Texas Spring-2014

[TheProfessor]

Very interesting discussion indeed. Isn't a warm core low what caused the rains and flooding in the Summer of 2007?

Yes it is, as was 2004 and 1997.

Was that when the Trinity river flooded the whole golf course in Grand Prairie in 2004? I remember water was approaching the half way point on an exit off of Highway 360 southbound. I almost want the low to track and stall in Texas, so the central part of the Metroplex can get a lot of rain too.

[Ntxw]

Was that when the Trinity river flooded the whole golf course in Grand Prairie in 2004? I remember water was approaching the half way point on an exit off of Highway 360 southbound. I almost want the low to track and stall in Texas, so the central part of the Metroplex can get a lot of rain too.

I don't have much memory of those events so I can't say for sure it was. But using NARR reanalysis June of 04 was the big deal especially early in the month. Usually that's the pattern for day after day of convection (daytime heating) when you have a system gets stuck in the slow pattern of summer. June of 2007 was the same way, we kind of saw a similar sample last summer in July. That unsual cool/wet low retrograded from the east behind HP and got stuck for awhile. That's why it's good getting these troughs to keep sitting west of us, aside from good flow. Eventually we may hit the jackpot and one gets stuck!

[weatherdude1108]

Was that when the Trinity river flooded the whole golf course in Grand Prairie in 2004? I remember water was approaching the half way point on an exit off of Highway 360 southbound. I almost want the low to track and stall in Texas, so the central part of the Metroplex can get a lot of rain too.

I don't have much memory of those events so I can't say for sure it was. But using NARR reanalysis June of 04 was the big deal especially early in the month. Usually that's the pattern for day after day of convection (daytime heating) when you have a system gets stuck in the slow pattern of summer. June of 2007 was the same way, we kind of saw a similar sample last summer in July. That unsual cool/wet low retrograded from the east behind HP and got stuck for awhile. That's why it's good getting these troughs to keep sitting west of us, aside from good flow. Eventually we may hit the jackpot and one gets stuck!

June 2007 down here got started, I think, when Marble Falls had a 19-inch rain bomb during the night. All of that flood water flowed down to a low Lake Travis, filling it up.

Found an article on it.
Rose remembers the Marble Falls “rain bomb” of 2007, where nineteen inches of rain fell during just eight hours, filling Lake Travis.

http://stateimpact.npr.org/texas/2012/0 ... and-lakes/

[Ntxw]

Lost in translation, anyone notice we had a ridge over us this week and it wasn't a heat wave? It's moved east since but still, impressive mid and low level clouds kept things in check.

Here's to hoping summer ridges are copycats

[DonWrk]

That 7 day precip map sure is looking pretty. Here's to hoping it pans out!

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Lost in translation, anyone notice we had a ridge over us this week and it wasn't a heat wave? It's moved east since but still, impressive mid and low level clouds kept things in check.

Here's to hoping summer ridges are copycats

I've noticed how dry things were this week. Love it.

[TheProfessor]

That 7 day precip map sure is looking pretty. Here's to hoping it pans out!

Yes, very pretty, I will gladly take 4.5 inches of rain.

[dhweather]

Very interesting discussion indeed. Isn't a warm core low what caused the rains and flooding in the Summer of 2007?

Yes it is, as was 2004 and 1997.

I'll never forget the 2007 one. I was in Richardson at the VW dealership for service late one afternoon, it started raining while I was waiting, and the rain continued to get harder and harder, it reminded me of a good old fashion New Orleans deluge. The rain on my drive home was relentless, traffic was beyond terrible. I'd do it all again for the rain.

[Ntxw]

Amanda is born in the EPAC, could become first Hurricane there. Implications there for us with enhancement of moisture.

[Ntxw]

Straying a little from the rain event incoming, take a good look at the boy. We don't see it physically but due south of us is ground zero for El Nino. It has been a long time folks (5 years) in the making and is good to see our old friend again alongside the ever so semi permanent NE Pac ridge. CFSv2 looks promising in June for the state.

[weatherdude1108]

Look at how warm the Pacific is, and how COOL the Gulf of Mexico is. Amazing the contrast! The Pacific really is our friend as far as moisture. My guess is the Gulf has been overturned and mixed several times by Canadian/Arctic air during the Winter, and also by late season cold fronts.

[Ntxw]

Happy memorial day weekend fellow Texans. HRRR suggests scattered showers and thunderstorms today with a weak low hanging out. The good stuff starting memorial day itself so if you have plans outside, take that into consideration.

Amanda has become a hurricane and will be making a run at a major hurricane. If it does this would be a pretty rare feat in May. Typically we don't see these EPAC set ups to hook us up until the fall when they curve towards Mexico (Manual last fall in the big central Texas rain event) but hey none of us will be unsatisfied with the results! It won't actually directly effect us but will embed plenty of mid level moisture into the flow.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Loving the rains in the panhandle. Model is doing well so far. I think they do well with these types of events but im really happy its panning out. They need it so bad. Events like these go a long way

[TheProfessor]

Happy memorial day weekend fellow Texans. HRRR suggests scattered showers and thunderstorms today with a weak low hanging out. The good stuff starting memorial day itself so if you have plans outside, take that into consideration.

Amanda has become a hurricane and will be making a run at a major hurricane. If it does this would be a pretty rare feat in May. Typically we don't see these EPAC set ups to hook us up until the fall when they curve towards Mexico (Manual last fall in the big central Texas rain event) but hey none of us will be unsatisfied with the results! It won't actually directly effect us but will embed plenty of mid level moisture into the flow.

I hope it is not forecasting severe weather. I'm suppose to go play golf today.

[JDawg512]

2 days in a row with rain here!!! Now this is looking like a typical late May that we have not seen in several years.

Looks like there should be a good amount of water by now draining into the upper Colorado River basin.

[Ntxw]

We now officially have Major Hurricane Amanda feeding into our STJ, in May. Absolutely stunning. Do not underestimate the Pacific Ocean this year.

[weatherdude1108]

2 days in a row with rain here!!! Now this is looking like a typical late May that we have not seen in several years.

Looks like there should be a good amount of water by now draining into the upper Colorado River basin.

I wish I had a "like" button to hit!

[weatherdude1108]

We now officially have Major Hurricane Amanda feeding into our STJ, in May. Absolutely stunning. Do not underestimate the Pacific Ocean this year.

Wow! Amazing! Where is that "like" button?

[weatherdude1108]

Forgot to mention, we had a nice shower with some thunder come through here at the Weatherdude Center today around 5pm. Dropped around a third of an inch.

[TheProfessor]

Amanda has 140 mph winds that's 25 mph more than it was last night There aren't many storms that intensify that fast.