACTS FOR LATE TONIGHT. THE EARLY ARRIVAL OF MOSTLY LIGHT RAIN
AND SOME SLEET RESULTED IN AN INCREASED POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING
RAIN AND A DECREASED POTENTIAL FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW IN THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. THERE IS AN INCREASED POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT ICING
ON ROADWAYS THROUGH LATE TUESDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY BRIDGES AND
OVERPASSES. THE RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN MIX IS STILL EXPECTED TO
CHANGE OVER TO A MIX OF LIGHT SLEET AND SNOW...BUT WITH LITTLE OR
NO ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED. OVERNIGHT PRECIPITATION
RATES ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME EVEN LIGHTER THAN THEY WERE IN THE
EVENING HOURS...BUT THE WINTRY MIX OF RAIN...FREEZING RAIN...SLEET
AND SNOW COULD BRIEFLY INCREASE AGAIN AROUND DAYBREAK TUESDAY.
WINTER PRECIPITATION IS STILL EXPECTED TO END FROM THE NORTHWEST
LATE TUESDAY MORNING...AND END ACROSS ALL AREAS BY LATE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. WIND CHILLS WILL REMAIN THE TEENS AND 20S AT TIMES
THROUGH DAYBREAK TUESDAY."
0 likes   

weatherdude1108
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4228
Joined: Tue Dec 13, 2011 1:04 pm
Location: Northwest Austin/Cedar Park, TX

#5775 Postby weatherdude1108 » Tue Jan 28, 2014 12:51 am

In reference to my 35 and ice post, the thermometer is under an eve, 20 feet or so above the ground. The rain gauge and playhouse are on the ground (but slightly elevated) . No ice yet on patio furniture or grass, or patio surface.

The house is in kind of a low spot topographically. My guess is the surface temperature is a few degrees colder than where the temperature sensor is. Similar principle to seeing frost at 37 degrees. Or the sensor is off. :cheesy:

Update: Now 31 degrees. :cheesy: Dropped fast! :cold:

Got a text just now that my work is delayed two hours tomorrow. Second "ice day" in five days. Amazing! :D
Last edited by weatherdude1108 on Tue Jan 28, 2014 12:56 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

User avatar
Rgv20
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2466
Age: 39
Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2011 5:42 pm
Location: Edinburg/McAllen Tx

#5776 Postby Rgv20 » Tue Jan 28, 2014 12:54 am

0zCMC mostly has Sleet as the main Winter Precip..


Sleet Accumulations
Image


Snow Accumulations
Image
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
HouTXmetro
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3949
Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2004 6:00 pm
Location: District of Columbia, USA

#5777 Postby HouTXmetro » Tue Jan 28, 2014 12:59 am

Wow, this was not expected.. I don't know if it's hitting the ground but Moisture is streaming into the DFW Metroplex

http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/southplains_loop.php
0 likes   
[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]

User avatar
ravyrn
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1001
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2008 5:10 am
Location: Alderbranch, TX

Re:

#5778 Postby ravyrn » Tue Jan 28, 2014 1:00 am

HouTXmetro wrote:Wow, this was not expected.. I don't know if it's hitting the ground but Moisture is streaming into the DFW Metroplex

http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/southplains_loop.php


Those are very light echos, given the dew points, I doubt it.
0 likes   

User avatar
Houstonia
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 829
Age: 61
Joined: Fri Oct 11, 2002 9:45 am
Location: Sharpstown, Houston, Harris County, Southeast Texas.

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#5779 Postby Houstonia » Tue Jan 28, 2014 1:02 am

around 46 and there's something floating in the air - it looks like a super-fine drizzle - so fine that it's not leaving any water residue on the ground, but can be seen when I flash my flashlight into the dark backyard.

It's very damp here, but very little wind. winter clouds in the sky.
0 likes   

User avatar
South Texas Storms
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4244
Joined: Thu Jun 24, 2010 12:28 am
Location: Houston, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#5780 Postby South Texas Storms » Tue Jan 28, 2014 1:04 am

0z Euro is a lot wetter for you as well Rgv. The trend is your friend tonight!
0 likes   


Return to “Winter Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google Adsense [Bot] and 46 guests