What will recon find about upper environment?

rob8303 · #1 Postby **rob8303** » Fri Sep 12, 2003 1:06 pm

Remember, during Fabian, when the NHC thought a more southward and west track was more likely than actually turned out to be the case. The dropsondes and recon confirmed model suspicions this was a fish. Remember that? Do you think the same thing will happen this time?

#2 Postby **charleston_hugo_veteran** » Fri Sep 12, 2003 1:09 pm

You should change your name to pollrob.....just kiddin! :wink:

#3 Postby **WeatherEmperor** » Fri Sep 12, 2003 1:10 pm

We are only a matter of hours away from knowing what the NOAA jet will find and that info will go into the computer models and then things could get interesting.

rob8303 · #4 Postby **rob8303** » Fri Sep 12, 2003 1:10 pm

charleston_hugo_veteran wrote:You should change your name to pollrob.....just kiddin!

Charleston, I've been meaning to ask you for days...What was it like during Hugo? Did you take it seriously right away? Did you stay at a shelter? What was the local media coverage right? Anybody die you know..Please tell.

Josephine96 · #5 Postby **Josephine96** » Fri Sep 12, 2003 1:11 pm

I still have a gut feeling we are in her bulls eye.. Even the chief met for our fox affiliate her last night said that the storm would at the VERY LEAST.. come dangerously close..

#6 Postby **charleston_hugo_veteran** » Fri Sep 12, 2003 1:22 pm

rob....I STUPIDLY stayed in a 1982 single wide mobile home....at the persuassion of my EX- husband! Our trailer was the only one left within a 15 mile radius!! It took us 15 hours to cut out of our small country town near Chas.
We used every chain saw available! I got scared near the middle of the storm cause the trailer walls were actually breathing in and out, and tried to open the door to leave and the pressure was so bad I couldnt even get it open thowing my body weight on it! You couldnt go to the bathroom without falling down and we watched a 200 year old oak tree suck out of the ground into the air!! IT SCARED THE SH*T out of me! I have never been that scared!
We had to drive 35 miles the next day to look for a loaf of bread and when the breadman would pull up people were stealing bread out the truck when he would go inside, that's how hard it was to get a loaf of bread! Gas was golden, you couldnt get it anywhere, because of the elec.

Went 2 weeks without elec!

zoeyann · #7 Postby **zoeyann** » Fri Sep 12, 2003 1:24 pm

God Bless your guardian angel Charlston!

#8 Postby **charleston_hugo_veteran** » Fri Sep 12, 2003 1:27 pm

Yes... zoey....I realize now I was left here to have my beautiful daughter in 1995! :wink:

JetMaxx · #9 Postby **JetMaxx** » Fri Sep 12, 2003 3:16 pm

I believe we'll learn the high pressure north of Isabel is stronger than progged...simply because the sheer intensity of this large hurricane is reinforcing the ridge -- meaning IF a turn to the NW or N occurs....it will be a gradual turn -- not the sharp turns the GFDL and GFS are forecasting.....which means more of a landfall threat from South Carolina to Florida.

#10 Postby **Dean4Storms** » Fri Sep 12, 2003 3:21 pm

I saw some ship reports just a while ago just to the NW of Isabel near 26n 61 w and it reported 1016mb and rising. This is a sure indication of the ridging taking place moving westward just north of Isabel.

What will recon find about upper environment?

What will Recon upper air survey show?

What will recon find about upper environment?

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