Texas Winter 2013-2014

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GRAYSONCO.WX
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#6541 Postby GRAYSONCO.WX » Sat Feb 01, 2014 12:24 pm

TheProfessor wrote:
wxman57 wrote:12Z GFS has just a little freezing rain in the Dallas-Ft. Worth area with sleet to the NW and snow up along the Red River northward into OK. This airmass is not that cold compared to earlier this week. I don't think you'll get any snow in the D-FW area this weekend.


Why must you always ruin the fun? :crying:

Don't get your hopes down! The models have been trending colder, wetter, and further southeast for Sunday. There are A LOT of dynamics with this system; someone is going to get pounded around the Red River. Dallas-Fort Worth will likely see a wintry mix. Of course these are my opinions, so check the FW NWS for an official forecast.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#6542 Postby aggiecutter » Sat Feb 01, 2014 12:24 pm

Shreveport AFD:
IT LOOKS LIKE THERE WILL
BE THE POTENTIAL FOR A WINTER MESS ACROSS OUR ENTIRE REGION
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. OPERATIONAL MEDIUM RANGE PROGS ARE IN
AGREEMENT WITH SNOW ACROSS OUR NORTHERN THIRD...FREEZING RAIN
ALONG AND NEAR THE I-20 CORRIDOR WITH A COLD RAIN ACROSS OUR
EXTREME SOUTHERN ZONES ATTM.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#6543 Postby Meteorcane » Sat Feb 01, 2014 12:25 pm

This thread could conceivably reach 400 pages by next weekend if some of the medium-extended range QPF/temperature forecasts verify
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#6544 Postby Portastorm » Sat Feb 01, 2014 12:27 pm

Meteorcane wrote:This thread could conceivably reach 400 pages by next weekend if some of the medium-extended range QPF/temperature forecasts verify


Indeed ... it appears both of our states will be significantly impacted by the Thur-Fri storm system. Fun times ahead!
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#6545 Postby Portastorm » Sat Feb 01, 2014 12:29 pm

aggiecutter wrote:Shreveport AFD:
IT LOOKS LIKE THERE WILL
BE THE POTENTIAL FOR A WINTER MESS ACROSS OUR ENTIRE REGION
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. OPERATIONAL MEDIUM RANGE PROGS ARE IN
AGREEMENT WITH SNOW ACROSS OUR NORTHERN THIRD...FREEZING RAIN
ALONG AND NEAR THE I-20 CORRIDOR WITH A COLD RAIN ACROSS OUR
EXTREME SOUTHERN ZONES ATTM.


I don't think you caught all of the AFD, aggiecutter. This is what I saw:

IT LOOKS LIKE THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR A WINTER MESS ACROSS MOST OF OUR REGION
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. TEXARKANA HOWEVER APPEARS TO BE IN A DRY SLOT. OPERATIONAL MEDIUM RANGE PROGS ARE IN
AGREEMENT WITH SNOW ACROSS OUR NORTHERN THIRD...FREEZING RAIN
ALONG AND NEAR THE I-20 CORRIDOR WITH A COLD RAIN ACROSS OUR
EXTREME SOUTHERN ZONES ATTM.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#6546 Postby Ntxw » Sat Feb 01, 2014 12:30 pm

GRAYSONCO.WX wrote:
TheProfessor wrote:
wxman57 wrote:12Z GFS has just a little freezing rain in the Dallas-Ft. Worth area with sleet to the NW and snow up along the Red River northward into OK. This airmass is not that cold compared to earlier this week. I don't think you'll get any snow in the D-FW area this weekend.


Why must you always ruin the fun? :crying:

Don't get your hopes down! The models have been trending colder, wetter, and further southeast for Sunday. There are A LOT of dynamics with this system; someone is going to get pounded around the Red River. Dallas-Fort Worth will likely see a wintry mix. Of course these are my opinions, so check the FW NWS for an official forecast.


Yeah if anything falls its a novelty. As said in a post this morning this was supposed to be a panhandle to Kansas storm.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#6547 Postby srainhoutx » Sat Feb 01, 2014 12:30 pm

The GEFS suggests about .50+ QPF across Central/E/SE Texas overnight Thursday into Friday with higher amounts closer to the Coast into Louisiana N of the Coastal Low.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#6548 Postby ndale » Sat Feb 01, 2014 12:31 pm

Portastorm wrote:
Meteorcane wrote:This thread could conceivably reach 400 pages by next weekend if some of the medium-extended range QPF/temperature forecasts verify


Indeed ... it appears both of our states will be significantly impacted by the Thur-Fri storm system. Fun times ahead!


Any feelings yet about what will happen here Thurs and Fri Portastorm?
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#6549 Postby Portastorm » Sat Feb 01, 2014 12:34 pm

:uarrow:

Sunny and highs in the low 70s. We'll be on the warm side of the system and dry slotted. :wink:
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#6550 Postby aggiecutter » Sat Feb 01, 2014 12:38 pm

"TEXARKANA HOWEVER APPEARS TO BE IN A DRY SLOT."

I noticed that. I just omitted it from the text.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#6551 Postby Tireman4 » Sat Feb 01, 2014 12:39 pm

Portastorm wrote::uarrow:

Sunny and highs in the low 70s. We'll be on the warm side of the system and dry slotted. :wink:


Oh great. "You know who" will be chiming in on that one. Sigh...
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#6552 Postby ndale » Sat Feb 01, 2014 12:41 pm

Portastorm wrote::uarrow:

Sunny and highs in the low 70s. We'll be on the warm side of the system and dry slotted. :wink:


Probably right. :eek: :eek:

Which is alright, I'm enjoying the 70s.
Last edited by ndale on Sat Feb 01, 2014 12:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re:

#6553 Postby Portastorm » Sat Feb 01, 2014 12:41 pm

aggiecutter wrote:"TEXARKANA HOWEVER APPEARS TO BE IN A DRY SLOT."

I noticed that. I just omitted it from the text.


:lol: Who am I kidding ... it will probably end up with you getting ample snowfall and me building a Cold Rain Man in Austin.

That's how it usually goes.
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#6554 Postby TheProfessor » Sat Feb 01, 2014 12:45 pm

what is the 12z GFS saying for North Texas next week.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#6555 Postby wxman57 » Sat Feb 01, 2014 12:46 pm

TheProfessor wrote:
wxman57 wrote:12Z GFS has just a little freezing rain in the Dallas-Ft. Worth area with sleet to the NW and snow up along the Red River northward into OK. This airmass is not that cold compared to earlier this week. I don't think you'll get any snow in the D-FW area this weekend.


Why must you always ruin the fun? :crying:


Sorry. I think you'll get a foot or two of snow in north Texas tomorrow.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#6556 Postby GRAYSONCO.WX » Sat Feb 01, 2014 12:52 pm

wxman57 wrote:
TheProfessor wrote:
wxman57 wrote:12Z GFS has just a little freezing rain in the Dallas-Ft. Worth area with sleet to the NW and snow up along the Red River northward into OK. This airmass is not that cold compared to earlier this week. I don't think you'll get any snow in the D-FW area this weekend.


Why must you always ruin the fun? :crying:


Sorry. I think you'll get a foot or two of snow in north Texas tomorrow.

Somebody has an attitude problem ;)
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#6557 Postby TheProfessor » Sat Feb 01, 2014 12:55 pm

wxman57 wrote:
TheProfessor wrote:
wxman57 wrote:12Z GFS has just a little freezing rain in the Dallas-Ft. Worth area with sleet to the NW and snow up along the Red River northward into OK. This airmass is not that cold compared to earlier this week. I don't think you'll get any snow in the D-FW area this weekend.


Why must you always ruin the fun? :crying:


Sorry. I think you'll get a foot or two of snow in north Texas tomorrow.


Ok, I'm going to hold you to that. :wink:
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#6558 Postby SnowintheFalls » Sat Feb 01, 2014 12:56 pm

With the sudden dry and warm streak that snapped us out of winter for a few weeks, I am just happy to be having the discussion for winter weather once again! This will be an interesting week to say the least! That being said I am truly hoping the these events do not turn into icing events and stay on track for snow. Winter Weather Watch has been issued up here in the Falls so we will wait to see how it all pans out.
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#6559 Postby Ntxw » Sat Feb 01, 2014 12:59 pm

CFSv2 is still a jawdropper for the upcoming week and following. One thing is for sure, winter will not be ending the first half of February.
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Re:

#6560 Postby Tireman4 » Sat Feb 01, 2014 1:05 pm

Ntxw wrote:CFSv2 is still a jawdropper for the upcoming week and following. One thing is for sure, winter will not be ending the first half of February.


Oh my. March. Oh my...some folks will be freezing their booties off. Oh that would be SOOO rich if it snowed in March in Houston. Oh my goodness...
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