Texas Summer - 2014

U.S. & Caribbean Weather Discussions and Severe Weather Events

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
TeamPlayersBlue
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3444
Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 1:44 am
Location: Denver/Applewood, CO

#81 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Mon Jun 09, 2014 8:48 am

Great great rain for you guys, think it makes it to SE Texas? I think it will and possibly slow up as it approaches. That may not be good though since its so saturated right now. My buddys dock at his river house on the San Bernard had 5 inches of mud that needed to be cleaned before activities started. Not very much fun.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22730
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

#82 Postby Ntxw » Mon Jun 09, 2014 9:00 am

By the way, euro is showing another slow trough to the west late week into next week with HP ridge over the SE US putting Tx in the lane of good flow for rain and maybe another front.

Weak low 5h low may spark daytime storms this week in the eastern parts of the state.
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

  Help support Storm2K!
Help Support Storm2K

User avatar
Tireman4
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5851
Age: 59
Joined: Fri Jun 30, 2006 1:08 pm
Location: Humble, Texas
Contact:

#83 Postby Tireman4 » Mon Jun 09, 2014 9:04 am

Let it get this far. Oh my goodness, I would be tickled pink, or blue or whatever...
0 likes   

weatherdude1108
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4228
Joined: Tue Dec 13, 2011 1:04 pm
Location: Northwest Austin/Cedar Park, TX

#84 Postby weatherdude1108 » Mon Jun 09, 2014 9:47 am

Impressive MCS line headed in this direction. Hope to get some nice RAIN out of it! :wink:
0 likes   

User avatar
TheProfessor
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3506
Age: 28
Joined: Tue Dec 03, 2013 10:56 am
Location: Wichita, Kansas

#85 Postby TheProfessor » Mon Jun 09, 2014 10:11 am

Well, A lot of you not the coast might be extremely happy, or upset. The 6z GFS develops a Tropical system south east of the Yucatan and has it make landfall somewhere between Galveston and Corpus Christi, bringing beneficial rainfall to the state, It looked like it had it hit land as a strong tropical storm or a weak cat 1 hurricane, but if the storm does form, we'll have to watch it because all it takes is for a couple of things in the atmosphere to go right that could cause this storm from being a beneficial rain maker to a devastating landfall
0 likes   
An alumnus of The Ohio State University.

Your local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.

User avatar
Tireman4
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5851
Age: 59
Joined: Fri Jun 30, 2006 1:08 pm
Location: Humble, Texas
Contact:

Re:

#86 Postby Tireman4 » Mon Jun 09, 2014 10:32 am

TheProfessor wrote:Well, A lot of you not the coast might be extremely happy, or upset. The 6z GFS develops a Tropical system south east of the Yucatan and has it make landfall somewhere between Galveston and Corpus Christi, bringing beneficial rainfall to the state, It looked like it had it hit land as a strong tropical storm or a weak cat 1 hurricane, but if the storm does form, we'll have to watch it because all it takes is for a couple of things in the atmosphere to go right that could cause this storm from being a beneficial rain maker to a devastating landfall



Ed might like it. :)
0 likes   

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22730
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

#87 Postby Ntxw » Mon Jun 09, 2014 12:02 pm

I would not trust the GFS. For example today's 12z run has a landfalling cane in Texas. I highly doubt this, its been spinning erroneous tropical cyclones the past few weeks with none coming true. I do believe the influx of moisture though with SE ridge like the euro has.
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K


User avatar
TeamPlayersBlue
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3444
Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 1:44 am
Location: Denver/Applewood, CO

#88 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Mon Jun 09, 2014 12:38 pm

Interesting it showed it twice in a row though. What i have learned, if youre expecting landfall 12 days out, slim chance you even get hit Lol
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

aggiecutter
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1751
Joined: Thu Oct 14, 2004 9:22 pm
Location: Texarkana

#89 Postby aggiecutter » Mon Jun 09, 2014 1:21 pm

Rainfall total so far in Texarkana is around 4". Some areas north and west of the city have reported over 6".

Image
Last edited by aggiecutter on Mon Jun 09, 2014 1:27 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

weatherdude1108
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4228
Joined: Tue Dec 13, 2011 1:04 pm
Location: Northwest Austin/Cedar Park, TX

#90 Postby weatherdude1108 » Mon Jun 09, 2014 1:24 pm

Received 0.88 of an inch from that morning MCS. I'll take it! :)
0 likes   

User avatar
TeamPlayersBlue
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3444
Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 1:44 am
Location: Denver/Applewood, CO

#91 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Mon Jun 09, 2014 1:45 pm

Storms are getting stronger and slowing down. Hopefully e get some good rain but not too much since my buddy has his boat on the dock again
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Tireman4
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5851
Age: 59
Joined: Fri Jun 30, 2006 1:08 pm
Location: Humble, Texas
Contact:

#92 Postby Tireman4 » Mon Jun 09, 2014 3:25 pm

Dark outside of Gulfgate....hummm
0 likes   

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22730
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Summer - 2014

#93 Postby Ntxw » Mon Jun 09, 2014 7:21 pm

Dr Ventrice posted this on twitter. Looks like the annual summer solstice heat wave may be a little muted this year. The longer we delay the first 100F day the better! Lets go for 0!

Image
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K


User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22730
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

#94 Postby Ntxw » Mon Jun 09, 2014 7:46 pm

On cue, TD 3 in the EPAC is now TS Cristina! Lets see how she influences the STJ as she tracks westward, possibly as a Hurricane. Unlike over the gulf/carib these EPAC systems modeled are not phantoms this year.

Image
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K


User avatar
JDawg512
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1074
Age: 45
Joined: Mon Aug 26, 2013 8:56 pm
Location: Austin
Contact:

Re: Texas Summer - 2014

#95 Postby JDawg512 » Tue Jun 10, 2014 12:08 am

horselattitudesfarm wrote:Tell me anyone, is this a radar issue or did a band of precip. really set up along I-35 3 times in 2 months on these weekly totals:
First time: May 4th-May 11th
Image

Second time: May 14th-May 21rst
Image

3rd. time: June 1rst- June 8th
Image


It's not unusual for a band of precip to develop right up along the Balcones Escarpment through the Austin area. Moisture tends up build up where the coastal plains meet the eastern edge of the Hill Country and will fall as light rain especially early in the mornings this time of year. It's also been a major factor during some flood events when storms train along the escarpment. The floods this past October are a great example of that. Major flooding in Austin but drive over to Lake Travis and very little rain fell in that area and a few more miles west not a drop fell. Some days it can stay cloudy in Austin all day while it's sunny from Lake Travis west. This past May 27th was a good example of that. Storms were able to form over the Hill Country and quickly became supercells due to clear skies destabilizing the atmosphere while it stayed cloudy in Austin through the day.
0 likes   
Resident Rain Miser

I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.

gto67
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 72
Age: 77
Joined: Sat Dec 07, 2013 6:25 pm
Location: Weimar, TX

#96 Postby gto67 » Tue Jun 10, 2014 1:24 am

We are getting hammered in Weimar. I haven't been in a thunder storm like this since I was a kid in midland. Just a tornado warning. Better go.
0 likes   

gto67
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 72
Age: 77
Joined: Sat Dec 07, 2013 6:25 pm
Location: Weimar, TX

#97 Postby gto67 » Tue Jun 10, 2014 1:48 am

Storm through Weimar headed towards Eagle Lake and tornado warning following storm. No power and sub-station tripped. We got some pea size hail. Getting another tornado warning.
0 likes   

gto67
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 72
Age: 77
Joined: Sat Dec 07, 2013 6:25 pm
Location: Weimar, TX

#98 Postby gto67 » Tue Jun 10, 2014 1:52 am

Warning for rock island. Still raining in Weimar.
0 likes   

gto67
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 72
Age: 77
Joined: Sat Dec 07, 2013 6:25 pm
Location: Weimar, TX

#99 Postby gto67 » Tue Jun 10, 2014 9:21 am

5" rain in Weimar over early morning. Weimar still having power issues and tree damage. Storm just sat over Weimar area for about 1.5 hours.
0 likes   

User avatar
South Texas Storms
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4198
Joined: Thu Jun 24, 2010 12:28 am
Location: Houston, TX

Re: Texas Summer - 2014

#100 Postby South Texas Storms » Tue Jun 10, 2014 10:03 am

horselattitudesfarm wrote:Tell me anyone, is this a radar issue or did a band of precip. really set up along I-35 3 times in 2 months on these weekly totals:
First time: May 4th-May 11th
[img]http://img841.imageshack.us/img841/7618/b690.gif

Second time: May 14th-May 21rst
[img]http://img856.imageshack.us/img856/2186/kadp.jpg

3rd. time: June 1rst- June 8th
[img]http://img834.imageshack.us/img834/5609/nhj69.jpg


It's a radar issue. I've noticed that error in the rainfall totals as well several times throughout the past few months.
0 likes   


Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 45 guests