Texas Winter 2013-2014

[SnowintheFalls]

Just an FYI, Norman NWS is calling for up to 10" across southern Oklahoma and northwestern Texas.

A little reminiscent of the Christmas Eve blizzard of 2009 that dropped 10" in Cooke County and a foot or more up towards OKC.

That was one heck of a winter storm as it dropped over a foot here in the Falls. Local mets are calling for potentially 4"-6" in the area.

[Ntxw]

Hey Folks, long time lurker, first time poster. Not a pro met or an amateur even. Just a weather nerd. Smack dab in the middle of Denton County (Little Elm area).

Looking forward to some snow here. Having grown up in So Cal, it's nice to live in a place that actually has weather.

Welcome aboard! Glad you decided to post, we're all amateurs I mean even wxman57 is wrong a few times . Would you like to sign up and be a cold monger?

Good time to recruit, heat miser isn't the only one who can!

[SouthernMet]

nam/sref/hrrr trend continues... 00z hrrr run takes the term dendric growth zone to a whole new level between okc & i-20 corridor : http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/displ ... ll&adtfn=1

*westplexers (Denton,fort worth roanoke, weatherford, Bridgeport) & red river posters need to stay tuned

Looks interesting even in eastern-plex as well. I am assuming the temperature profile of the atmosphere is going to be warmer so sleet instead of snow. According to the HRRR soundings for Ft Worth, it looks still more sleet profile at 15 hours, but still if it were a bit cooler in reality, it looks perfect for heavy snow.

yeah it just depends on where you are looking at, some areas are going to see mostly sleet, some snow, some freezing rain it just depends.
Going to be fun to watch the changeover for dfw area and how (and to what extent) the warm nose erodes.

imo and ice storm would be worse, either way also watch the borderline sfc temps on the eastplex

[katheria]

come over to the dark side!!!!!

welcome to the posting world we need more posters and less lurkers lol...i used to be one








naww i just had a moment there after the Ice storm.. back to being a cold monger again

[Ntxw]

Just an FYI, Norman NWS is calling for up to 10" across southern Oklahoma and northwestern Texas.

A little reminiscent of the Christmas Eve blizzard of 2009 that dropped 10" in Cooke County and a foot or more up towards OKC.

That was one heck of a winter storm as it dropped over a foot here in the Falls. Local mets are calling for potentially 4"-6" in the area.

Channeling my inner Msstguy I'd draw a bullseye for the falls to childress! 6-10 why not.

21st Dec 2009 the infamous post

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ENDORSED BY STORM2K.ORG IT IS MY FORECAST FOR THE UPCOMING WINTER STORM TO EFFECT OKLAHOMA AND PORTIONS OF NW TX LATE WEDNESDAY - CHRISTMAS EVE.. FOR THE VERY LATEST LISTEN TO LOCAL TV,RADIO OR A NOAA WEATHER RADIO

THIS IS MY GRAPHIC JUST PUT TOGETHER FOR THE TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMS FOR THIS STORM SYSTEM,
I THINK ITS NOT OVER DOING IT, BY THE END PORTIONS OF OK, FAR NW TX COULD SEE NEARLY 10 INCHES
TO LOCALLY A FOOT OF SNOW! IAM STILL GOING FOR EVEN THOUGH ITS NOT THE POPULAR THING TO SAY
A TRACE TO 1 INCH ON THE WEST, NW SIDES OF DALLAS-FORTWORTH WITH RAIN FROM DALLAS AND POINTS EASTWARD.

THIS WILL BE UPDATED AS WE GO ALONG, COULD CHANGE UP TO 50-100 MILES DEPENDING ON THE TRACK OF THE UPPER
LEVEL LOW BUT FOR THE TIME BEING I THINK THIS IS HOW THINGS WILL PAN OUT AS WE HEAD TOWARDS LATE WED INTO
EARLY CHRISTMAS EVE MORNING..

Ok now back to reality, the storm track is actually similar to that storm but it is not as deep a system or as wound up, maybe a baby version.

[TrekkerCC]

Ok now back to reality, the storm track is actually similar to that storm but it is not as deep a system or as wound up, maybe a baby version.

I loved the December 2009 Christmas Eve Blizzard. It didn't produce much snow in DFW, but it was so windy and the snow that did fall made it look very spacey (and radically reduced visibility). And since it was left over on Christmas day, it was technically a White Christmas, even through it was mostly melted by afternoon. Of course, we wouldn't know that the snow season was just beginning in 2010.

[Meteorcane]

Very interesting to see where in North Texas/Southern OK the snow bullseye sets up, could be some significant snowfall, given the forecast thermal profiles (50-100 mb deep dendritic zone over the area in question), and the good lift/moisture (which has really been lacking prior to the pattern change a few days ago).

[paulb]

I definitely want to be more active in the forum and especially in the spring, maybe we can get more people on here during severe season as well. This is one of the best places to come to when looking for information on winter storms.

I hope the snow helps us out with our drought situation out here with Lake Bridgeport being 20+ feet down. Unlike a lot of the lakes in the DFW area all we have to replenish Lake Bridgeport is precipitation, so any and all precip is appreciated. Looks like we'll have a shot at some of the white stuff tomorrow, although I'm not sure how much there will be out here.

[SnowintheFalls]

Channeling my inner Msstguy I'd draw a bullseye for the falls to childress! 6-10 why not.

21st Dec 2009 the infamous post

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ENDORSED BY STORM2K.ORG IT IS MY FORECAST FOR THE UPCOMING WINTER STORM TO EFFECT OKLAHOMA AND PORTIONS OF NW TX LATE WEDNESDAY - CHRISTMAS EVE.. FOR THE VERY LATEST LISTEN TO LOCAL TV,RADIO OR A NOAA WEATHER RADIO

THIS IS MY GRAPHIC JUST PUT TOGETHER FOR THE TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMS FOR THIS STORM SYSTEM,
I THINK ITS NOT OVER DOING IT, BY THE END PORTIONS OF OK, FAR NW TX COULD SEE NEARLY 10 INCHES
TO LOCALLY A FOOT OF SNOW! IAM STILL GOING FOR EVEN THOUGH ITS NOT THE POPULAR THING TO SAY
A TRACE TO 1 INCH ON THE WEST, NW SIDES OF DALLAS-FORTWORTH WITH RAIN FROM DALLAS AND POINTS EASTWARD.

THIS WILL BE UPDATED AS WE GO ALONG, COULD CHANGE UP TO 50-100 MILES DEPENDING ON THE TRACK OF THE UPPER
LEVEL LOW BUT FOR THE TIME BEING I THINK THIS IS HOW THINGS WILL PAN OUT AS WE HEAD TOWARDS LATE WED INTO
EARLY CHRISTMAS EVE MORNING..

Ok now back to reality, the storm track is actually similar to that storm but it is not as deep a system or as wound up, maybe a baby version.

That would be nice if it played out similarly but I do tend to keep expectations tempered a bit when it comes to any weather in Texas! It is just a matter of playing the waiting game to find out how it all plays out.

[Ntxw]

come over to the dark side!!!!!

welcome to the posting world we need more posters and less lurkers lol...i used to be one

naww i just had a moment there after the Ice storm.. back to being a cold monger again

Are you just saying that so that the snow gods will give you good juju for dendrites?

[TheProfessor]

I definitely want to be more active in the forum and especially in the spring, maybe we can get more people on here during severe season as well. This is one of the best places to come to when looking for information on winter storms.

I hope the snow helps us out with our drought situation out here with Lake Bridgeport being 20+ feet down. Unlike a lot of the lakes in the DFW area all we have to replenish Lake Bridgeport is precipitation, so any and all precip is appreciated. Looks like we'll have a shot at some of the white stuff tomorrow, although I'm not sure how much there will be out here.

I'll definitely be here during severe storm season. Thats my favorite kind of weather, as well as one of my favorite times of the year.

[aggiecutter]

0z GFS says end of week system much dryer, maybe a nuisance event for north and northeast Texas.

[TheProfessor]

Wow Temp is starting to drop fast now. It was 44 in Double Oak just 20 minutes ago, it is now 38!
(Double oak is about 10-15 miles north of me.

Edit: weather bug says it is 38 degrees here too. Only 6 more degrees to go!

[katheria]

nawwwww...not at all
but i like my dendrites without them i wouldn't be able to enjoy the cold :p

i just hate freezing rain is all......

seems like temps are running a few degrees under the MOS

[South Texas Storms]

0z GFS says end of week system much dryer, maybe a nuisance event for north and northeast Texas.

Yeah the models have been trending much drier with the late week system. I won't be happy if it's just cold and dry. I want some precip, any precip please!

[TheProfessor]

0z GFS says end of week system much dryer, maybe a nuisance event for north and northeast Texas.

Yeah the models have been trending much drier with the late week system. I won't be happy if it's just cold and dry. I want some precip, any precip please!

Me too! That could be my last chance for my dream of 24 inches of snow this winter to come true.

[Ralph's Weather]

Temps around here are sitting around 40 here in Lindale and the showers have been heavier than I expected. It will be interesting to watch the freezing line tomorrow to see if it can catch the back end of the precip here, it has 24 hours to drop 8 degrees.

[SouthernMet]

I definitely want to be more active in the forum and especially in the spring, maybe we can get more people on here during severe season as well. This is one of the best places to come to when looking for information on winter storms.

I hope the snow helps us out with our drought situation out here with Lake Bridgeport being 20+ feet down. Unlike a lot of the lakes in the DFW area all we have to replenish Lake Bridgeport is precipitation, so any and all precip is appreciated. Looks like we'll have a shot at some of the white stuff tomorrow, although I'm not sure how much there will be out here.

do y'all not check the nws forecasts? they are calling for 1-3" atleast, on top of .20 of ice for your area.

someone earlier was worried about "light drizzle" for denton & I see people wondering if wf falls will get "anything".. this is what I meant by people being caught off guard.. not trying to be hostile just being thorough

[Ntxw]

Temps around here are sitting around 40 here in Lindale and the showers have been heavier than I expected. It will be interesting to watch the freezing line tomorrow to see if it can catch the back end of the precip here, it has 24 hours to drop 8 degrees.

For stuff freezing at the surface. Above your head it is 50+. This event will be column driven! Deformation band

[SouthernMet]

alliance, denton & decatur dropped 3 degrees in one hour.. bowie + w falls below freezing already.