Significant Severe Weather Outbreak Possible 04/26-30/2014

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Cyclenall
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#401 Postby Cyclenall » Mon Apr 28, 2014 6:53 pm

The image I posted above or the scan after, had 120 knots gtg at 100 feet in the air.
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SeGaBob

#402 Postby SeGaBob » Mon Apr 28, 2014 6:53 pm

That Tornado Watch is getting ever closer to my area... I'm wondering if it will make it to Eastern Georgia eventually?
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Bunkertor
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#403 Postby Bunkertor » Mon Apr 28, 2014 6:55 pm

605
WFUS54 KJAN 282350
TORJAN
MSC121-123-290045-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0054.140428T2350Z-140429T0045Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
650 PM CDT MON APR 28 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EAST CENTRAL RANKIN COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
SCOTT COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 745 PM CDT

* AT 651 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR BRANDON...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.


THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.

SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.

IMPACT...YOU ARE IN A LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. FLYING DEBRIS
WILL BE DEADLY TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE
HOMES WILL BE DESTROYED. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO HOMES...
BUSINESSES AND VEHICLES IS LIKELY AND COMPLETE DESTRUCTION
POSSIBLE.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
MORTON AND PULASKI AROUND 720 PM CDT.
FOREST AND HILLSBORO AROUND 735 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE LAKE.
Last edited by Bunkertor on Mon Apr 28, 2014 6:58 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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SeGaBob

#404 Postby SeGaBob » Mon Apr 28, 2014 6:57 pm

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
745 PM EDT MON APR 28 2014

GAZ053-290015-
745 PM EDT MON APR 28 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR PEA SIZED HAIL IN COWETA COUNTY
UNTIL 815 PM EDT...

AT 744 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER ARNCO-SARGENT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.
SMALL HAIL AND WINDS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
ROTATION THAT WAS PRESENT IN THIS STORM EARLIER HAS WEAKENED.
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Re: Significant Severe Weather Outbreak Possible 04/26-30/2014

#405 Postby AdamFirst » Mon Apr 28, 2014 6:58 pm

Meanwhile, /way/ ahead of the line

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
753 PM EDT MON APR 28 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON NC HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN BLADEN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA

* UNTIL 845 PM EDT

* AT 750 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR RUSKIN...OR
NEAR ELIZABETHTOWN...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
AMMON...
LAGOON...

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL
AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.
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#406 Postby AdamFirst » Mon Apr 28, 2014 7:08 pm

Mississippi Highway Patrol reporting twisted metal signs along Interstate 20 in Brandon, Mississippi
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Re: Significant Severe Weather Outbreak Possible 04/26-30/2014

#407 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Apr 28, 2014 7:20 pm

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0464
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0712 PM CDT MON APR 28 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN THROUGH NERN MS...NRN AL...SRN MIDDLE TN AND
SERN TN

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 108...111...

VALID 290012Z - 290145Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 108...111...CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THREAT FOR STRONG TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF
THE EVENING FROM SWRN THROUGH ECNTRL MS...CNTRL AND NRN AL INTO
SCNTRL AND SERN TN. PDS TORNADO WATCH 108 WILL BE REPLACED BY
ANOTHER TORNADO WATCH /POSSIBLY PDS/ BEFORE ITS EXPIRATION TIME OF
02Z AND THE NEW WATCH WILL LIKELY EXTEND FARTHER EAST INTO AL.

DISCUSSION...BAND OF STORMS INCLUDING NUMEROUS SUPERCELLS PERSIST
ALONG A PRE-FRONTAL CONFLUENCE AXIS IN VICINITY OF A 50-60 KT SSWLY
LLJ FROM SWRN MS NEWD THROUGH NRN AL AND SRN MIDDLE TN. WARM SECTOR
IS VERY LARGE WITH MODERATE INSTABILITY EXTENDING FROM MS EWD INTO
GA...AND HODOGRAPHS REMAIN LARGE ALONG BROAD LLJ AXIS. BIRMINGHAM
00Z RAOB INDICATED 1500 J/KG MLCAPE AND 270 SFC-1 KM STORM RELATIVE
HELICITY. SOME STABILIZATION OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL OCCUR WITH
ONSET OF NOCTURNAL COOLING AND SOME STORMS MAY BEGIN TO TRANSITION
TO A MORE LINEAR MODE. THIS SUGGESTS OVERALL NUMBER OF TORNADIC
SUPERCELLS SHOULD DECREASE WITH TIME...BUT GIVEN HIGH BOUNDARY LAYER
MOISTURE WITH UPPER 60S DEWPOINTS...MODERATE INSTABILITY AND
PERSISTENT FAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL WIND PROFILES...THE THREAT FOR STRONG
TORNADOES COLD PERSIST WELL INTO THE NIGHT WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELL
STRUCTURES
. IN ADDITION TO TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND
WILL ALSO REMAIN LIKELY.

..DIAL.. 04/29/2014


ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON 35698406 33678709 31708968 31789114 32808985 33908891
35368771 35698406
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#408 Postby Bunkertor » Mon Apr 28, 2014 7:28 pm

478k bolts - last 2 hrs
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SeGaBob

#409 Postby SeGaBob » Mon Apr 28, 2014 7:29 pm

It might just be me but it appears the storms have weakened considerably from earlier... I hope this is the case.
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Re:

#410 Postby Bunkertor » Mon Apr 28, 2014 7:40 pm

SeGaBob wrote:It might just be me but it appears the storms have weakened considerably from earlier... I hope this is the case.

True, but they have Mesoscale Discussion 464 with a possible pds already in the oven
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RL3AO
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#411 Postby RL3AO » Mon Apr 28, 2014 7:45 pm

Looking at SPC meso page, west central Alabama has some scary parameters. Don't think we're done yet.
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Re: Significant Severe Weather Outbreak Possible 04/26-30/2014

#412 Postby apocalypt-flyer » Mon Apr 28, 2014 7:46 pm

Yep, if it's another PDS the numbers probably won't be a big as in the one issued originally but still sufficient potential for some overnight events - which is not something anyone really wants to see.

The ingredients are still all there even if airmasses aren't quite as unstable as in cntrl Mississippi this afternoon.
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#413 Postby EF-5bigj » Mon Apr 28, 2014 7:47 pm

The signatures aren't near as strong anymore.
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Re:

#414 Postby RL3AO » Mon Apr 28, 2014 7:49 pm

EF-5bigj wrote:The signatures aren't near as strong anymore.


Watch W Central AL the next hour or two.
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#415 Postby EF-5bigj » Mon Apr 28, 2014 7:50 pm

I will do that I was talking about the MS ones.
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#416 Postby RL3AO » Mon Apr 28, 2014 7:54 pm

Worried about the cell near Macon, MS tracking in general direction of Tuscaloosa.
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SeGaBob

Re:

#417 Postby SeGaBob » Mon Apr 28, 2014 7:57 pm

RL3AO wrote:Looking at SPC meso page, west central Alabama has some scary parameters. Don't think we're done yet.

I didn't necessarily think it was through yet... but it has weakened slightly.
Last edited by SeGaBob on Mon Apr 28, 2014 8:01 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#418 Postby RL3AO » Mon Apr 28, 2014 8:00 pm

Reported tornado near Decatur, MS
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Re: Significant Severe Weather Outbreak Possible 04/26-30/2014

#419 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Apr 28, 2014 8:04 pm

Not PDS but still high probabilities (80/60).

SEL3

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 113
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
800 PM CDT MON APR 28 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MUCH OF ALABAMA
NORTHWEST GEORGIA
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE

* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 800 PM
UNTIL 300 AM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL TORNADOES AND A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES LIKELY
WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF MC
COMB MISSISSIPPI TO 60 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF HUNTSVILLE
ALABAMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 108...WW 111...WW 112...

DISCUSSION...BROKEN LINE OF SUPERCELLS EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL MS INTO
NORTHERN AL. THESE STORMS HAVE PRODUCED NUMEROUS TORNADOES THIS
EVENING...AND WILL TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THROUGH THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS. WHILE THE THREAT OF WIDESPREAD TORNADOES IS
DIMINISHING...ISOLATED STRONG TORNADOES WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE FOR
SEVERAL MORE HOURS.
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL WILL ALSO BE LIKELY IN
THE STRONGER STORMS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...HART
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SeGaBob

#420 Postby SeGaBob » Mon Apr 28, 2014 8:05 pm

It looks like it's becoming more of a solid line compared to the discrete supercells earlier... but that's just my opinion.

This will likely refire tomorrow afternoon right?
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