Texas Winter 2013-2014

[cycloneye]

Off Topic=Well Porta,you said on January 24 at page 247 that the thread would be close to 300 pages when winter was over but the winter season has continued to be very active and the thread has 315 pages as of this post. As I see the atmosphere evolving I wont be surprised if the thread reaches between 490-500 pages when winter says it's final hurrah. For anyone that wonders which thread is with the most pages in S2k,that thread is the Caribbean - Central America Weather thread with 774 pages.

[Portastorm]

Oh Portastorm...

"@BigJoeBastardi: ECMWF has what would be a near record US Snowcover by 240 hours. 4 storms in 10 days send snowcover to Austin to Atlanta line."

It's a ruse!

BTW, nice work on the press release last night. Sorry I hadn't responded sooner. Somewhere a Pulitzer lurks in your future.

[Texas Snowman]

Oh Portastorm...

"@BigJoeBastardi: ECMWF has what would be a near record US Snowcover by 240 hours. 4 storms in 10 days send snowcover to Austin to Atlanta line."

It's a ruse!

BTW, nice work on the press release last night. Sorry I hadn't responded sooner. Somewhere a Pulitzer lurks in your future.

All in a day's work boss! Anything to beat the Heat Miser's grip on Texas weather!

[Ntxw]

Hmm speaking of heat miser, I wonder what's on wxman57's mind? Tahiti? Fiji? Australia? What preparations is he taking for the coming assault?

[gboudx]

For anyone that wonders which thread is with the most pages in S2k,that thread is the Caribbean - Central America Weather thread with 774 pages.

Yeah and you've put a mighty strong effort in keeping that thread updated year-round instead of seasonally. If we combine all past "Texas Winter" threads into 1 it would be 1367 pages going back to the 2008-2009 Winter. The longest "Texas Winter" thread is 477 pages so, go team go!

[wxman57]

Hmm speaking of heat miser, I wonder what's on wxman57's mind? Tahiti? Fiji? Australia? What preparations is he taking for the coming assault?

We have a number of clients in south Florida that I haven't visited in a while...

[Ntxw]

If you have access to weatherbell you should check out Bastardi's latest blog video. While I don't like his bias to the east sometimes he lays it down very well what is coming. "Dallas to DC" glacier when all said and done is a good way to put it.

[Jagno]

Okay, so please tell me what in the world is going on. Are we expecting another system this far south? When? Ice? Darn, I log off for a few days and you guys have already invited another guest to our area. We were watching the last of the ice melting and floating down the bayou this morning.

[gboudx]

If you have access to weatherbell you should check out Bastardi's latest blog video. While I don't like his bias to the east sometimes he lays it down very well what is coming. "Dallas to DC" glacier when all said and done is a good way to put it.

So we may see a repeat of your ava pic again huh? Glacier? There's Joe and hyperbole again.

[Ntxw]

Okay, so please tell me what in the world is going on. Are we expecting another system this far south? When? Ice? Darn, I log off for a few days and you guys have already invited another guest to our area. We were watching the last of the ice melting and floating down the bayou this morning.

You are close enough to still experience cold. The closer you are to Florida and the renewed SE ridge the less cold it will be. However if there is indeed massive snow cover across the US as the euro is showing, it will just overwhelm much of the nation. So snow/ice for the southeast US is still questionable at this time but it won't be too far away.

[Ntxw]

If you have access to weatherbell you should check out Bastardi's latest blog video. While I don't like his bias to the east sometimes he lays it down very well what is coming. "Dallas to DC" glacier when all said and done is a good way to put it.

So we may see a repeat of your ava pic again huh? Glacier? There's Joe and hyperbole again.

I hope so, I'm thinking about using whatever Sunday's radar shows if it pans out. And hey! PWC used the term first, we should get all the credit, Operation Glaciation!

[dhweather]

From the FWD NWS


From: National Weather Service, Fort Worth
Date: Thursday, 30 January 2014 14:27 CST

Good afternoon everyone,

Just a very early and preliminary heads up for late this weekend. The good news is that we once again have a decent chance for rainfall across much of the region starting Sunday. The bad news is it will once again get cold.

What this means for north Texas is not yet known. However, there is a possibility of a wintry mix of rain/sleet or snow on Sunday and Sunday night, mainly in the north.

There are a multitude of factors that could push this forecast one way or another. For now, we merely want to make sure you are aware of the possibility for this. More detailed information will be sent to you tomorrow.

A graphic is attached which shows the areas that appear to have a possibility for a wintry mix this weekend.

[BrokenGlassRepublicn]

12z euro has 1-3" of snow for metroplex Sun/Mon

What is the timing of the event? I'm traveling from NOLA to DFW by car on Sunday. Expect to be back in the metroplex around 7:00 pm.

Has bulk of precip moving through the Metroplex late morning Sunday into early afternoon, precip quickly moves out of the area before 6 pm....

Also, very intriguing battle between the Euro and GFS....Euro is still adamant about a big winter storm transversing the state late next week, bringing snow all the way close to the I-10 corridor while GFS has little if anything.

Selfishly I'll pull for the later arrival, though it seems the trend this winter is for these storms to be a little ahead of the models. I'll have to watch this close. Shreveport to Dallas might be dicey Sunday evening.

[wxman57]

If you have access to weatherbell you should check out Bastardi's latest blog video. While I don't like his bias to the east sometimes he lays it down very well what is coming. "Dallas to DC" glacier when all said and done is a good way to put it.

Yeah, I saw it. He's a big cold-mongerer like my co-worker, but I'm not so sure he's wrong...

[Houstonia]

Please tell me that whatever "this" is that is coming will NOT impact the Hou/Galv area. I can't handle any more cold weather and ice!!

praying to the sun god:

[PTrackerLA]

At this point I don't care if the cold keeps coming because everything is already dead at my house save a few shrubs/trees. Has anyone had success with an almost fully brown Queen Palm growing back in the spring? I knew better than to plant those here but was fooled by warmer than average winters .

[Ntxw]

To back up my post earlier about the discord with GFS and various models about ejection. Here seems to lie some of the problem. The GFS is dueling two low pressure centers one in W Texas and one in coastal Texas. History shows a coastal trough will almost always dominate (and added to the fact 5h vorticity digs so far south). Eventually they do see the coastal win and head up the mid-MS valley. That lies the problem for me. It's just not handling cyclogenesis well. The mid-week system in theory should be much wetter for the state than what they currently show imo.

When ejecting out of the southern rockies the models often make the mistake of using the leading edge too strong when in fact incoming vorticity drives it even further south pushing it negative tilt. We've seen these "storms" keep going south in the closer range too many times in set ups like this, I bet this is another one of those cases. I believe the UKmet has the right idea keeping the Texas coastal trough dominant and not send moisture all the way up to Nebraska as far away from the front as possible...just weird.

.

[dhweather]

If you have access to weatherbell you should check out Bastardi's latest blog video. While I don't like his bias to the east sometimes he lays it down very well what is coming. "Dallas to DC" glacier when all said and done is a good way to put it.

That would be impressive if it happens. I'm not sold on it just yet, need to let the pattern do its thing.

[SaskatchewanScreamer]

I'm relieved to see your snowplows Houston are on standby!


It looks like you folks are more prepared than New Orleans:


Louisiana's Heavy Snow equipment.

Lord help you folks if you really do get an actual dumping!

[Tireman4]

I'm relieved to see your snowplows Houston are on standby!
http://img203.imageshack.us/img203/7199/lh2h.png

It looks like you folks are more prepared than New Orleans:

http://img855.imageshack.us/img855/9094/1a2c.png
Louisiana's Heavy Snow equipment.

Lord help you folks if you really do get an actual dumping!

Ha. We can do it. We can walk.