Texas Summer - 2014

[JDawg512]

Well it may not be all that bad. EWX thinks there may be a couple of rounds of Storm complexes that will form up in northwest Texas and propagate south/southeastward into the Hill Country and the Metro area. If that holds true, we could see up to an inch with a few isolated spots a little more. These complexes will be moving fairly quickly so it's unlikely there will be a flooding concern but I cringe every time I see the word hail mentioned.

[dhweather]

June 6 12Z Euro, for entertainment purposes. Nice donut hole near the metroplex.

[TheProfessor]

It looks like the Euro found out that today is national donut day and decided to have one over the metroplex.

[Ntxw]

Yet another EPAC system setting up. 94E is up, good chance it may become Cristina and a run at hurricane status. This one will track west like Amanda.

[Ntxw]

HI RES and short range guidance shows a complex of storms making it's way into areas along and north of I-20 this evening lingering through tomorrow morning. Lets see if that pans out! Could be some good rain makers moving along outflow boundaries from west to east.

Next 3 days worth per WPC

[gboudx]

That probably explains the increased chance of rain I see. This morning it was 20, now it's 40.

[Ntxw]

Yep, you can see the boundary in the vicinity of the Red River. The models are trying to kick up convection along this feature when the disturbance kicks out of NM.

[TheProfessor]

I saw a graphic on FWD that had a high pressure is blocking storms south of I-20, so is it possible that the outflow boundary could stall and train a cross the northern half of the metro until energy is gone leading to more rain than forecasted?

[Ntxw]

:uarrow: I saw a graphic on FWD that had a high pressure is blocking storms south of I-20, so is it possible that the outflow boundary could stall and train a cross the northern half of the metro until energy is gone leading to more rain than forecasted?

We'll have to wait and see how far south these storms initiate. The ridge is to the south and weakening splitting one in the gulf and the other over NW MX. The GFS is turning around from nada to measure-able rainfall for tonight into tomorrow so it's possible could see more than previously thought. Another complex will probably set up again tomorrow afternoon.

Something overlooked is the "cooler" air after the rain. Low to mid 60s will be quite refreshing for Tuesday morning, below normal

[JDawg512]

That nice large complex is moving pretty quickly to the southeast. A familiar set up for this time of year. The question is will it hold together till sunrise? Will be watching closely over the next 6 hours. I'm not expecting it to make it this far tonight but should be an indication of what may happen tomorrow night.

[weatherdude1108]

Reminds me of the good ole' MCS days!

[South Texas Storms]

I'm hopeful that at least one MCS will make it as far south as IH 10 in the next 72 hours. It looks like north TX will get some nice rainfall in the next few days. I hope south central TX will get some too!

[weatherdude1108]

Some friends in Lubbock had to hunker down tonight from the storms moving through. One took cover under a bank teller. There was a 96mph wind gust just south of Wolforth with tennis ball hail. Grapefruit around Levelland! Lubbock got spared the intense hail core I think. Geez!

[gpsnowman]

Good morning weather folks. Man that radar looks crazy. Huge line of storms just west of Fort Worth. Let's hope it keeps together. OK, going back to sleep. Maybe I will be awakened by some thunder later.

[aggiecutter]

Tornado just NW of Texarkana, a long the Red River

[aggiecutter]

1.5" of rain in just 30 minutes and golf ball sized hail reported in Texarkana. There were 4 separate Tornado warnings issued for the Texarkana area over the past hour, and an unconfirmed touchdown with damage in the NE part of town.

[aggiecutter]

Intense squall line traversing the panhandle this evening. Wonder what it means downstream for parts of northern Texas:

[horselattitudesfarm]

Tell me anyone, is this a radar issue or did a band of precip. really set up along I-35 3 times in 2 months on these weekly totals:
First time: May 4th-May 11th


Second time: May 14th-May 21rst


3rd. time: June 1rst- June 8th

[Ntxw]

65F and raining...and its almost mid June by the end of the week. Dreaming of 1903! Certainly feels like it outside . Which surprisingly that year holds quite a few of DFW's min records the next couple of months.

Record low for DFW today is 59F, oh how close we are by 6 degrees. Point is how refreshing! Could be cooler tomorrow morning.

[gboudx]

About 1.5" of rain here and still falling. We just got power back on which means I woke up late.