Texas Winter 2013-2014

Winter Weather Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Portastorm
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 9914
Age: 63
Joined: Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:16 am
Location: Round Rock, TX
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#7621 Postby Portastorm » Thu Feb 06, 2014 10:07 pm

Meanwhile, Austin ISD has cancelled all classes tomorrow as have several other Austin-area ISDs. The City of Austin and UT has a delayed opening at 12 noon. I can tell you that these schools/higher ed do an evening conference call with the NWS and several private-sector mets. For them to call off school the night before with absolutely nothing happening really tells you something. They must have increasing confidence that a nasty wintry mix is in store for the Austin area tomorrow morning.

Hey, this still doesn't take away from my absolute disgust that I have yet to see a snowflake this winter while just about everyone else in Texas has!
0 likes   
Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22790
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#7622 Postby Ntxw » Thu Feb 06, 2014 10:10 pm

Portastorm wrote:Hey, this still doesn't take away from my absolute disgust that I have yet to see a snowflake this winter while just about everyone else in Texas has!


We will take some that the JMA is trying to dump on NTX on Tuesday and ship it to you, Valentines gift
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

  Help support Storm2K!
Help Support Storm2K

User avatar
iorange55
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2388
Joined: Thu Nov 13, 2008 9:47 pm
Location: Big D

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#7623 Postby iorange55 » Thu Feb 06, 2014 10:11 pm

I didn't think there would be much left for this system to work with, but the signs are encouraging. It'll have to be watched closely, the local mets might be surprised again.
0 likes   

ndale
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 429
Joined: Tue Dec 29, 2009 11:12 am
Location: Pflugerville/Austin Tx

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#7624 Postby ndale » Thu Feb 06, 2014 10:17 pm

Portastorm wrote:Meanwhile, Austin ISD has cancelled all classes tomorrow as have several other Austin-area ISDs. The City of Austin and UT has a delayed opening at 12 noon. I can tell you that these schools/higher ed do an evening conference call with the NWS and several private-sector mets. For them to call off school the night before with absolutely nothing happening really tells you something. They must have increasing confidence that a nasty wintry mix is in store for the Austin area tomorrow morning.

Hey, this still doesn't take away from my absolute disgust that I have yet to see a snowflake this winter while just about everyone else in Texas has!


Yeah Pflugerville is one of the school districts cancelling classes. The city offices and facilities have also announced they will be closed tomorrow. My work put out an "inclement weather" email today advising us to check tomorrow morning about the status of our business for the day.
0 likes   
Any opinions stated are those of an amateur, please take with several grains of salt and for official forecast refer to the National Weather Service.

User avatar
Portastorm
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 9914
Age: 63
Joined: Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:16 am
Location: Round Rock, TX
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#7625 Postby Portastorm » Thu Feb 06, 2014 10:18 pm

Ntxw wrote:
Portastorm wrote:Hey, this still doesn't take away from my absolute disgust that I have yet to see a snowflake this winter while just about everyone else in Texas has!


We will take some that the JMA is trying to dump on NTX on Tuesday and ship it to you, Valentines gift


You're too kind. :wink:

I've never seen AISD call off school the night before with nothing happening weatherwise. This is really fascinating in terms of weather-school politics-public safety. I wasn't on that conference call earlier but I gotta believe EWX sounded the warning claxons. Also, some speculation out there that ERCOT's advisory late this afternoon asking Texans to conserve energy over the next 24 hours might be playing a role as well.
0 likes   
Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.

User avatar
South Texas Storms
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4231
Joined: Thu Jun 24, 2010 12:28 am
Location: Houston, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#7626 Postby South Texas Storms » Thu Feb 06, 2014 10:20 pm

Portastorm wrote:Meanwhile, Austin ISD has cancelled all classes tomorrow as have several other Austin-area ISDs. The City of Austin and UT has a delayed opening at 12 noon. I can tell you that these schools/higher ed do an evening conference call with the NWS and several private-sector mets. For them to call off school the night before with absolutely nothing happening really tells you something. They must have increasing confidence that a nasty wintry mix is in store for the Austin area tomorrow morning.

Hey, this still doesn't take away from my absolute disgust that I have yet to see a snowflake this winter while just about everyone else in Texas has!



You have got to be kidding me. This new interim president at A&M must be from way up north or something. We have only had classes cancelled until 10 am one day during these 3 winter weather events here. Ice has been on campus each time as well. This is getting ridiculous...
0 likes   

User avatar
Portastorm
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 9914
Age: 63
Joined: Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:16 am
Location: Round Rock, TX
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#7627 Postby Portastorm » Thu Feb 06, 2014 10:26 pm

:uarrow:

Maybe this is one of those Aggie things ... you know the whole "we're tougher than the teasips" stuff. :lol:
0 likes   
Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.

User avatar
Portastorm
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 9914
Age: 63
Joined: Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:16 am
Location: Round Rock, TX
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#7628 Postby Portastorm » Thu Feb 06, 2014 10:30 pm

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
930 PM CST THU FEB 6 2014

.UPDATE...
EXPECTED WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING ON TRACK AS OF THIS WRITING. MADE MINOR CHANGES TO THE
WEATHER GRIDS FOR THIS EVENING AND DELAYED WINTRY PRECIPITATION TO
ABOUT 4 AM FRIDAY INSTEAD OF MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. A DRY AND COLD AIRMASS
CONTINUES IN PLACE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THIS EVENING.
TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S WITH DEWPOINTS IN
THE TEENS. THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS NORTHWEST
MEXICO AND THE DESERT SOUTHWEST REGION IS FORECAST TO MOVE
EASTWARD AND ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FRIDAY. THIS WILL CREATE
AN OVERRUNNING PATTERN ALOFT WITH DRY AND COLD AIRMASS AT THE
SURFACE...RESULTING IN A WINTRY MIX OF FREEZING DRIZZLE...LIGHT
FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET AND EVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME LIGHT SNOW.
LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE CAN BE EXPECTED ON LOCAL ROADWAYS...BRIDGES
AND OVERPASSES. WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO LIQUID AFTER
AROUND NOON OR 1 PM FRIDAY AS TEMPERATURES COME UP FROM THE
FREEZING MARK.
0 likes   
Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.

User avatar
TheProfessor
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3506
Age: 28
Joined: Tue Dec 03, 2013 10:56 am
Location: Wichita, Kansas

#7629 Postby TheProfessor » Thu Feb 06, 2014 10:34 pm

I wonder why some of the bigger districts aren't delaying up here. Roads (except for the highway) aren't that good here.
Last edited by TheProfessor on Thu Feb 06, 2014 10:45 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
An alumnus of The Ohio State University.

Your local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.

User avatar
TheProfessor
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3506
Age: 28
Joined: Tue Dec 03, 2013 10:56 am
Location: Wichita, Kansas

#7630 Postby TheProfessor » Thu Feb 06, 2014 10:36 pm

:uarrow: The minute I posted this my district delayed school for 2 hours. :lol: maybe we can some more snow and they'll cancel it. :wink:
0 likes   
An alumnus of The Ohio State University.

Your local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.

katheria
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 338
Joined: Mon Dec 28, 2009 10:51 pm
Location: Garland TX

Re:

#7631 Postby katheria » Thu Feb 06, 2014 10:47 pm

TheProfessor wrote:I wonder why some of the bigger districts aren't delaying up here. Roads (except for the highway) are that good here.



Main roads are pretty good here (78 beltline plano road) mostly but large patches of snow/ice are everywhere.
most turn lanes in far north garland are also solid snow/ice

Which IMO will make drivers too confident for tomorrow....

neighborhoods are a mess. I almost just parked in a business parking lot down the street and walked home

went shoe skiing earlier when i got home. looked outside a little bit ago, my street is a solid sheet of ice

i live next door to a elementary school. im figuring garland may delay tomorrow.....

Noticed rockwall and royce city are closed tomorrow.
0 likes   
just a guess.......take everything i say with a grain of salt.......check your local NWS for forecast information

orangeblood
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3714
Joined: Tue Dec 15, 2009 6:14 pm
Location: Fort Worth, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#7632 Postby orangeblood » Thu Feb 06, 2014 10:51 pm

Just as I was about to post that the latest RAP sounding aren't looking as encouraging as they did earlier (thick dry layer still present), latest GFS run comes in with more precip - showing anywhere from .03-.05 inch QPF for the metroplex. This is in line with the Euro earlier today....hmmmmmm :double:
0 likes   

gto67
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 72
Age: 77
Joined: Sat Dec 07, 2013 6:25 pm
Location: Weimar, TX

#7633 Postby gto67 » Thu Feb 06, 2014 10:58 pm

Colorado County issued a Winter Weather Advisory until 10AM Friday.
0 likes   

User avatar
TheProfessor
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3506
Age: 28
Joined: Tue Dec 03, 2013 10:56 am
Location: Wichita, Kansas

#7634 Postby TheProfessor » Thu Feb 06, 2014 10:59 pm

small radar returns are starting to appear out in West Texas.
0 likes   
An alumnus of The Ohio State University.

Your local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.

orangeblood
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3714
Joined: Tue Dec 15, 2009 6:14 pm
Location: Fort Worth, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#7635 Postby orangeblood » Thu Feb 06, 2014 11:38 pm

Most models are now trending much weaker with Tuesday's system....The shortwave coming out of the central Pacific isn't nearly as potent, well at least according to the models :wink:
0 likes   

User avatar
ravyrn
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1000
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2008 5:10 am
Location: Alderbranch, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#7636 Postby ravyrn » Thu Feb 06, 2014 11:43 pm

Portastorm wrote:Meanwhile, Austin ISD has cancelled all classes tomorrow as have several other Austin-area ISDs. The City of Austin and UT has a delayed opening at 12 noon. I can tell you that these schools/higher ed do an evening conference call with the NWS and several private-sector mets. For them to call off school the night before with absolutely nothing happening really tells you something. They must have increasing confidence that a nasty wintry mix is in store for the Austin area tomorrow morning.

Hey, this still doesn't take away from my absolute disgust that I have yet to see a snowflake this winter while just about everyone else in Texas has!


Porta, you should change that avatar :( I am still waiting for my wintry fix this winter. I think a more appropriate avatar would be, "You want snow? You got snow!" phrase (or something similar to that). It's not even the first week of February yet. The heat miser has corrupted you. Turn back to the light, my friend. Do not give in to the dark side.
0 likes   

User avatar
ravyrn
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1000
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2008 5:10 am
Location: Alderbranch, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#7637 Postby ravyrn » Thu Feb 06, 2014 11:50 pm

Portastorm wrote:I've never seen AISD call off school the night before with nothing happening weatherwise. This is really fascinating in terms of weather-school politics-public safety. I wasn't on that conference call earlier but I gotta believe EWX sounded the warning claxons. Also, some speculation out there that ERCOT's advisory late this afternoon asking Texans to conserve energy over the next 24 hours might be playing a role as well.


Maybe Atlanta's fiasco has them scared.

iorange55 wrote:I didn't think there would be much left for this system to work with, but the signs are encouraging. It'll have to be watched closely, the local mets might be surprised again.


I didn't get a lick of precipitation here today. There was a band north and south of me but I think Porta's omega block has extended to my portion of ETX this winter. Fret not my dear Austinites and East Texans in my neck of the woods. I am currently orchestrating a plot with our friend SScreamer and friends in West Texas down towards Baja California to point all their fans in this direction. SScreamer will have all the Canadians point their fans down this way to deliver us the cold air, while those in West Texas and on towards Baja California will use theirs to blow the Omega Block over Texarkana and also deliver us moisture from the STJ. Once we get our snow and Texarkana gets nothing, I'm filling an ice chest with snow and taking it up there to throw snowballs at aggiecutter.
0 likes   

User avatar
Portastorm
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 9914
Age: 63
Joined: Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:16 am
Location: Round Rock, TX
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#7638 Postby Portastorm » Fri Feb 07, 2014 12:17 am

:uarrow:

A brilliant plan and strategy which I wholeheartedly endorse! :cheesy:

Very nice, ravyrn!
0 likes   
Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.

User avatar
Texas Snowman
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 6179
Joined: Fri Jan 25, 2008 11:29 am
Location: Denison, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#7639 Postby Texas Snowman » Fri Feb 07, 2014 12:33 am

orangeblood wrote:Most models are now trending much weaker with Tuesday's system....The shortwave coming out of the central Pacific isn't nearly as potent, well at least according to the models :wink:


It may just be my take on things, but it seems like they've done that most of this winter.

Start strong, lose the storm a few days out or trend it much weaker, and then surprise everyone with something that is more than expected in the end.
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

User avatar
SouthernMet
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 857
Joined: Sun Aug 29, 2010 8:23 pm
Location: fort worth, tx

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#7640 Postby SouthernMet » Fri Feb 07, 2014 5:42 am

for today's system..
Hrrr : http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/displ ... ll&adtfn=1

Rap : http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/RAP/displa ... ll&adtfn=1

wrf is similar, with banding snowfall coming in from west texas, staying along & north of i-20.

edit : nws just issued a WWA for the 2 rows of counties north if i-20, including Denton, Wise, Collin, Cooke & Grayson counties.
0 likes   
Nothing that SouthernMet posts, is an official forecast,nor does it reflect views of STORM2K.. SouthernMet is just adding to the great discussions on STORM2K.. Refer to NWS for official forecasts.


Return to “Winter Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 11 guests