South Atlantic tropical activity in 2014?

[cycloneye]

Maybe that basin has some tropical activity considering how warm are the waters down there. Some models are hinting at some type of development off Brazil.



GFS.



GEM.



ECMWF.

[Hurricanehink]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/Basin_SAtlantic.html - nothing visible yet, but this is a good link to keep an eye on in case something pops up. Thanks for keeping the Atlantic alive cycloneye

[cycloneye]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/Basin_SAtlantic.html - nothing visible yet, but this is a good link to keep an eye on in case something pops up. Thanks for keeping the Atlantic alive cycloneye

I do my best to keep Talking Tropics forum relatively active but I know that the interest to look at the tropics is low at this time. But as always occurs every year,around early to mid April things start to pick up here. Let's see if something develops in the South Atlantic that can add more interest here than usual before early April.

[Gustywind]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/Basin_SAtlantic.html - nothing visible yet, but this is a good link to keep an eye on in case something pops up. Thanks for keeping the Atlantic alive cycloneye

I do my best to keep Talking Tropics forum relatively active but I know that the interest to look at the tropics is low at this time. But as always occurs every year,around early to mid April things start to pick up here. Let's see if something develops in the South Atlantic that can add more interest here than usual before early April.

our Superman is always there, congrats Luis

[supercane4867]

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC
AND ATLANTIC
GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 19.02.2014
TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 26.3S 32.5W
VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 19.02.2014 26.3S 32.5W WEAK
12UTC 19.02.2014 27.0S 33.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 20.02.2014 26.7S 35.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 20.02.2014 26.5S 37.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 21.02.2014 27.1S 38.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 21.02.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH
THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT
MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

[cycloneye]

Subtropical Depression named by Brazilian authorities.

AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LOW IN BRASIL HAS INDUCED A LOW-LEVEL TROUGH
THAT HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION BY THE
BRAZILIAN AUTHORITIES. THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY REMAIN OFFSHORE AND
BE A CONCERN MAINLY FOR NAVIGATION PURPOSES.
SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION WITH ESTIMATED PRESSURE 1008 AT 28S 36W, WITH WIND FORCE 6/7 AFFECTING 200 AROUND CENTER AND MOVING TO SW/S AT 10-15.

SYSTEM WITH LOW POTENTIAL OF INTENSIFICATION

ESTIMATED POSITION AT 30S 37W AT 211200

[hurricanes1234]

I cannot find any floaters for this system. Do you think another agency will classify it and bring up a floater? Thanks.

[cycloneye]

I cannot find any floaters for this system. Do you think another agency will classify it and bring up a floater? Thanks.

I don't think SSD will have a floater for it as it looks like it will not do anything more than what it is now. Here is a image from Metsat.

[cycloneye]

[hurricanes1234]

Thank you cycloneye!

Still, it's impressive because it's our first here since 2011.

[Alyono]

Subtropical Depression named by Brazilian authorities.

AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LOW IN BRASIL HAS INDUCED A LOW-LEVEL TROUGH
THAT HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION BY THE
BRAZILIAN AUTHORITIES. THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY REMAIN OFFSHORE AND
BE A CONCERN MAINLY FOR NAVIGATION PURPOSES.
SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION WITH ESTIMATED PRESSURE 1008 AT 28S 36W, WITH WIND FORCE 6/7 AFFECTING 200 AROUND CENTER AND MOVING TO SW/S AT 10-15.

SYSTEM WITH LOW POTENTIAL OF INTENSIFICATION

ESTIMATED POSITION AT 30S 37W AT 211200

is there an official link to this?

[cycloneye]

Subtropical Depression named by Brazilian authorities.

AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LOW IN BRASIL HAS INDUCED A LOW-LEVEL TROUGH
THAT HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION BY THE
BRAZILIAN AUTHORITIES. THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY REMAIN OFFSHORE AND
BE A CONCERN MAINLY FOR NAVIGATION PURPOSES.
SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION WITH ESTIMATED PRESSURE 1008 AT 28S 36W, WITH WIND FORCE 6/7 AFFECTING 200 AROUND CENTER AND MOVING TO SW/S AT 10-15.

SYSTEM WITH LOW POTENTIAL OF INTENSIFICATION

ESTIMATED POSITION AT 30S 37W AT 211200


http://oi57.tinypic.com/2m7j8t5.jpg

is there an official link to this?

I got it from WU that was without link.The text part comes from the HPC South American desk.

[cycloneye]

Interesting disturbance off the NE tip of Brazil. Let's see if it persists for a while or it vanishes rapidly. Saved loop.

[SeGaBob]

What became of this system Cycloneye?

[cycloneye]

:uarrow: What became of this system Cycloneye?

Nothing of interest at the end.

[Hammy]

Out of curiosity, how do you get the S America model maps from tropical tidbits?

[cycloneye]

Out of curiosity, how do you get the S America model maps from tropical tidbits?

What I can see the site only has the ssta's of the SA but anything more.



http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/satlssta.png