Texas Winter 2013-2014

[TheProfessor]

28 degrees here according Nws FWD.

[WeatherDuck]

Temperature of 32 at Temple with a dew point of 27. Temperatures trending downward?

[orangeblood]

Steve McCauley 45 minutes ago

Sorry...running way behind today with schoolwork, but I wanted to post a quick note to say we will see on and off again freezing drizzle and even a few sleet pellets / snow flurries through tomorrow with less than 0.10" expected. Although there will not be much precip, there will be slick spots on the roads and overpasses where the drizzle occurs.

Many areas of north Texas will have nothing or just trace amounts of precipitation, so hopefully we can get by this event without too much disruption, but as you all know, it doesn't take much to make things go slip 'n slide.

Tomorrow will be the last day of winter for a while as we warm up dramatically, especially by Thursday as we get back to the 60s, and it's into the 70s for the weekend.

[FriscoStorm]

If this freezing drizzle continues at this rate all night, Collin and Denton counties are going to be an ice rink in the morning....

[gboudx]

I watched Ch 11 and Larry Mowry showed almost all precip in the southern counties, with the northern counties left dry. :shrug:

[WeatherDuck]

34 in Georgetown. The forecast low is 33.

[TarrantWx]

21z rap has initialized if the trend continues at the end of the run..

Don't leave us hanging Southernmet!!! We aren't as knowledgable or well versed as you. WHAT'S IT SHOWING? Please and thank you!

Light-Moderate precip on top of dfw with a strong moderate band moving in from the south.

2 key things : • this is AFTER 24+ hours of freezing drizzle
• temps are going to be cold enough for high accumulation ratios with anything that falls.(& in this case the rap has detected an additional moderate band)

22z and 23z RAP continue to show the same thing, a band of light precipitation over the metroplex followed by another band of light to moderate precip moving in from the south. It will be interesting to see if the RAP trend continues and also what the 0z runs show tonight. My concern based on the RAP is that the initial band of precip forms in the early morning hours from 6-8am. If this is the case, many businesses and schools will have already decided to stay open unless there is heavy freezing drizzle overnight.

[Tammie]

TxDOT shows highway 380 between Denton and McKinney is ice/snow packed. Gotta be all ice. Hubby left Raytheon over an hour ago, and isn't even halfway through that stretch of highway yet.

[Tcu101]

I watched Ch 11 and Larry Mowry showed almost all precip in the southern counties, with the northern counties left dry. :shrug:

Guess he is going against what the NWS feels then. They have an advisory from Gainesville to Bryan...

[Tammie]

I-35 between Denton and Lewisville icing over. Car just spun out on the Lake Lewisville bridge. No injuries. Be careful peeps! Black ice is a nightmare!

[longhornweather]

This is my first post, however I have been a lurker here for a long time. I have enjoyed the information and insight that many provide on this board. It seems strange today that things are so slow here, especially from the posters around Austin. I would think there would be more chatter with an advisory already posted. Is it that most do not think anything will come of this? Temp is already 34 here in Georgetown.

[DFW Stormwatcher]

Took me an hour and a half to get from Denton to frisco. 380 is a mess, wrecks everywhere. Took back roads and had trouble staying on the road between Aubrey and celina. All the cars were fish tailing, it was like driving on an ice rink. Got better as I turned south down preston road in frisco.

Point is, it's already bad' we don't have to wait for severe icing. My car handles ice very well, it did keep me on the road. The pickups in front of me were swerving badly. This is going 20mph on the road much less the bridges.

[orangeblood]

The most frustrating part of the FW NWS forecast is that the RAP model is backed by one of the best Models we have on this planet, The European and thus boggles the mind that the European model seems to be being discounted by the FW office.


The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

[SouthernMet]

If this freezing drizzle continues at this rate all night, Collin and Denton counties are going to be an ice rink in the morning....

Freezing drizzle picking up through the night with temps in the mid 20s is enough to cause serious problems (we're already seeing them & it's not even midnight). But if short term model output verifies (which has been very accurate lately) than we could see a band of light precip & a band of moderate-heavy precip move over the dfw area in the morning time, ON TOP of the 1/10" freezing drizzle accumulations expected through tonight.

[Tcu101]

Took me an hour and a half to get from Denton to frisco. 380 is a mess, wrecks everywhere. Took back roads and had trouble staying on the road between Aubrey and celina. All the cars were fish tailing, it was like driving on an ice rink. Got better as I turned south down preston road in frisco.

Point is, it's already bad' we don't have to wait for severe icing. My car handles ice very well, it did keep me on the road. The pickups in front of me were swerving badly. This is going 20mph on the road much less the bridges.

Good report.... Temps are falling well into 20's in the northern suburbs of DFW and that will increase the icing problems regardless how heavy the precipitation ends up being.

[SouthernMet]

The most frustrating part of the FW NWS forecast is that the RAP model is backed by one of the best Models we have on this planet, The European and thus boggles the mind that the European model seems to be being discounted by the FW office.


The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

that's my whole point.. they must be behind due to conference calls/skywarn programs or something.. I want to see what they are seeing to not go ahead and up to the warning criteria, maybe they just want to be sure, before they do it & not jump the gun.

[WeatherDuck]

30 currently in Killeen. That is the NWS forecast low.

[ndale]

This is my first post, however I have been a lurker here for a long time. I have enjoyed the information and insight that many provide on this board. It seems strange today that things are so slow here, especially from the posters around Austin. I would think there would be more chatter with an advisory already posted. Is it that most do not think anything will come of this? Temp is already 34 here in Georgetown.

First of all welcome aboard. You will find a lot of good info here. I am a little reserved about anything happening tonight as far as icy weather because temps don't seem to be falling with this air mass as fast as the previous ones. I don't know if the temps here will reach freezing tonight. I think we have a better chance of that tomorrow night. Will have to wait and see.

[orangeblood]

The most frustrating part of the FW NWS forecast is that the RAP model is backed by one of the best Models we have on this planet, The European and thus boggles the mind that the European model seems to be being discounted by the FW office.


The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

that's my whole point.. they must be behind due to conference calls/skywarn programs or something.. I want to see what they are seeing to not go ahead and up to the warning criteria, maybe they just want to be sure, before they do it & not jump the gun.

It's probably because of the GFS/NAM seem to be dragging their heels. Hopefully they have more clarity after the 0Z runs come through

[ndale]

This is my first post, however I have been a lurker here for a long time. I have enjoyed the information and insight that many provide on this board. It seems strange today that things are so slow here, especially from the posters around Austin. I would think there would be more chatter with an advisory already posted. Is it that most do not think anything will come of this? Temp is already 34 here in Georgetown.

First of all welcome aboard. You will find a lot of good info here. I am a little reserved about anything happening tonight as far as icy weather because temps don't seem to be falling with this air mass as fast as the previous ones. I don't know if the temps here will reach freezing tonight. I think we have a better chance of that tomorrow night. Will have to wait and see.

And just as I posted that my temp has dropped to 34. May get interesting tonight after all.