
Poof...
THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.8N
132.9E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.0N 131.6E, APPROXIMATELY 210 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF KOROR, PALAU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS A VERY BROAD AND DISORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
WITH FLARING AND LIMITED CONVECTION ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY. A
190618Z 37GHZ SSMI IMAGE DEPICTS BROKEN CONVECTION ALONG THE
NORTHERN PERIPHERY WHILE OVERALL REMAINING POORLY ORGANIZED. THE
LATEST ASCAT PASS (190041Z) SHOWS ELONGATED TROUGHING THROUGH THE
AREA WITH STRONGER (15 TO 20 KNOTS) GRADIENT INDUCED WINDS ALONG THE
NORTHERN PERIPHERIES AND WEAKER (05 TO 10 KNOTS) WESTERLY WINDS
ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS THE AREA
IS EQUATORWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS WITH FAIR OUTFLOW AND LOW TO
MODERATE (10 TO 15 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS REMAINS LOW.