NW TRACK FOR ISSY?

[rainstorm]

with the huge trough diving south to the east of issy, a high to its north, and an upper low to its west, a good possibility now would be an acceleration to the nw after 36 to 48 hours.

[WXBUFFJIM]

that means you and many others in the mid atlantic could potentially, I mean the word "POTENTIALLY" be in the direct path of isabel.

Just a possibility given the projected path from the hurricane center.

Jim

[rainstorm]

that could happen

[Guest]

very unlikely at this time.

[caribepr]

Deja 8 ball voodoo!

[Stormsfury]

So much for a dud season, eh?

[wxman57]

very unlikely at this time.

Really, why is a more northward track then northwest unlikely? Have you looked at the mid to upper-level flow in advance of Isabel? See the image below that I posted in another thread. Isabel is about at the southwestern periphery of the high to the north. It already appears as though it is already beginning a gradual turn. Look at the plume of cirrus extending NNW from the storm now. That's a definite clue as to the upper-level winds it is now encountering.

<img src="http://home.houston.rr.com/wx/isabelir.gif">

[caribepr]

There are no dud seasons;) The ones with no threats let us have pretty relaxed summers and falls, the ones like this remind us that they aren't all relaxing.
In the VI's we have Hurricane Supplication Day (June 1) and Hurricane Thanksgiving day (Nov. not the end). Of course, then there are Wrong Way Lenny's, who love to make a mockery of all the cultural standards! Sorta like Isabel being a learning curve for novices and pros alike?

[mike01205]

if that happens I better just kiss my house goodbye

[Anonymous]

wxman that track is in response to what is happening now. Remeber that low will keep closing in. Where shall it go then once the ridge fully builds? Must look in the future, thus closing in the wnw-nw movement.

[jabber]

wxman57

Do not the upper level winds stear storms. If so, then would not this chart show that issy would start a WNW then NW then N then NE movement? This of course assumes that nothing else disrupts this pattern. Just trying to learn

[rainstorm]

very unlikely at this time.

Really, why is a more northward track then northwest unlikely? Have you looked at the mid to upper-level flow in advance of Isabel? See the image below that I posted in another thread. Isabel is about at the southwestern periphery of the high to the north. It already appears as though it is already beginning a gradual turn. Look at the plume of cirrus extending NNW from the storm now. That's a definite clue as to the upper-level winds it is now encountering.

<img src="http://home.houston.rr.com/wx/isabelir.gif">

i also think issy may accelerate

[ColdFront77]

There is that ridge in the Atlantic that has been continually forecast to build west and southwestward which would block Isabel's northward movement.

[Anonymous]

You may finally get the storm you always wanted RS.

[rainstorm]

time will tell, but so many things can go wrong